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Maybe I'm wrong (probably, cuz it's me) but the 3 Transformers movies that had 5 day openings all delisted at an avg mult of 1.81
from those 5 day numbers.
TFORM 5-day open 155.41 / 284.68 delist = 1.83
TFRM2 5-day open 200.08 / 363.81 delist = 1.81
TFRM3 6-day open (July 4 on Mon) 180.65 / 325.84 = 1.80
So, using that history, I'm seeing this one delisting at / around 125.07. Like I said before, though, I'm probably wrong.
Maybe I'm wrong (probably, cuz it's me) but the 3 Transformers movies that had 5 day openings all delisted at an avg mult of 1.81 Jun 25, 15:57
I agree. This one is overshooting the runway IMO {nm} Jun 25, 16:04
Looks like you know what to do then. {nm} Jun 25, 16:35
Reasonable analysis {nm} Jun 25, 16:54
Fair point, guess we'll see, but I still thinks it's correct to include the Dark of the Moon # as it was a part of its OW {nm} Jun 25, 18:43
No, you can't add a sixth day to the opening weekend and fudge the delist multipler. {nm} Jun 26, 09:10
Ok, removing the 6th day now makes the avg mult a 1.87 making the on / about projected delist of 129.22 {nm} Jun 26, 10:58
FORM's delist multiplier is 2.57, so the an average of 2.1 x 144.90. Jun 26, 11:08
understood, thanks for the fix {nm} Jun 26, 11:14
Math works out. It will do whatb it does but will fall to, just about , what you've worked out. Jun 26, 00:25