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yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films

Posted by: lobogotti on Jun 21, 07:22 in response to numbersix_99's post I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely,...

continues the mega-sales and helps the bump into 70M+.

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 1 110.01 (-1.73)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 150000 223.43 (+1.49)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.56 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 100000 6.12 (-0.03)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 11.99 (+0.06)          Bullitt (BULIT) 40000 22.26 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 100000 9.19 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 100000 13.90 (-0.06)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 100000 13.88 (-0.06)          Maserati: The Brothers (MASER) 100000 6.12 (-0.05)          In the Grey (NGREY) 100000 14.75 (-0.06)          Shackleton (SHCKL) 100000 4.10 (-0.05)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 40000 10.43 (-0.05)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 100000 5.57 (-0.10)          Digger (DIGER) 3000 102.24 (+0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 100000 7.93 (-0.39)          Babies (BBIES) 100000 12.32 (-1.33)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.82 (-0.05)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.67 (+0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.67 (-0.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 54.01 (-0.20)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149999 33.33 (+0.09)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.69 (-0.07)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 149999 152.02 (+0.44)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.64 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 77777 19.60 (+0.04)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.77 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 20071 6.09 (+1.28)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.32 (-1.33)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 500 4.08 (+0.36)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 500 10.55 (+1.03)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 6.09 (+1.28)