HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I think my example is pure arbitrage -- 100% probability of making a profit doing this trade sequence with derivatives....

Posted by: blinkuldhc on Aug 01, 20:46 in response to 121Jigowatts' post Star Bonds can be arbed.

I think you're talking more about taking advantage of the predictability of the HSX adjustment formula/system.  That's more of an HSX inefficiency than market inefficiency.

What I'm talking about is this:

Buy one share of The Change Up Opening Weekend (CHNUP.OW) at $19.71

Short one option of The Change-Up $25 Call (CHNUP.CA) at $1.34

Buy one option of The Change-Up $25 Put (CHNUP.CA) at $3.97

 

Literally no matter what The Change-Up opens at, you will profit.  It can open at $1 or at $1,000,000,000 and you'll profit. Tongue out

 

Does this happen all the time? 





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Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.PU) 25000 1.28 (-0.72)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.68 (+2.65)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.68 (+2.65)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 34999 2.07 (0.00)          Miles & Juliette (MILJU) 34999 2.75 (-0.04)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 34999 6.63 (-0.27)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 50000 29.67 (+1.02)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 34999 86.16 (-1.06)          Control (COTRL) 34999 5.33 (-0.09)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.60 (-0.99)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 34999 14.60 (-0.99)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 75000 179.25 (+0.41)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 34999 106.81 (-1.53)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.60 (-0.99)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 99999 229.72 (-2.61)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 6.00 (+1.27)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 6.00 (+1.27)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.68 (+2.65)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 3 260.83 (+1.84)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 3 260.83 (+1.84)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 229.72 (-2.61)          Ashton Sanders (ASSAN) 25000 27.42 (-0.12)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 46866 105.87 (+0.88)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 18 73.41 (+1.01)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 500 34.69 (-0.22)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.67 (+1.02)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 26.94 (+0.43)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.67 (+1.02)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 100000 26.94 (+0.43)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 100.92 (-0.99)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 3.62 (-0.38)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 25000 109.89 (-0.33)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 20000 73.24 (-0.70)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 73.24 (-0.70)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 109.68 (-0.05)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.67 (+1.02)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 25000 52.49 (+0.50)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 62.06 (+1.05)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.50 (+0.49)          Mutiny H$10 Call (MUTNY.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.62)