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TWLI2 did 165M in it's first 5 days (Fri-Tue). If TWLI3 duplicates that with say an 85M Wed/Thu and 80M it would roughly break even.
The first 5 days of a Wednesday opener should be a little higher than that of a Friday opener. Even if you only add about 5% and skew it 100/75 (57% outside of the multiplier) it's still around breakeven.
The last movie seemed very popular with tweens/teens and the series still seems to be growing in popularity with the older female audience, so I don't see any reason why it couldn't even top 175 for the 5 day.
Even so, it would appear that the upside potential does seem fairly limited at this point, especially considering the commission required to play such a high priced stock, and the need to reverse to short after adjust.
So don't people think that TWLI3 will be frontloaded to Weds ala Harry Potter? Jun 22, 05:20
TWLI2 did 165M in it's first 5 days (Fri-Tue). If TWLI3 duplicates that with say an 85M Wed/Thu and 80M it would roughly break even. Jun 22, 05:55
I don't see it. The people that are gonna see TWLI3 are gonna see it, not Airbender. They're a committed, front loaded group. Jun 22, 08:16
I agree..the buzz is this movie will crush New Moon's BO..no movie in theater's will impact it's audience {nm} Jun 22, 08:26
Tween girls are going to have to see it opening night and without school there is nothing to stop them (nm) Jun 22, 08:34
