HSX Forum

Movies

The average of the prior two Avengers films is 2.296 which would give 574. I agree that it'll probably delist above 600, but

Posted by: FiscalPolicy on Apr 29, 21:00 in response to JDolphin's post The average of the last 5 MCU movies is 2.43 - which...

I don't know that it's necessarily a foregone conclusion.

There's too much wiggle room based on what one considers to be reasonably included in analysis to be certain, I think.

AVNG3 still showing almost 9MM shares short @ H$588, hmm... I'm sure they'll enjoy covering above H$600 w/o the adjust. {nm} stormgod Apr 29, 19:14

Just remember, some of those are for inactive accounts. {nm} -JPV- Apr 29, 19:40

Understood, but I've watched the short interest INCREASE from ~7MM to >9MM this weekend amidst all the broken records {nm} stormgod Apr 29, 19:49

It was at 12m earlier today {nm} JDolphin Apr 29, 19:54

Right! 3MM shares covered today and it's STILL down -H$3.40. At least my related AVNG4 & CMARV longs are outperforming {nm} stormgod Apr 29, 20:07

FWIW, of the other 18 MCU films, only 9 delisted at a multiple of 2.4 or greater (which you'd need to get to 600 from 250.) A further 2 FiscalPolicy Apr 29, 20:03

but it's summer so the kids are out of school and . . . {nm} slipping jimmy Apr 29, 20:13

The average of the last 5 MCU movies is 2.43 - which gives you 608m {nm} JDolphin Apr 29, 20:36

The average of the prior two Avengers films is 2.296 which would give 574. I agree that it'll probably delist above 600, but FiscalPolicy Apr 29, 21:00

If it's near BP 2.77 at delist and OW 260 delist will be 722M.... we'll see. shortly if it's anything like BP. I think it will. {nm} Baron_Darcon2017 Apr 29, 23:38

Sex Panther was #1 five weeks in a row. Affinity War won't even be #1 for more than 3 (Deadpool 2 and then Solo) {nm} slipping jimmy Apr 30, 00:07

True but AVNG3 has no competition until DEAD2 so if fans are close to as enthused $$$. I'm seeing it 4 more times. {nm} Baron_Darcon2017 Apr 30, 01:04

I think it is very likely that it will be $600M+ on the Thursday before Deadpool opens. It has a shot at $350M lobogotti Apr 30, 04:26

I shouldn’t say very likely, but very possible {nm} lobogotti Apr 30, 04:28

keep in mind though, the film will be closer to $260 now. Maybe higher. {nm} lobogotti Apr 30, 04:19

If you have all the starbonds for AVNG3 at adjust you'll have 90.4 M in one movie! Some starbonds currently overvalued too. Baron_Darcon2017 Apr 30, 00:01

1st, I'd like to thank you all for the enlightening and thoughtful analysis, presented in a civil & polite forum.. stormgod Apr 30, 08:45





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 14.42 (0.00)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 4.45 (+0.03)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 25000 24.37 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 26.22 (+0.30)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 156.56 (-0.66)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.71 (+0.02)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 45.60 (-0.13)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.31 (-0.02)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.59 (+0.65)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 25000 131.33 (0.00)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 23.85 (-0.06)          Monopoly (MONOP) 149999 15.64 (+0.03)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 149888 51.56 (+0.14)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.70 (-0.11)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 7.94 (+0.53)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.84 (-0.17)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 149999 2.81 (0.00)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.96 (+0.53)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.96 (+0.53)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.59 (+0.65)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 31726 268.28 (+0.15)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.48 (-0.14)          Vince Vaughn (VVAUG) 410 41.71 (+0.33)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 149656 45.91 (+0.14)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 210 17.16 (+0.10)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 100000 156.56 (-0.66)          Madden (MADEN) 100 26.22 (+0.30)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 130 45.91 (+0.14)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 100 11.59 (+0.65)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 1000 4.45 (+0.03)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 824 14.42 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 7476 8.21 (0.00)          Dandelion (DNDLN) 110 0.39 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 7476 8.21 (0.00)          The Watchers (WATCS) 110 37.31 (0.00)          The Dead Don't Hurt (TDDH) 1010 2.30 (0.00)          The Piano Lesson (TPLSN) 100 0.05 (0.00)          Hunters In The Dark (HNTRD) 100 0.03 (0.00)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.70 (-0.11)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.70 (-0.11)          Andrew Koji (AKOJI) 10 37.28 (0.00)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 7.94 (+0.53)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 22.26 (-0.38)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 22.26 (-0.38)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.94 (+0.58)          FOX: Grimsburg (GRMSBG) 100 13.60 (0.00)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.84 (-0.17)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.84 (-0.17)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 22.26 (-0.38)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 22.26 (-0.38)