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If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would

Posted by: dsbman (a.k.a dsbmanYTD2011) on Jun 27, 10:56 in response to notfabio's post mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4

give TFRM3 a breakdown of $58.5 pre-weekend and $79.5 during the weekend. That'd be shocking.

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





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The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 10000 73.01 (-0.79)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 64.70 (+7.30)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 150000 0.10 (+0.04)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 5000 43.15 (-0.22)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 10000 43.15 (-0.22)          Marty Supreme - Picture (A6PMSU) 25000 0.41 (+0.02)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Voice Of Hind Rajab (TVOHR) 150000 0.40 (+0.05)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 5000 6.02 (-0.12)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 5000 6.02 (-0.12)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 900 311.64 (+1.12)          Ryan Coogler - Sinners - Directo (A6DRCO) 25000 6.96 (-0.13)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 20000 6.02 (-0.12)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Put Fri-M (WUTHR.PU) 25000 2.54 (-0.33)          Whistle (WHIST) 10000 7.23 (+0.45)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 900 8.42 (-0.02)          The Moment (MOMNT) 10000 9.22 (-0.31)          Grendel (GREND) 100 14.53 (+0.37)          Solo Mio - Opening Weekend (SOLOM.OW) 100000 4.39 (-0.44)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 50000 11.80 (-1.53)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 30000 11.80 (-1.53)          Savage House (SVGHS) 150000 0.17 (+0.03)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 900 176.23 (+1.34)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 13.33 (+0.53)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 - Openi (STRN5.OW) 10000 5.86 (-0.11)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 149999 5.30 (+2.09)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 900 141.99 (+1.24)          Send Help (SENDH) 2000 46.49 (+2.22)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 105.51 (+1.83)          Shelter (SELTR) 1000 13.33 (+0.53)          Grendel (GREND) 100 14.53 (+0.37)          Untitled K-Pop Movie (KPOPM) 1000 34.19 (-0.24)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 8000 79.48 (+1.26)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 10000 22.41 (+0.28)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          One Night Only (ONTON) 10000 24.57 (-0.02)          Shiver (SHVER) 8000 64.70 (+7.30)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 1000 96.99 (+0.12)          Melania (MLNIA) 6000 14.48 (+3.43)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 10000 5.30 (+2.09)          Resurrection (RSRCN) 2 0.63 (0.00)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 2 0.10 (+0.04)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 10000 3.46 (-0.45)          Magellan (MGELN) 3 0.23 (+0.01)          Father Mother Sister Brother (FMSB) 4 1.23 (-0.01)          H Is For Hawk (HFHWK) 13 1.15 (-0.04)