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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 3204 views

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Dolly (DOLLY) 24301 1.99 (+0.53)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 19.34 (-7.17)          Melania (MLNIA) 2000 3.58 (+0.50)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 53120 244.93 (+0.96)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 21.71 (+1.25)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 119.39 (+0.01)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 75.21 (-0.50)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 21.71 (+1.25)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 40.79 (+1.53)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 119.39 (+0.01)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 14.30 (+0.97)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 14.30 (+0.97)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 60 4.00 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 60 44.13 (-0.87)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 50 25.60 (+0.60)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD.OW) 60 5.14 (+0.14)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Slanted (SLANT) 10000 2.47 (+1.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 9 231.85 (0.00)          Crime 101 - Opening Weekend Fri- (CRIM1.OW) 60 10.49 (+0.49)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 2367 191.04 (-0.57)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150 13.17 (-0.06)          Sender (SENDR) 80 7.52 (-0.48)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 5000 49.50 (+0.21)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 350 5.23 (-0.03)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 4.02 (-0.14)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 300 93.22 (0.00)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 50000 1.05 (+0.15)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5000 72.68 (-0.09)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 30 101.25 (-0.13)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 40 1.05 (+0.15)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 3 34.25 (-0.08)          Lewis Pullman (LPULL) 25000 40.76 (-0.16)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 32.77 (-0.05)          Lewis Pullman (LPULL) 25000 40.76 (-0.16)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 830 2.81 (+0.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5851 316.13 (+0.55)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 291.27 (-1.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 10000 108.53 (-0.19)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 3193 4.00 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3 58.76 (-0.05)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 24 65.69 (-0.15)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 50 10.86 (-0.07)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 7000 347.27 (-0.40)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 36405 36.47 (-0.01)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 3 162.36 (-0.22)          Zatanna (ZATAN) 3 5.44 (+0.01)