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allow we to suggest that wom and rt scores dont always line up. good wom lines up more often with cinemascore and other exit polls {nm}

Posted by: Moviesnob on Nov 07, 08:20 in response to stormgod's post I'm shorting The Grinch on my theory that only bad movies...

I'm shorting The Grinch on my theory that only bad movies don't have an RT score three days before release. Call me crazy! {nm} stormgod Nov 06, 17:05

RT scores for the last 4 Illumination pics range from 56-74%, the lowest grosser from this bunch took $270m - but yep NUTFR proves yr point. {nm} Qix Nov 06, 23:31

First two RT reviews have posted and neither are encouraging. Hope there's good ones around the corner. {nm} RollingThunder Nov 07, 08:05

I'm still favoring a leggy run over a big OW. Social media metrics appear to be in the realm of Sing. Awaiting BO Forecast to confirm. {nm} RollingThunder Nov 07, 04:54

i would not expect the WOM on Grinch (from the trailers i've watched) to be remotely Sing-like {nm} slipping jimmy Nov 07, 07:10

I think it looks great, just don't see it blowing the doors open out of the gate. That said, a huge OW won't surprise me, it's Illumination {nm} RollingThunder Nov 07, 07:25

It could be bad, but still make money. It could be bad, make money, but not enough for HSX estimates. It could be good, go gangbusters and ndmaster Nov 07, 07:47

You're right, it's not a perfect system. I got burned bad on The Meg & Venom. {nm} stormgod Nov 07, 08:10

neither of those had 50+ years of goodwill built up by the annual TV showing. that's good for building in an audience but it also creates a slipping jimmy Nov 07, 08:32

allow we to suggest that wom and rt scores dont always line up. good wom lines up more often with cinemascore and other exit polls Moviesnob Nov 07, 08:20

Have trouble understanding how many times they can sell the same movie, but my shorts have run bad lately, so.... {nm} WallyWabash03 Nov 07, 09:26





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Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 9400 168.10 (+0.28)          The Monkey (MONKY) 12500 18.48 (-0.42)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 2000 397.42 (+0.39)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1000 165.22 (+0.33)          Lobo (LOBO) 12500 20.31 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 3789 41.97 (+1.97)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 41.97 (+1.97)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 8000 397.42 (+0.39)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 25000 86.07 (-1.29)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 100000 107.24 (-5.83)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 75000 141.34 (-1.18)          Babes (BABS) 150000 3.03 (+0.12)          IF (IMGNF) 25000 107.03 (-2.20)          Babes (BABS) 150000 3.03 (+0.12)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1 141.34 (-1.18)          Heads of State (HDSST) 12500 18.09 (-0.03)          The Substance (SBSTN) 150000 6.37 (-0.25)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 3000 263.74 (+0.55)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 10000 49.32 (-0.41)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 15.28 (-0.17)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 2000 41.97 (+1.97)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 7000 263.74 (+0.55)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 86.07 (-1.29)          Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 12500 22.24 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 141.34 (-1.18)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 37500 17.42 (-0.05)          Cus and Mike (CUSMK) 8000 0.01 (-0.01)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 105.07 (+0.33)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 37500 17.50 (-0.05)          Anora (ANORA) 103868 6.22 (-1.28)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 12500 20.97 (-0.02)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 12500 21.49 (+0.02)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 18.58 (+0.27)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 12500 19.72 (-0.10)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 12500 18.92 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 100000 107.24 (-5.83)          Twisters (TWIS2) 130000 162.01 (+0.84)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 149902 2.86 (+0.03)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 49000 38.83 (-0.06)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 900 2.86 (+0.03)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 149003 2.86 (+0.03)          Twisters (TWIS2) 10000 162.01 (+0.84)          Tarot (HRSCP) 900 17.59 (0.00)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 74999 62.64 (+0.12)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 154.83 (-0.07)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 3 74.91 (+0.08)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 20000 86.07 (-1.29)          Reagan (REAGN) 10000 6.29 (+0.23)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1 41.97 (+1.97)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1 141.34 (-1.18)