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Playing & Trading Strategy

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is.....

Posted by: ankurbe on Jan 04, 08:18 in response to thatmichaelguy's post Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated,...

Kill your darlings delists on Monday, accordingly Dane DeHaan will get adjusted on Tuesday. SB is at 17.67 while TAG is at 25.35. Now if you take the gross of his last five movies:

5. Lawless : 37.39

4. Jack and Diane: 0.01

3. The Place beyond: 21.38

2. Metallica: 3.42

1. Kill your Darlings: 0.91

Avergae of the 5 is 12.62 ; so an ideal candidate for shorting and making money. TAG was confusing me.

According to FAQ's, TAG's for starbonds are updated every week. Is this correct? So if the TAG is say 40 and Star Bond price is 20 and is ankurbe Jan 04, 06:53

I'm not sure how often the Starbond is adjusted after their main adjust after their most recent movie has delisted, but it does happen. Willroast Jan 04, 07:11

Sorry didn't quiet understand that...can anyone else help please? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 07:34

No problem bud. I think I may have been a little off anyway. The main thing to think about with Starbonds adjusting to match their TAGS Willroast Jan 04, 07:54

the day that their most recent movie delists (so 4 weekends after opening day) *or 12 weekends in the case of a Limeted release {nm} Willroast Jan 04, 07:57

In your example above where the TAG is 40 and the Starbond is at 20 what is probably happening is that people see that Willroast Jan 04, 08:05

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:02

So Tags basically dont move on a weekly basis (on the basis of the Actors movie's BO) and only on Delisting of the movie? Right? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:04

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:07

Waiting for Roto... {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 10:20

Technically the tags change when Antibody updates it. But, that's not necessary on any schedule that I'm aware of. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:19

Still, by the time that the tag is updated, by Anitibody, it's too late to make any profit. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:20

But it makes it easier to tell which direction is right for the next adjust. {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 13:33

A Classic Example of a TAG increasing well after the Adjust Date is ... (See Inside). RotoHockeyYTD2013 Jan 04, 17:09

My last post should say 'direction relative to the current price" {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 20:11

Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated, but... thatmichaelguy Jan 04, 08:05

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is..... ankurbe Jan 04, 08:18

Martin Freeman is another ARB {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:30

HowProfitable.com has these expected adjusts for DDEHA. elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:44

Thanks a lot elchan! I was unncessarily breaking my head. Didnt know this existed {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 09:24

Still nice to know how things work. There are subtleties that the model can't calculate. Read the top discussion on Star forum about WHARR elchan2012 Jan 04, 09:51





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The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10 246.52 (-0.49)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 150000 0.94 (-0.03)          Moana (MOAN1) 100 226.71 (+0.10)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 364.21 (+0.54)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.00 (-0.08)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 19.60 (+1.54)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 95.33 (-0.50)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 5600 10.25 (+0.02)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 25000 121.74 (-0.19)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 10 50.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 2 364.21 (+0.54)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 29.46 (+0.10)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.85 (-0.10)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 50000 24.58 (-0.18)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 40000 121.74 (-0.19)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 4502 160.20 (-0.33)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.67 (+0.05)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1000 19.60 (+1.54)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 50000 263.42 (+0.25)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 50000 64.18 (+0.05)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 25000 50.00 (0.00)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 50000 0.73 (0.00)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.14 (+0.28)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 9000 13.23 (-0.02)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.74 (-0.03)          The Catch (TCATC) 100 60.59 (+2.77)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.77 (-0.04)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1 263.42 (+0.25)          Whalefall (WHALF) 30600 31.54 (+0.12)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 31.54 (+0.12)          April X (APRLX) 150000 1.76 (-0.24)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 81.33 (+0.25)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 100 78.00 (0.00)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 35000 7.44 (+0.51)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 76.36 (-0.25)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 377.58 (-0.03)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 500 175.70 (-1.16)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 48333 42.12 (+0.09)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 5000 50.00 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 100 81.33 (+0.25)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 5000 4.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 49000 1.76 (-0.24)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 115.92 (+0.29)          April X (APRLX) 149989 1.76 (-0.24)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1000 421.46 (+0.38)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 99.46 (-0.92)