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xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm}

Posted by: eallensbp on Jun 21, 20:45 in response to xiayun's post Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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Ice Cream Man - Opening Weekend (ICREM.OW) 100000 3.45 (-1.04)          Rooney Mara (RMARA) 5000 5.03 (-0.04)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 61.75 (-4.75)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 10.95 (+1.48)          Kate Bosworth (KBOSW) 5000 6.85 (+0.01)          Olivia Wilde (OWILD) 16000 35.40 (-0.59)          Cory Michael Smith (CMSMI) 20000 4.00 (0.00)          Paul Dano (PDANO) 5000 56.58 (+0.91)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 25000 73.08 (-15.84)          John Slattery (JSLAT) 5000 53.54 (-1.76)          Wes Ball (WBALL) 25000 104.36 (+0.66)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 5000 16.79 (+0.02)          Super Troopers 3 H$15 Call (STRO3.CA) 25000 0.91 (+0.02)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 900 27.36 (+3.19)          Super Troopers 3 - Opening Weeke (STRO3.OW) 100000 13.24 (+0.44)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 57884 80.17 (-0.08)          Jude Law (JLAW) 1 20.09 (+0.27)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.87 (+0.06)          Jude Law (JLAW) 19999 20.09 (+0.27)          Uma Thurman (UTHUR) 5000 13.26 (+0.12)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 62.49 (+0.25)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 5000 85.24 (+3.21)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 100000 9.07 (+0.05)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 50 34.89 (+2.74)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 5000 34.89 (+2.74)          Ralph Fiennes (RFIEN) 25000 26.91 (+0.02)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 900 94.91 (-0.19)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 10.18 (+0.01)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 61.75 (-4.75)          Paul Dano (PDANO) 25000 56.58 (+0.91)          Legacy (LGACY) 20000 2.60 (-0.01)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 10.95 (+1.48)          Ralph Fiennes (RFIEN) 20000 26.91 (+0.02)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 140001 15.64 (+0.03)          Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 20000 1.13 (-0.01)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 5000 14.80 (+0.12)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 2225 187.36 (+0.77)          Madden (MADEN) 84614 4.86 (+0.03)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 2225 187.36 (+0.77)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 25000 59.87 (-13.43)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 50000 4.38 (+0.01)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 150000 251.10 (+1.61)          Kick 2 (KICK2) 150000 0.22 (+0.01)          Kick 2 (KICK2) 110000 0.22 (+0.01)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 25000 0.50 (-1.70)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 0.92 (-0.08)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 82.79 (+0.99)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)