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CelebStock and StarBonds

Do you know how Starbonds work, and how they adjust? Since you're new, perhaps you don't. (more inside)

Posted by: Paul2k on Jun 21, 20:05 in response to JPS13's post why is stock down 2.45% on opening nite?

Quickly, BPITT's starbond's TAG (trailing average gross) is an average of the final gross of his last 5 movies. For him, that is (Megamind + Tree of Life + Moneyball + Happy Feet Two + Killing Them Softly)/5 = 63.2 million.

When WWARZ delists in 4 week, Megamind will be dropped from the TAG calculation, to be replaced by WWARZ's gross at that point. Based on these early estimates of WWARZ's opening weekend, we can guess that it might delist in 4 weeks somewhere in the 135 to 170 range (if we're being really generous). A quick and dirty way to recalculate his TAG based on those numbers would be to find the difference between Megamind's gross ($148 mill) and WWARZ's gross (somewhere between -13 and +22 million), divide that difference by 5 (giving us -2.6 to +4.4), and then sum it with the current TAG. So his adjusted TAG when WWARZ delists could be between 60.5 and 67.6.

Since the range of possible adjusts for him is lower than his current price, people are selling/shorting him.





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James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 162.80 (-0.04)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 7 60.47 (-0.35)          Artificial (AIFIC) 87 11.50 (+0.03)          Artificial (AIFIC) 6995 11.50 (+0.03)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 8 31.11 (+0.23)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 13 70.71 (+0.71)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 10000 142.72 (-0.20)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 2 10.72 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 3 85.12 (-0.08)          Zorro 2.0 (ZOROR) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 85.55 (+0.18)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 50000 169.42 (+0.33)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 3 36.12 (+0.07)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 28.99 (-3.62)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5 120.63 (+0.37)          Motor City (MTRCT) 25000 8.28 (+0.01)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 110.00 (-5.11)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5000 429.94 (-1.09)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 989 9.14 (-0.06)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 5 267.28 (-1.00)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 4 153.83 (+0.37)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 3 122.52 (+0.33)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 25000 233.88 (+0.08)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 38.03 (-0.07)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 39.64 (+0.10)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 2011 9.14 (-0.06)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 65.43 (+5.43)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 4 51.29 (+0.20)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 4 119.30 (-0.33)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 65.43 (+5.43)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4 92.91 (+0.25)          Young Washington (YWASH) 201 34.32 (-0.32)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 36877 313.40 (-1.02)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 5 35.94 (+0.13)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 5 55.54 (-0.26)          Young Washington (YWASH) 99 34.32 (-0.32)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 10000 2.86 (-0.11)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 7 57.27 (+0.32)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 4 321.26 (+0.83)          Moana (MOAN1) 198 231.51 (-0.79)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 65.43 (+5.43)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 3 67.04 (+0.05)          Moana (MOAN1) 102 231.51 (-0.79)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 3 38.27 (+0.08)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5 321.26 (+0.83)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 1.00 (0.00)