HSX Forum

Movies

1st time ever, liking RS for XPND2 @ $50. My predict is $53M on the nose for XPND2. I think OLOTG is $11M 3-day and $15M overall. {nm}

Posted by: eallensbp on Aug 13, 17:13 in response to notfabio's post mtc 31 expend 17 paranorman and odd life 3 day 13 sparkle

mtc 31 expend 17 paranorman and odd life 3 day 13 sparkle {nm} notfabio Aug 13, 16:23

Wow, low for Expendables. {nm} MrSmitherz Aug 13, 16:25

And high for Odd Life... {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 16:32

I feel that Sparkle is being underestimated, just like TLKAM, especially it being Whitney Houston's last movie. {nm} elchan Aug 13, 16:40

Bingo - I've made millions thru the years on how most traders consistently underestimate films targeted to MAlbi Aug 13, 17:00

Agree. Sparkle will open like a Madea movie.The original has a cult like following and with Whitney, there is a lot to drive interest. {nm} leo21 Aug 14, 16:51

MTC tags: [XPND2] 31, [PNORM] 17, [OLOTG] 17 for 3 days, [SPRKL] 13 {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:47

this should make for a very interesting wknd if MTC/RS rule works... {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:48

Have more confidence on the "rule" happening on PNORM than XPND2 xiayun Aug 13, 17:31

this has been the widest spread I've seen in a while. and usually "the rule" works best on wide spreads, right? {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 17:49

I believe so, especially when MTC is lower {nm} xiayun Aug 13, 19:59

What is "the rule"? {nm} Rednax Aug 14, 00:28

If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ {nm} JDolphin Aug 14, 01:08

anybody have the MTC and RS number on Expendables 1? Thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:08

....Expendables 1 (MTC 33, RS Low-mid 30s) {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 17:13

thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:24

1st time ever, liking RS for XPND2 @ $50. My predict is $53M on the nose for XPND2. I think OLOTG is $11M 3-day and $15M overall. eallensbp Aug 13, 17:13

With elchan on SPRKL estimates. SPRKL getting shafted by progs across the board despite having Whitney's last performance and . . . {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:16

. . . an incredible soundtrack to boot. SPRKL has to open @ $20M, all these guys who keep giving Tyler Perry $20M weekends HAVE to turn out, eallensbp Aug 13, 17:19

I reckon Sparkle would do better with a less girly title. {nm} Jane_Citizen Aug 13, 19:02

Girly title, butch title, SPRKL has great vocal performances--and the black community that tends to turn out for TP's flicks and TLKAM will eallensbp Aug 13, 19:12

I don't see how a movie with no stars, no buzz, and no major distribution thatpj Aug 13, 19:27





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.48 (+0.04)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.41 (+0.60)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.48 (+0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 111.49 (-0.25)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.13 (-0.19)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 3.94 (+0.03)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 33760 64.92 (-0.27)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 64.55 (-0.67)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 1.23 (-0.13)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 1.23 (-0.13)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 22.96 (-0.85)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 22.96 (-0.85)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.72 (-0.93)          Metal Men (METAL) 50000 8.49 (+0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.72 (-0.93)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 50000 17.02 (+0.02)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.41 (+0.60)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 50000 33.24 (+0.03)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.41 (+0.60)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 50000 46.80 (+0.05)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 50000 22.25 (+0.02)          Hercules (HRCUL) 50000 18.92 (+0.02)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 50000 16.89 (+0.02)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.03 (+0.85)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 50000 27.87 (+0.03)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.03 (+0.85)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 144556 89.32 (+0.33)          Primate (PRIMT) 149999 19.68 (+0.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50000 174.81 (-0.23)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 19.68 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 159.30 (+0.22)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.82 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 163.03 (-0.11)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.83 (-0.10)          Send Help (SENDH) 50000 35.72 (-0.03)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 50000 70.89 (-0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 64.92 (-0.27)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 5444 89.32 (+0.33)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 444 10.18 (+0.66)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.87 (-0.06)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.78 (-0.22)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.72 (-0.93)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 4 41.44 (+0.86)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 32323 41.44 (+0.86)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 9899 41.44 (+0.86)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 150000 124.77 (+0.33)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 25000 67.17 (-0.02)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 9 5.92 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 13 300.58 (0.00)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 3.94 (+0.03)