HSX Forum

Movies

what's your prediction at this time {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:37 in response to xiayun's post Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.99 (-0.01)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 125970 111.68 (+0.61)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 111.68 (+0.61)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 3.20 (+0.07)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 3.20 (+0.07)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 9.34 (+0.07)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 9.34 (+0.07)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.35 (+0.12)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.35 (+0.12)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.53 (+0.12)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.53 (+0.12)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.38 (+0.41)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.38 (+0.41)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.33 (+0.44)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.33 (+0.44)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.53 (+0.48)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.53 (+0.48)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.06 (+0.51)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.06 (+0.51)          Helldivers (HELDV) 80 100.45 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.75 (+0.53)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.75 (+0.53)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 7.88 (+0.52)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 7.88 (+0.52)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.99 (-0.01)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.99 (-0.01)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          Richard Gere (RGERE) 25000 1.65 (+0.02)          Darren Aronofsky (DARON) 20000 51.84 (-0.13)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 19.08 (+0.10)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.38 (+0.41)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Fuze (FUZE) 20000 14.57 (-0.02)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 19.90 (-0.35)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 12.85 (-0.11)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 12.85 (-0.11)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.75 (+0.53)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 7.88 (+0.52)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 11.27 (-0.42)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 7.88 (+0.52)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 11.27 (-0.42)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 30000 41.52 (-0.02)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.53 (+0.48)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.53 (+0.48)