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Alright Maybe I Really Misunderstood Tracking, But Doesn't It Always Go Up ?

Posted by: wrongturn687 on Oct 04, 17:02 in response to secretstalker's post Yeah, wait until the reviews start hitting. It'll change.

I mean tracking is based on the awareness of movie upon relase right ? And when the movie is advertised more it's awareness goes up. I don't really know, becuase this is how I always thought it worked, but even if tracking was inaccurate TS is still not the right choice to comapre to imo. For one they have completely different demographs. TS was aimed at the all male demo and WTWTA appeals to everbody from the age of 10 to 40 male and female. It's a family flick that should be considered in a compleltely different leaguge than a dark PG-13 action movie. I seriously doubt it will open less than CWACOM which easily did 30 and had no real advance buzz.

RS 10/9 notfabio Oct 04, 13:37

thanks! {nm} RogerMore Oct 04, 13:55

AWESOME And Am I The Only One Who Wouldn't Be Suprised If WTWTA Grossed 40 to 50mill Opening Weekend. wrongturn687 Oct 04, 14:19

RS has it at much less then that . . ..; ) {nm} thatpj Oct 04, 14:57

I Know That, But Think About It ? wrongturn687 Oct 04, 15:10

Terminator Salvation was tracking obnoxiously well before release and we all know what happened with that. thatpj Oct 04, 15:54

Okay but why compare this TS in the first place ? wrongturn687 Oct 04, 16:06

Because you are assuming that advance tracking will go UP. Salvation is a great example that advance tracking shodn't be taken literally. {nm} thatpj Oct 04, 16:36

ot {nm} lone canadlan leafs fan Oct 04, 15:04

it's not the movie pushing itself - it's that great Arcade Fire music in the trailers {nm} lone canadlan leafs fan Oct 04, 15:05

Then watch the trailer... the song isn't in the movie and there isn't anything nearly that good. {nm} secretstalker Oct 04, 16:46

It won't open that big.. but I still think RS is undervaluing it. {nm} secretstalker Oct 04, 16:42

I've heard more people talking about this movie than anything since TFRM2. I'm thinking 40-50 is very doable. {nm} Torfin Oct 04, 16:42

Yeah, wait until the reviews start hitting. It'll change. {nm} secretstalker Oct 04, 16:45

Alright Maybe I Really Misunderstood Tracking, But Doesn't It Always Go Up ? wrongturn687 Oct 04, 17:02

Awareness generally will always go up, but that doesn't mean the interest or desire to see a movie will. secretstalker Oct 04, 17:10

geez, grinchy much? :P islander Oct 04, 17:10

Only [SHRKS] and [HISM3] have been in the 40's for an Oct opening weekend in the past 5 years. I don't see [WILD] even close to those. {nm} vegasrebel Oct 04, 16:53

In Two Weeks We'll Find Out. wrongturn687 Oct 04, 17:04

Going ot have to agree with this. If it was going to hit the 40-50 range, it would be a summer or winter holiday release, not October thatpj Oct 04, 19:20

Maybe, But I Still Think It's Very Possible For It To Break Out. {nm} wrongturn687 Oct 04, 20:17

Anything possible, just curious if elemantary schools will be on fall break? That is the target demo. 40M sounds high {nm} damenchipguy Oct 04, 21:01

Don't Know About Fall Break, But I'm Sure It Has A Big Enough Fanbase That It Shouldn't Have To Rely Just On Kids. wrongturn687 Oct 04, 21:20

I think WILD is easily good for 35...great trailer, LONG awaited...not only kids will see it...I read this to my son 25 years ago and can ha {nm} seattleduffer1 Oct 05, 06:35

At The Very Least Nothing Lower Than 37 to 39mill. {nm} wrongturn687 Oct 05, 07:50

Don't make up stock symbols. It's really annoying. {nm} Vashta Nerada Oct 04, 18:24

Thank you! {nm} vegasrebel Oct 04, 14:39





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