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While I do agree about ups and downs, best we prepare ourselves for 2020. It’s going to be a pretty dreadful year

Posted by: lobogotti on Dec 27, 08:42 in response to jamesbik333's post 2018 was a monster year w/ 3 600m+ movies. Those 3 movies...

for box office.

While interest is in big box is already down (hence lower ticket sales), there aren't a HUGE slate of films that are going to surpass the blockbusters of 2018 & 2019.  2019 is likely the biggest year Disney will have for a LONG time, if you exclude Fox properties going forward.

I can't begin to guess what kind of dip we see in 2020, but double digit decrease isn't off the table by any means.

 

Year end not looking so hot. Box Office Mojo has us 6 percent (under 2018) Only 1.6 percent up (on 2017) and 1.2 percent under (2016): VictorY Dec 27, 07:59

This is a very different take from your earlier posts about why 2019 box office is down from 2018 RogerMore Dec 27, 08:09

No, it all conincides together. I've been warning about this for awhile... Losing audiences is not healthy for our box office future. {nm} VictorY Dec 27, 08:12

People here have been talking about Netflix and VOD impacting box office for at least a decade, especially the industry insiders RogerMore Dec 27, 08:25

I've been warning about losing audiences. But yes, VOD has been on my mind for awhile now... since 2016 {nm} VictorY Dec 27, 08:42

And always is about his feelings and thoughts. Never about the numbers {nm} L3stat Dec 27, 10:06

2018 was a monster year w/ 3 600m+ movies. Those 3 movies are still in the top 10 all time. Think about that for a minute. How do jamesbik333 Dec 27, 08:22

While I do agree about ups and downs, best we prepare ourselves for 2020. It’s going to be a pretty dreadful year lobogotti Dec 27, 08:42

I'm optimistic.. DC could over-perform and maybe, just maybe we actually start some new franchises.. But I agree, will be tough {nm} VictorY Dec 27, 08:43

optimistic for an increase over 2019? {nm} lobogotti Dec 27, 08:56

Yes. But I agree, it won't be easy. {nm} VictorY Dec 27, 09:01

and In the Heights could steal the summer (it’s going to do VERY well). at this point, it wouldn’t surprise me if it outgrosses Top Gun. {nm} lobogotti Dec 27, 08:50

I like your optimism. +1 {nm} VictorY Dec 27, 09:04

can you connect with me with your new email? {nm} Moviesnob Dec 27, 14:22

..... lobogotti Dec 27, 15:21

I agree 2020 is going to be down a lot. Lots of This is End of cinema articles next year. But 2021 should be a big bounce back year. {nm} jamesbik333 Dec 27, 09:07

Lots of risky blockbusters that year. Obviously it's too soon to really predict how any will play out but: RogerMore Dec 27, 09:47

I think JW3, Batman & Suicide Squad 2 will all do well. Avatar & Matrix I have no idea, lol {nm} jamesbik333 Dec 27, 10:33

Those are the numbers of a stable industry, not one with a worrisome pattern, let alone severe decline {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Dec 27, 11:35





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Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1 132.67 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1 132.67 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 113.25 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 113.25 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.04 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.04 (0.00)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 21.44 (0.00)          Paul McCartney: Man on the Run (MORUN) 150000 1.48 (0.00)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 150000 1.76 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 100000 21.20 (0.00)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 12.25 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 50000 21.20 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.37 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 149999 13.04 (0.00)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.66 (0.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 49.32 (0.00)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 5.54 (0.00)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 150000 95.40 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 69.53 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed aka Untitled Walt Disney A (HEXED) 150000 112.54 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 137.22 (0.00)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 60000 12.25 (0.00)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 39999 12.25 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 150000 112.63 (0.00)          Paul McCartney: Man on the Run (MORUN) 3 1.48 (0.00)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 14.99 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 100000 24.15 (0.00)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 150000 2.33 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.96 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 113.25 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 30000 1.57 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5000 459.19 (0.00)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 10000 158.48 (0.00)          Mercy (MRCY1) 20000 35.65 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 50000 18.23 (0.00)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 75000 19.36 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.87 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.65 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.27 (0.00)          FOX: Memory of a Killer (MEMOAK) 25000 9.97 (0.00)