HSX Forum

Movies

$300M opening weekend is just a matter of time, and a short amount of time at that. History & inflation almost guarantee it.

Posted by: Decoman on Apr 04, 10:33 in response to Antibody's post THR and V: [AVNG4] tracking $200 million to $250 million

Don't forget that it took 19 years for the opening weekend record to go from $23M (Return of the Jedi, 1983) to $114M (Spider-Man, 2002), but only 13 more years to get up to $257M (Avengers: Infinity War, 2018).

If the $300M barrier isn't broken this year, with Endgame or SW IX, then logic and inflation dictates within a year or 2. (FWIW, I think the runtime on Endgame will preclude the possibility of a $300M weekend, so maybe SW IX has a better chance.)

THR and V: [AVNG4] tracking $200 million to $250 million Antibody Apr 04, 08:25

DL: some analysts north of $260M, $300M isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Antibody Apr 04, 08:27

Why wouldn’t all analysts say north of 260? {nm} islndr Apr 04, 08:41

We just saw AIW pull in a 257M OW only a year ago (4474 screens) after tracking 200+... 260 seems more probable than possible to me. {nm} tatoufan Apr 04, 08:49

fwiw per THR, AVNG4's running time means one fewer showing a day on any given screen. Antibody Apr 04, 08:58

Wouldn't they just give it an additional screen if there are sell outs or just condense non-sell out shows into sell outs? {nm} fourstars Apr 04, 09:02

With Digital you in theory can go nuts and show 30 screens of Avengers and go 24/7 But there are limitations with competitive product notfabio Apr 04, 09:15

I hope the extra 26 minutes doesn't stop AVNG from setting another OW record. tatoufan Apr 04, 09:41

26 minutes x 4 showings is nearly two hours. That's one extra showing gone. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 09:44

If demand is there they can start shows earlier and go later each day, but also if demand is there then each showtimes will fill up more. {nm} MattW Apr 04, 10:43

that takes me back...was it STAR7 when they were showing late night and early morning showings? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 22:17

Yeah, may not set the record now. If that holds {nm} VictorY Apr 04, 09:03

toxic masculinity will sink it {nm} professor zovek Apr 04, 09:21

Read the article. Last one was tracking 185-225 but did 257. This one is outtracking that {nm} islndr Apr 04, 09:22

(180) {nm} islndr Apr 04, 09:23

$300M opening weekend is just a matter of time, and a short amount of time at that. History & inflation almost guarantee it. Decoman Apr 04, 10:33





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 150000 12.82 (-0.28)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 75000 12.82 (-0.28)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 27.76 (+1.19)          Star Trek (TREK4) 75000 27.25 (-0.04)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 20.05 (+0.12)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 150000 38.21 (-0.54)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 7.03 (+0.01)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 150000 38.21 (-0.54)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 5.34 (+2.13)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 108.93 (-1.66)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 75000 108.93 (-1.66)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.84 (+6.44)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 15654 18.00 (0.00)          Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd K (A6CRBY) 20000 6.00 (-0.16)          Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd K (A6CRBY) 25000 6.00 (-0.16)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 150000 12.82 (-0.28)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 75000 12.82 (-0.28)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 28.25 (+0.20)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 28.25 (+0.20)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 25.54 (+0.85)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 24.50 (+0.05)          Monster High (MONHI) 75000 24.50 (+0.05)          Justin H. Min (JHMIN) 25000 0.86 (+0.07)          Justin H. Min (JHMIN) 25000 0.86 (+0.07)          Shiver (SHVER) 851 63.84 (+6.44)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 5.79 (-0.08)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.75 (+0.24)          Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 25000 3.86 (-0.30)          It Was Just An Accident - Origin (A6OIWJ) 25000 2.22 (-0.06)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 25000 49.13 (-0.46)          Blue Moon - Original Screenplay (A6OBLU) 25000 2.28 (-0.08)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Sinners - Original Screenplay (A6OSIN) 25000 10.96 (+0.24)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 35.88 (+0.35)          Train Dreams - Adapted Screenpla (A6ETRD) 25000 2.18 (-0.04)          Frankenstein - Adapted Screenpla (A6EFRN) 25000 2.20 (-0.04)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 75000 35.88 (+0.35)          Bugonia - Adapted Screenplay (A6EBUG) 25000 2.36 (-0.07)          One Battle After Another - Adapt (A6EOBA) 25000 10.58 (+0.21)          Shiver (SHVER) 127413 63.84 (+6.44)          Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentim (A6SIIL) 25000 2.23 (-0.06)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 25000 51.70 (+0.10)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 9.19 (-0.54)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.84 (+6.44)          Elle Fanning - Sentimental Value (A6SEFA) 25000 2.29 (-0.06)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 9.19 (-0.54)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.84 (+6.44)          Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein - Su (A6RJEL) 25000 2.19 (-0.06)          Shiver (SHVER) 130000 63.84 (+6.44)