HSX Forum

Movies

If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Aug 14, 01:08 in response to Rednax's post What is "the rule"?

mtc 31 expend 17 paranorman and odd life 3 day 13 sparkle {nm} notfabio Aug 13, 16:23

Wow, low for Expendables. {nm} MrSmitherz Aug 13, 16:25

And high for Odd Life... {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 16:32

I feel that Sparkle is being underestimated, just like TLKAM, especially it being Whitney Houston's last movie. {nm} elchan Aug 13, 16:40

Bingo - I've made millions thru the years on how most traders consistently underestimate films targeted to MAlbi Aug 13, 17:00

Agree. Sparkle will open like a Madea movie.The original has a cult like following and with Whitney, there is a lot to drive interest. {nm} leo21 Aug 14, 16:51

MTC tags: [XPND2] 31, [PNORM] 17, [OLOTG] 17 for 3 days, [SPRKL] 13 {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:47

this should make for a very interesting wknd if MTC/RS rule works... {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:48

Have more confidence on the "rule" happening on PNORM than XPND2 xiayun Aug 13, 17:31

this has been the widest spread I've seen in a while. and usually "the rule" works best on wide spreads, right? {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 17:49

I believe so, especially when MTC is lower {nm} xiayun Aug 13, 19:59

What is "the rule"? {nm} Rednax Aug 14, 00:28

If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ JDolphin Aug 14, 01:08

anybody have the MTC and RS number on Expendables 1? Thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:08

....Expendables 1 (MTC 33, RS Low-mid 30s) {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 17:13

thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:24

1st time ever, liking RS for XPND2 @ $50. My predict is $53M on the nose for XPND2. I think OLOTG is $11M 3-day and $15M overall. {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:13

With elchan on SPRKL estimates. SPRKL getting shafted by progs across the board despite having Whitney's last performance and . . . {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:16

. . . an incredible soundtrack to boot. SPRKL has to open @ $20M, all these guys who keep giving Tyler Perry $20M weekends HAVE to turn out, eallensbp Aug 13, 17:19

I reckon Sparkle would do better with a less girly title. {nm} Jane_Citizen Aug 13, 19:02

Girly title, butch title, SPRKL has great vocal performances--and the black community that tends to turn out for TP's flicks and TLKAM will eallensbp Aug 13, 19:12

I don't see how a movie with no stars, no buzz, and no major distribution thatpj Aug 13, 19:27





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Y2K (Y2K) 150000 15.27 (+0.28)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 50000 71.53 (-7.22)          Y2K (Y2K) 50000 15.27 (+0.28)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 5000 259.09 (-1.86)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 1000 177.05 (0.00)          Snow White (SNWHT) 25000 211.30 (+2.47)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 211.30 (+2.47)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 20000 8.47 (0.00)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 211.30 (+2.47)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 1000 71.53 (-7.22)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 20000 8.47 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 12500 110.25 (+0.67)          The Chain (CHAIN) 20000 7.95 (-0.01)          Nicholas Hoult (NHOUL) 25000 31.35 (+0.12)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 20.11 (+2.11)          The Chain (CHAIN) 20000 7.95 (-0.01)          Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 25000 62.55 (+0.25)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 5000 159.88 (-1.12)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 68.12 (+0.25)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 20000 34.06 (-0.02)          Lily-Rose Depp (LDEPP) 25000 5.75 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 20000 26.75 (+0.51)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 90.00 (0.00)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.57 (+1.78)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 20.11 (+2.11)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 100 26.75 (+0.51)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 20000 61.31 (+0.18)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.72 (-0.28)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 90.00 (0.00)          A Complete Unknown (GOELC) 1000 28.41 (+0.11)          Queen of Bones (QUBON) 150000 1.31 (+0.02)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 1000 90.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 10000 159.88 (-1.12)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 10000 20.11 (+2.11)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.10 (-0.10)          Werner Herzog (WHERZ) 2000 17.34 (-0.08)          Kraven the Hunter - Opening Week (KRAVN.OW) 96478 26.49 (+0.60)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 147254 71.53 (-7.22)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 90.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 60812 259.09 (-1.86)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 1000 90.00 (0.00)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 12500 61.31 (+0.18)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 150000 71.53 (-7.22)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 12500 71.53 (-7.22)