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Oscar Winner Voting doesn't begin until Feb 11th. So: after this past week, what is going to happen?

Posted by: goodvibe61 on Feb 02, 11:29

It feels pretty wide open to me. I don't think any of the films are that great, no single film feels powerful enough to walk away with it easily. The Academy has made such disappointing choices over the years, that anything seems possible now. I think it has to be something that most people at least like. I think Perez was probably too polarizing in the first place to win, despite all the nominations. 


The impact of what wins is so minimal anymore that who really cares, but for the few who still love their memories of when The Oscars mattered; who is going to win? Best Picture, Actress, how do you think it will go now? 

To me, it feels like there are incredibly FIVE films that could pull it off: Alphabetically: 

Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Wicked

I don't see it happening for Nickel Boys, I'm Still Here, Perez (not now), The Substance ( A little too genre specific), or Dune 2 (I don't see the path for it; Wicked would win before it would). 

A Complete Unknown might be the most "liked" by the most people. It isn't very controversial. It's well made. It has superb performances. 
Conclave has alot of fans. Perhaps lots of older Academy Members push this through now. 
Wicked sort of went away among the Awards talk recently, but perhaps it will get looked at again now. 
The Brutalist: it has many fans. Will enough people even see it? Will that matter? 
And Anora. Could this pull it off now? 

My head is leaning Conclave or Unknown; i still have no real instinct for it; not that I'm ever right anyway. 

Best Actress: Demi Moore?! 










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