HSX Forum

Movies

40% weekly drops during weeks 5-7 (~33.3m total) get it to ~395m prior to Endgame, anything above that is just more gravy for Disney... {nm}

Posted by: Qix (a.k.a 15-May-2007) on Apr 06, 16:33 in response to VictorY's post What matters is how you finish, not how you start. Don't...

Lets take a look at total multiples for "Marvel new character solo films" Moviesnob Apr 06, 13:23

inb4 he makes some pointless Spider-Man 3 comparison again. Btw, that film had a 2.2 multiplier. And he always ignores CM's smaller budget. HurricaneKid Apr 06, 13:31

Thanks for this. I'm sorry you had to do it, but find it valuable in it's own right. {nm} Wellespring Apr 06, 13:59

It's still pacing nicely ahead of Hunger Games that it could make it to 400M. {nm} Jay_Beezy Apr 06, 14:37

Don't see it beating HG's final gross of 408. Doesn't have the same legs. {nm} VictorY Apr 06, 15:38

Their opening weekends were just 1M apart. As of Thursday CM is 19M ahead. RattyBatty Apr 06, 16:11

Endgame is giving it a boost. Its general audience number increased from week 1 to week 2 so non fans are catching up Moviesnob Apr 06, 16:37

Really its 19m ahead and is still neck and neck on a daily basis against stronger competition. {nm} hotsambatcho Apr 06, 18:14

Awesome chart MS. So CM is at "Ghost Rider" and "Daredevil" levels in multiple (Ouch).. Neither of those were really embraced by fans. VictorY Apr 06, 15:35

"The lower your opening weekend, the easier it is to hit a 3 multiple." {nm} Wellespring Apr 06, 15:42

I get that.. but we're talking CM being at GS and DD levels here. That doesn't scream strength to me. {nm} VictorY Apr 06, 15:46

Captain Marvel has more than doubled the combined worldwide grosses of GR and DD. HurricaneKid Apr 06, 16:45

Combined, those two only grossed ~407.92 WW - which CMARV could hit domestically. {nm} Qix Apr 06, 15:48

We're talking the film mulitples, not the overall gross. {nm} VictorY Apr 06, 15:50

Marvel is 18.5m above Hunger Games after 29-days from almost identical opening. Appreciate Shazam & Endgame will hurt, but multiple is fine. {nm} Qix Apr 06, 15:58

What matters is how you finish, not how you start. Don't see CM beating HG #'s overall {nm} VictorY Apr 06, 16:00

You're spreading misinformation again. Captain Marvel's total multiple will be within 5% of Hunger Games. Moviesnob Apr 06, 16:23

Within 5 percent? So it'd be a lower multiple, you're saying? {nm} VictorY Apr 06, 16:48

40% weekly drops during weeks 5-7 (~33.3m total) get it to ~395m prior to Endgame, anything above that is just more gravy for Disney... Qix Apr 06, 16:33

aside from all this, how are you doing these days? staying well i hope! {nm} Moviesnob Apr 06, 16:38

Ha, yes thanks. Enjoying your analysis here ... ~400m = a wonderful result. Best wishes from the antipodes! {nm} Qix Apr 06, 16:55

thats great to hear! And thanks! although its less an analysis and more a reality check {nm} Moviesnob Apr 06, 17:03

Actually Studios would rather have a 400m film with a 150 opening then one with a 100m opening AJRimmer Apr 07, 08:50

thats not true anymore. Most films dont use a rolling film rental anymore {nm} Moviesnob Apr 07, 08:53

Of course as you ignore the facts and make things up to fit your narrow view. It will pass HG. {nm} hotsambatcho Apr 07, 08:52

Great discussion board. Really enjoying the data. So what we have -- (full take inside). VictorY Apr 06, 17:19

Are you a cherry picker for a living? HurricaneKid Apr 06, 18:41

At this point you are just being ignorant or a troll. Probably both. HSX is a site for people who love movies, jamesbik333 Apr 06, 18:50

Your entire argument that it's not a success is based on a single point - its multiplier compared to other first outings numbersix_99 Apr 07, 05:04

There was an Elektra movie?! {nm} forlorne Apr 08, 09:15





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 50000 42.39 (+0.05)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 5000 97.05 (+0.08)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 3000 23.17 (-0.46)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 149975 52.74 (-0.13)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 117.85 (-2.63)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 5000 4.22 (-0.07)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 44807 60.00 (0.00)          Elevation (ELVTN) 1538 12.11 (-0.06)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 55000 55.30 (+1.55)          Mercy (MRCY1) 112 58.42 (+0.05)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 2959 69.18 (-0.10)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 16000 60.00 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 2468 55.30 (+1.55)          Madden (MADEN) 523 33.66 (+3.03)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 25000 23.17 (-0.46)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 6.10 (-2.18)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 50061 60.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 12000 86.25 (+0.74)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.51 (+0.68)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 19000 216.58 (+0.70)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Superman (SUPRM) 10000 191.51 (-0.04)          The Wager (WAGER) 100 35.71 (-0.16)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 400 69.18 (-0.10)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 10000 388.49 (-0.99)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 27.65 (+0.06)          The Wager (WAGER) 100 35.71 (-0.16)          Locked (LOCKD) 150000 6.74 (+0.01)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 12.83 (+0.02)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 150000 12.26 (+0.06)          Train Dreams (TRDRM) 150000 6.63 (-0.02)          The Crow (TCROW) 5000 23.37 (-0.02)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 6.30 (+0.02)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 14.67 (+0.04)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 23.05 (+0.59)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1 117.85 (-2.63)          We Bury the Dead (WBTD) 150000 6.11 (+0.01)          Arcadian (ARCAD) 147778 1.14 (-0.02)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Zatanna (ZATAN) 150000 10.19 (0.00)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 41.13 (-0.55)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 22.51 (+0.68)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 9000 22.51 (+0.68)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 1000 22.51 (+0.68)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 117.85 (-2.63)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 32.81 (-0.04)