HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I think my example is pure arbitrage -- 100% probability of making a profit doing this trade sequence with derivatives....

Posted by: blinkuldhc on Aug 01, 20:46 in response to 121Jigowatts' post Star Bonds can be arbed.

I think you're talking more about taking advantage of the predictability of the HSX adjustment formula/system.  That's more of an HSX inefficiency than market inefficiency.

What I'm talking about is this:

Buy one share of The Change Up Opening Weekend (CHNUP.OW) at $19.71

Short one option of The Change-Up $25 Call (CHNUP.CA) at $1.34

Buy one option of The Change-Up $25 Put (CHNUP.CA) at $3.97

 

Literally no matter what The Change-Up opens at, you will profit.  It can open at $1 or at $1,000,000,000 and you'll profit. Tongue out

 

Does this happen all the time? 





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How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 20000 37.98 (-0.54)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 40.71 (-0.20)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 10000 34.20 (+2.36)          Ebenezer H$35 Call (EBNZR.CA) 25000 0.56 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 0.07 (0.00)          Astaire (ASTAI) 34929 21.34 (+0.03)          Hexed (HEXED) 90 101.27 (-0.73)          Forest Whitaker (FWHIT) 100 23.26 (+0.12)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.86 (+1.04)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 100 227.28 (-1.50)          Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 149999 0.70 (-0.02)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.20 (+0.27)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 2 7.00 (+0.01)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 1 18.33 (+0.02)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.20 (+0.27)          Barbarella (BARBA) 88888 21.31 (-0.03)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 200 31.08 (+0.12)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 25000 79.43 (+2.06)          Christian Slater (CSLAT) 999 11.65 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 284 5.53 (-0.03)          Bryan Cranston (BCRAN) 200 67.43 (-0.25)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.86 (+1.04)          Cold Pursuit 2 (CLDP2) 75000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 95040 14.63 (+0.49)          Cold Pursuit 2 (CLDP2) 75000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Hole (THHOL) 19000 6.86 (+1.04)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 72855 14.63 (+0.49)          The Hole (THHOL) 19000 6.86 (+1.04)          Metal Men (METAL) 75000 4.28 (+0.01)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 200 20.09 (-0.12)          Karoshi (KAROS) 120644 11.75 (+0.24)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 17826 60.98 (+0.01)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 7.31 (-0.04)          The Hole (THHOL) 20000 6.86 (+1.04)          The Hole (THHOL) 20000 6.86 (+1.04)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.49 (+1.42)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 35 111.51 (-0.22)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 100007 28.99 (+0.87)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.86 (+1.04)          The Hole (THHOL) 25000 6.86 (+1.04)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 28.99 (+0.87)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 200 50.69 (0.00)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          The Hole (THHOL) 1000 6.86 (+1.04)          Alison Brie (ABRIE) 999 15.73 (+0.20)