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Playing & Trading Strategy

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is.....

Posted by: ankurbe on Jan 04, 08:18 in response to thatmichaelguy's post Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated,...

Kill your darlings delists on Monday, accordingly Dane DeHaan will get adjusted on Tuesday. SB is at 17.67 while TAG is at 25.35. Now if you take the gross of his last five movies:

5. Lawless : 37.39

4. Jack and Diane: 0.01

3. The Place beyond: 21.38

2. Metallica: 3.42

1. Kill your Darlings: 0.91

Avergae of the 5 is 12.62 ; so an ideal candidate for shorting and making money. TAG was confusing me.

According to FAQ's, TAG's for starbonds are updated every week. Is this correct? So if the TAG is say 40 and Star Bond price is 20 and is ankurbe Jan 04, 06:53

I'm not sure how often the Starbond is adjusted after their main adjust after their most recent movie has delisted, but it does happen. Willroast Jan 04, 07:11

Sorry didn't quiet understand that...can anyone else help please? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 07:34

No problem bud. I think I may have been a little off anyway. The main thing to think about with Starbonds adjusting to match their TAGS Willroast Jan 04, 07:54

the day that their most recent movie delists (so 4 weekends after opening day) *or 12 weekends in the case of a Limeted release {nm} Willroast Jan 04, 07:57

In your example above where the TAG is 40 and the Starbond is at 20 what is probably happening is that people see that Willroast Jan 04, 08:05

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:02

So Tags basically dont move on a weekly basis (on the basis of the Actors movie's BO) and only on Delisting of the movie? Right? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:04

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:07

Waiting for Roto... {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 10:20

Technically the tags change when Antibody updates it. But, that's not necessary on any schedule that I'm aware of. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:19

Still, by the time that the tag is updated, by Anitibody, it's too late to make any profit. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:20

But it makes it easier to tell which direction is right for the next adjust. {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 13:33

A Classic Example of a TAG increasing well after the Adjust Date is ... (See Inside). RotoHockeyYTD2013 Jan 04, 17:09

My last post should say 'direction relative to the current price" {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 20:11

Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated, but... thatmichaelguy Jan 04, 08:05

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is..... ankurbe Jan 04, 08:18

Martin Freeman is another ARB {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:30

HowProfitable.com has these expected adjusts for DDEHA. elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:44

Thanks a lot elchan! I was unncessarily breaking my head. Didnt know this existed {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 09:24

Still nice to know how things work. There are subtleties that the model can't calculate. Read the top discussion on Star forum about WHARR elchan2012 Jan 04, 09:51





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Marc by Sofia (MARCS) 884 0.44 (-0.07)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 2084 0.84 (-0.07)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 100084 0.84 (-0.07)          Mr. Burton (BURTN) 989 0.40 (-0.02)          Mr. Burton (BURTN) 489 0.40 (-0.02)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 500 24.77 (-0.81)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 219 219.24 (+9.06)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 852 11.66 (+0.01)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1219 219.24 (+9.06)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.05 (-0.01)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.05 (-0.01)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 25000 17.08 (+0.10)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 2 2.50 (+0.34)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 5250 2.50 (+0.34)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 110002 2.00 (0.00)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 181.42 (+1.00)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 25000 186.10 (+1.50)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 110002 2.00 (0.00)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 520 20.19 (+0.56)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 102 20.19 (+0.56)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 20184 1.84 (-0.16)          Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 977 57.28 (-0.16)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 3184 1.84 (-0.16)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 373.72 (-0.01)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 539.64 (-0.81)          Bullitt (BULIT) 1926 20.22 (-0.04)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 25000 13.12 (+0.81)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 1021 21.32 (+1.32)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 3021 21.32 (+1.32)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 2 9.70 (-1.66)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 137.68 (-0.07)          Tangled (TANGL) 481 116.98 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 1 148.68 (-0.11)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 902 15.54 (-0.04)          Helldivers (HELDV) 777 100.24 (-0.07)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 149999 244.87 (+1.21)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 244.87 (+1.21)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 7805 55.54 (0.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 149999 13.12 (+0.81)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 13.12 (+0.81)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 983 78.23 (+0.16)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 219.24 (+9.06)