HSX Forum

Movies

what's your prediction at this time {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:37 in response to xiayun's post Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.68 (+1.01)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 18.20 (+1.16)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.03 (-2.41)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.66 (-1.68)          Abigail (ABGAL) 40000 31.31 (-0.50)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 19400 65.20 (+1.26)          Fantastic Four (FANF2) 150000 161.40 (+0.88)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 25000 65.20 (+1.26)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 2.86 (-0.17)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 2.86 (-0.17)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.51 (+0.28)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 600 65.20 (+1.26)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.51 (+0.28)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.32 (-0.79)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.32 (-0.79)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 59.41 (-0.79)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 59.41 (-0.79)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2000 43.66 (-1.68)          Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 999 3.64 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 485 43.66 (-1.68)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 45000 43.66 (-1.68)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2485 43.66 (-1.68)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.46 (-0.35)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.59 (+0.02)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 20000 8.46 (-0.35)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 25000 51.61 (-0.35)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 25000 33.49 (-1.18)          Madden (MADEN) 1 25.88 (+0.88)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.46 (-0.35)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1537 124.03 (-2.41)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2485 43.66 (-1.68)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 63930 43.66 (-1.68)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 39.56 (-1.15)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 39.56 (-1.15)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 63930 43.66 (-1.68)          Ilana Glazer (IGLAZ) 25000 22.52 (-0.01)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.44 (+2.47)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.68 (+1.01)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.86 (+0.08)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.28 (+1.18)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 2009 6.90 (+0.09)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.55 (+1.70)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.66 (-0.10)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 53.16 (+1.55)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.95 (-1.60)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)