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Also well received: DRSTR (2.42x) and DEADP (2.35x even though OW was inflated by a holiday, thus lowering the mult)

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Mar 05, 10:12 in response to MattW's post Civil war was extremely well received but its total dom...

Something around 2.10x could happen, absolutely, but I think it represents the bottom end of what is reasonable.  There is some tough competition on the horizon, no doubt, and it doesn't have a big holiday mid-run like DRSTR had, but it does have college spring breaks coming up to buff mid-week number a bit.  I think something in the 2.25-2.30x range is reasonable starting point with anything outside of the wider range of 2.10-2.45 representing a surprise.

D; LOGAN $85.2m tomcat90 Mar 05, 07:56

SHACK $16.1m; BIFAL $4.8m-$4.9m {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 07:58

LOGAN $85.3m (typo) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 08:07

$152.5m overseas, that's way more than I expected. MattW Mar 05, 09:28

Great job by BO on their forecast btw....they had $86m when many others had $65m-$70m {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 09:31

I *so* miss the adjusts. ~sniff~ {nm} =Flash Mar 05, 08:27

Currently priced for a 2.13 delist... which seems low even for a franchise famous for frontloading. {nm} diamondman56 Mar 05, 08:46

Also the first non-summer release other than Deadpool... diamondman56 Mar 05, 08:49

WOLVE did 1.92 Oleg Max Mar 05, 09:45

WOLV2 did 2.27 Oleg Max Mar 05, 09:47

True, but WOLVE was terrible, which does not appear to be the case with LOGAN {nm} shadowking Mar 05, 09:47

RT: WOLVE - 38%, WOLV2 - 69%, WOLV3 - 93% {nm} ~JPV~ Mar 05, 10:23

Civil war was extremely well received but its total dom multi was under 2.3, delist multi of 2.08 {nm} MattW Mar 05, 10:01

Also well received: DRSTR (2.42x) and DEADP (2.35x even though OW was inflated by a holiday, thus lowering the mult) shadowking Mar 05, 10:12

+1 {nm} MattW Mar 05, 10:27

(CAPA2 - 2.37) Yep, it's underpriced, but it's not that under-priced. And prices don't straight-line to the eventual delist {nm} RogerMore Mar 05, 10:47

What's another $50 amongst friends haha? {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 09:06

For anyone holding the PU option short... don't spend it all in one place! {nm} ~JPV~ Mar 05, 09:39

there is a hot looking concept stock for $0.02 that I have had my eye on for a while. {nm} RazorHawk Mar 05, 11:20

Whatever the final multiplier will be, you have to admit that it's pretty lame for the stock to be exactly where it was when est. were $70m {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 09:54

Maybe yesterday was just a sign that people are wising up and not paying attention to the early estimates any more shadowking Mar 05, 09:58

But that would make the assumption that people were all expecting $85m (a 2.16 multiplier) instead of the 2.63 mult. for $70mOW right? {nm} tomcat90 Mar 05, 10:09

That's not true. The estimates was $79M right before reset when the closing price for Fri was recorded. {nm} Antibody Mar 05, 10:22

You are correct, but earlier in the day, the estimates from Deadline were posted at $70m-$72m and the stock was at $185 tomcat90 Mar 05, 10:34

Nope, it was at $180 around noon. {nm} Antibody Mar 05, 10:39

I don't have the exact time and sales of every tick of the stock, but i saw it at $185 during the day. And even if it was $180.... tomcat90 Mar 05, 10:45

There's an element of profit taking on every opening Sunday. {nm} Antibody Mar 05, 10:49

Sure... after an adjust where there actually was some form of profit to take. {nm} diamondman56 Mar 05, 12:03

at noon it was 183.45 - so you're both half right http://theun4gven.com/hsx/daily.php?sec=WOLV3 {nm} JDolphin Mar 05, 13:41

Or we all know we still have 4 weeks to make that 7 or 8 percent gain. {nm} Dbot1800 Mar 05, 10:43

depending on actuals, a real chance at being the FIFTH best X-Men opening ever! (and best in the two-film Wolverine series!!) {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 05, 13:37





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