HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

OMARS and tracking option strategery

Posted by: Was Bar Was (a.k.a BaronWasteland) on Mar 05, 13:52

RS is tracking OMARS in the mid 50's.

MTC has it at 20.

This presents an interesting trading situation for the put and call options as it suggests quite a lot of potential volatility in the weekend take.  Let's do a little math.

The strike price for OMARS.PU and OMARS.CA is $35.  The current price for each is right around $3.

If you go long both, and OMARS takes in either under $29 or over $41, you come out ahead.  It doesn't matter which tracking service is right (if either); you still win.

For example, say OMARS makes $42.  The call option cashes out at $7 and the put is worthless. It cost you $6 to take the position, so that's $1 profit.  If OMARS makes $28, the put is worth $7 and the call nothing, so you still make $1. The amount you make goes up by $1 for every $1 the weekend gross is beyond that range (29-41) since one of the options continues to go up in value but the other doesn't go down any more.

Naturally, if OMARS makes somewher inside the range of 29-41, you lose money on this transaction.  Then you make a sad face and curse yourself for trying to be too clever.

 

 





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Paddington 4 (PADT4) 15000 29.32 (+3.07)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 150000 40.01 (-0.05)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.79 (+0.08)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.79 (+0.08)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 34.23 (+0.21)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 89139 169.68 (-0.04)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 28.90 (+1.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 30000 102.49 (+0.39)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 229.03 (-0.59)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1 163.23 (-0.11)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 93.73 (-0.42)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.72 (+0.68)          Gambino (GMBNO) 959 8.26 (+0.01)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 12.15 (-1.69)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 3.81 (-0.52)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 11.33 (+1.19)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 11.33 (+1.19)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 14.96 (+1.26)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 14.96 (+1.26)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 3.81 (-0.52)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 3.81 (-0.52)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 12.15 (-1.69)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 12.15 (-1.69)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 106.51 (+0.33)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 15.32 (+0.10)          White Lies (WHTLI) 20000 12.15 (-1.69)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 15000 29.32 (+3.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149990 20.04 (+0.01)          Bitcoin: Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 71 18.97 (+0.01)          Young Washington (YWASH) 149999 34.23 (+0.21)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 57 106.51 (+0.33)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 62.03 (+2.69)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 1000 7.72 (+0.68)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 70.41 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.79 (+0.08)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 20000 7.72 (+0.68)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 102.49 (+0.39)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 9.88 (+0.10)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.72 (+0.68)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 1.52 (-0.02)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 20.18 (-0.08)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 29.32 (+3.07)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 9.88 (+0.10)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 60.95 (+0.14)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 27.28 (+0.11)