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If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Aug 14, 01:08 in response to Rednax's post What is "the rule"?

mtc 31 expend 17 paranorman and odd life 3 day 13 sparkle {nm} notfabio Aug 13, 16:23

Wow, low for Expendables. {nm} MrSmitherz Aug 13, 16:25

And high for Odd Life... {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 16:32

I feel that Sparkle is being underestimated, just like TLKAM, especially it being Whitney Houston's last movie. {nm} elchan Aug 13, 16:40

Bingo - I've made millions thru the years on how most traders consistently underestimate films targeted to MAlbi Aug 13, 17:00

Agree. Sparkle will open like a Madea movie.The original has a cult like following and with Whitney, there is a lot to drive interest. {nm} leo21 Aug 14, 16:51

MTC tags: [XPND2] 31, [PNORM] 17, [OLOTG] 17 for 3 days, [SPRKL] 13 {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:47

this should make for a very interesting wknd if MTC/RS rule works... {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:48

Have more confidence on the "rule" happening on PNORM than XPND2 xiayun Aug 13, 17:31

this has been the widest spread I've seen in a while. and usually "the rule" works best on wide spreads, right? {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 17:49

I believe so, especially when MTC is lower {nm} xiayun Aug 13, 19:59

What is "the rule"? {nm} Rednax Aug 14, 00:28

If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ JDolphin Aug 14, 01:08

anybody have the MTC and RS number on Expendables 1? Thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:08

....Expendables 1 (MTC 33, RS Low-mid 30s) {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 17:13

thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:24

1st time ever, liking RS for XPND2 @ $50. My predict is $53M on the nose for XPND2. I think OLOTG is $11M 3-day and $15M overall. {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:13

With elchan on SPRKL estimates. SPRKL getting shafted by progs across the board despite having Whitney's last performance and . . . {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:16

. . . an incredible soundtrack to boot. SPRKL has to open @ $20M, all these guys who keep giving Tyler Perry $20M weekends HAVE to turn out, eallensbp Aug 13, 17:19

I reckon Sparkle would do better with a less girly title. {nm} Jane_Citizen Aug 13, 19:02

Girly title, butch title, SPRKL has great vocal performances--and the black community that tends to turn out for TP's flicks and TLKAM will eallensbp Aug 13, 19:12

I don't see how a movie with no stars, no buzz, and no major distribution thatpj Aug 13, 19:27





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