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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2869 views

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Madden (MADEN) 150000 31.59 (+5.67)          By All (BYALL) 10000 5.01 (-0.01)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 659 0.82 (-0.04)          By All (BYALL) 50000 5.01 (-0.01)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 50000 155.89 (-1.33)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 99341 0.82 (-0.04)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 115155 55.31 (+2.17)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 150000 55.31 (+2.17)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 50000 0.82 (-0.04)          They Listen (THEYL) 150000 29.13 (+1.52)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 6.19 (-0.10)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.08 (+0.05)          David (DAVID) 15331 88.67 (-0.15)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 54.48 (-0.33)          Free Agents (FREAG) 100000 2.80 (+0.01)          Challengers (CHALN) 40 40.56 (+1.46)          They Listen (THEYL) 134181 29.13 (+1.52)          Challengers (CHALN) 38 40.56 (+1.46)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.08 (+0.05)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 40000 7.18 (+0.01)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 149975 26.50 (-0.25)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 59000 8.72 (+1.31)          Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 50000 2.09 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.26 (-0.07)          Madden (MADEN) 30000 31.59 (+5.67)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.92 (+0.23)          Christine (CRSTN) 10000 36.68 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 10000 36.68 (0.00)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 25000 39.04 (-0.52)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 149996 6.00 (0.00)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 150000 104.61 (+2.05)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 10000 22.21 (-0.02)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 100000 1.52 (+0.01)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.88 (+0.55)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.88 (+0.55)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 50000 23.57 (-0.01)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.15 (+0.03)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 50000 1.08 (+0.05)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 150000 80.27 (+0.09)          Mother Couch (MCOUC) 150000 0.69 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 50000 11.76 (+0.82)          Everything’s Going to Be Great (EGTBG) 50000 2.91 (+0.01)          The Monkey (MONKY) 50000 19.62 (+0.16)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 50000 8.57 (-0.05)          Adrift (ADRIF) 40000 6.04 (+0.04)          Adrift (ADRIF) 40000 6.04 (+0.04)          Adrift (ADRIF) 60000 6.04 (+0.04)