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The problem with predicting this movie is that we all know it will be ridiculously front loaded. {nm}

Posted by: grengrad on Nov 20, 08:22 in response to CP7x77's post Just heard on the radio that [TWLI2] did $22M at...

Just heard on the radio that [TWLI2] did $22M at midnight! What does this mean to you? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:19

That would make it essentially even with HPOT6 for the midnight record. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:21

BOM says HPOT6 did $77.8M opening weekend. Doesn't this suggest HSX might be overshooting this one a bit? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:30

But it also opened on a Wednesday, when it grossed 58M if I remember right. Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

And also, by delist, it had made $273,848,633 - at least how I just read BOM-figures {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:36

Here's the HSX adjust data for HPOT6, if anyone finds that interesting Facto Nov 20, 08:40

you cant compare hpot6 to new moon for the simple fact that.... this isnt the summer. {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 20, 08:40

and (correct me if i'm wrong) wasn't hpot6 a wednesday opening? {nm} eyescovered Nov 20, 08:41

Yes, made approx 80 million Wedn and Thursd business, followed by approximately the same amount on the WE (Fri-Sun) {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:43

The problem with predicting this movie is that we all know it will be ridiculously front loaded. grengrad Nov 20, 08:22

Perhaps, but there'll also be a lot of repeat viewings... {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:24

Well, first movie did just 20% of OD gross in midnights. {nm} liuk Nov 20, 08:26

The figure 110 pops up - if this one plays out in a similary fashion, that is {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:28

Right. This could conceivably stay under HPOT6's opening day, have a <2.0 Friday-to-weekend multiplier like the first movie, and break even. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:26

Meaning there's barely any downside to speak of anylonger (not that that's surprising)? {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:31

Yeah, I really doubt it. That midnight number is too big for me to worry one bit about my long. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

Will this 22M be added to TWLI2's total weekend gross? {nm} karspov Nov 20, 08:45

Absolutely - it's part of Friday's take {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:48





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