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Playing & Trading Strategy

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is.....

Posted by: ankurbe on Jan 04, 08:18 in response to thatmichaelguy's post Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated,...

Kill your darlings delists on Monday, accordingly Dane DeHaan will get adjusted on Tuesday. SB is at 17.67 while TAG is at 25.35. Now if you take the gross of his last five movies:

5. Lawless : 37.39

4. Jack and Diane: 0.01

3. The Place beyond: 21.38

2. Metallica: 3.42

1. Kill your Darlings: 0.91

Avergae of the 5 is 12.62 ; so an ideal candidate for shorting and making money. TAG was confusing me.

According to FAQ's, TAG's for starbonds are updated every week. Is this correct? So if the TAG is say 40 and Star Bond price is 20 and is ankurbe Jan 04, 06:53

I'm not sure how often the Starbond is adjusted after their main adjust after their most recent movie has delisted, but it does happen. Willroast Jan 04, 07:11

Sorry didn't quiet understand that...can anyone else help please? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 07:34

No problem bud. I think I may have been a little off anyway. The main thing to think about with Starbonds adjusting to match their TAGS Willroast Jan 04, 07:54

the day that their most recent movie delists (so 4 weekends after opening day) *or 12 weekends in the case of a Limeted release {nm} Willroast Jan 04, 07:57

In your example above where the TAG is 40 and the Starbond is at 20 what is probably happening is that people see that Willroast Jan 04, 08:05

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:02

So Tags basically dont move on a weekly basis (on the basis of the Actors movie's BO) and only on Delisting of the movie? Right? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:04

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:07

Waiting for Roto... {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 10:20

Technically the tags change when Antibody updates it. But, that's not necessary on any schedule that I'm aware of. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:19

Still, by the time that the tag is updated, by Anitibody, it's too late to make any profit. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:20

But it makes it easier to tell which direction is right for the next adjust. {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 13:33

A Classic Example of a TAG increasing well after the Adjust Date is ... (See Inside). RotoHockeyYTD2013 Jan 04, 17:09

My last post should say 'direction relative to the current price" {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 20:11

Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated, but... thatmichaelguy Jan 04, 08:05

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is..... ankurbe Jan 04, 08:18

Martin Freeman is another ARB {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:30

HowProfitable.com has these expected adjusts for DDEHA. elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:44

Thanks a lot elchan! I was unncessarily breaking my head. Didnt know this existed {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 09:24

Still nice to know how things work. There are subtleties that the model can't calculate. Read the top discussion on Star forum about WHARR elchan2012 Jan 04, 09:51





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Sing 3 (SING3) 3000 55.11 (+2.42)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.76 (-0.77)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 25000 89.62 (+0.75)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 3000 227.20 (-0.50)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 55.11 (+2.42)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 40000 302.49 (+0.96)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 55.11 (+2.42)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 7631 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50000 139.13 (-3.56)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 5000 20.00 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.07 (+0.04)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.07 (+0.04)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 857 55.11 (+2.42)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.69 (-0.02)          De Noche (DNOCH) 90000 5.03 (+0.07)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 68512 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 3.18 (+0.25)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.78 (+0.26)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 9.28 (+0.03)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 570 28.10 (-0.02)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 55.11 (+2.42)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 55.11 (+2.42)          M. Night Shyamalan (MNSHY) 1000 74.65 (-0.01)          Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 1000 41.99 (+0.33)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Snoop (SNOOP) 5000 21.50 (-0.02)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 25000 1.83 (-0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 75000 40.76 (-0.77)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 55.18 (+0.27)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 8008 28.10 (-0.02)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 10000 20.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 427.83 (+0.74)          The Catch (TCATC) 1034 69.42 (+0.08)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 35.73 (-0.02)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 36.47 (-0.01)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.73 (+0.12)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 12562 28.10 (-0.02)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 3000 317.49 (+0.78)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 3000 119.94 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 11.64 (+0.39)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 7 78.70 (-0.60)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 109842 20.00 (0.00)          Mike Myers (MMYER) 25000 47.41 (-0.17)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4720 421.32 (+6.30)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 17000 116.60 (-1.16)