SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 3143 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Now You See Me: Now You Don't - (NYSM3.OW) 22029 21.51 (+0.51)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't - (NYSM3.OW) 100000 21.51 (+0.51)          The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 3.61 (-0.39)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 150000 4.47 (+0.33)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 150000 4.47 (+0.33)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 150000 73.45 (-3.14)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 150000 73.45 (-3.14)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.78 (-0.95)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.78 (-0.95)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 7.45 (-0.30)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 7.45 (-0.30)          Chloe East (CHEAS) 25000 13.25 (-0.20)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 100000 3.87 (-0.02)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 50000 6.37 (+0.01)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 5.11 (-0.09)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 5.11 (-0.09)          Peaches (PEACH) 150000 1.55 (+0.37)          Zootopia 2 H$140 Call Wed-Sun (ZOOT2.CA) 25000 2.50 (+0.50)          Peaches (PEACH) 150000 1.55 (+0.37)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 100000 1.00 (0.00)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 5000 4.00 (0.00)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 20000 4.00 (0.00)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          Xeno (XENO) 150000 0.14 (+0.02)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 173.05 (-1.00)          The Young People (TYPEP) 50000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't (NYSM3) 2000 58.28 (-0.94)          Brie Larson (BLARS) 5000 120.44 (-0.27)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 20.84 (+0.90)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 20.84 (+0.90)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 20000 127.45 (-1.26)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 140.76 (-1.20)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 140.76 (-1.20)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 25000 186.06 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 80.87 (+3.35)          The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 3.61 (-0.39)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1000 154.34 (+0.15)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 500 154.34 (+0.15)