HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

OMARS and tracking option strategery

Posted by: Was Bar Was (a.k.a BaronWasteland) on Mar 05, 13:52

RS is tracking OMARS in the mid 50's.

MTC has it at 20.

This presents an interesting trading situation for the put and call options as it suggests quite a lot of potential volatility in the weekend take.  Let's do a little math.

The strike price for OMARS.PU and OMARS.CA is $35.  The current price for each is right around $3.

If you go long both, and OMARS takes in either under $29 or over $41, you come out ahead.  It doesn't matter which tracking service is right (if either); you still win.

For example, say OMARS makes $42.  The call option cashes out at $7 and the put is worthless. It cost you $6 to take the position, so that's $1 profit.  If OMARS makes $28, the put is worth $7 and the call nothing, so you still make $1. The amount you make goes up by $1 for every $1 the weekend gross is beyond that range (29-41) since one of the options continues to go up in value but the other doesn't go down any more.

Naturally, if OMARS makes somewher inside the range of 29-41, you lose money on this transaction.  Then you make a sad face and curse yourself for trying to be too clever.

 

 





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