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Well, first movie did just 20% of OD gross in midnights. {nm}

Posted by: liuk on Nov 20, 08:26 in response to grengrad's post The problem with predicting this movie is that we all...

Just heard on the radio that [TWLI2] did $22M at midnight! What does this mean to you? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:19

That would make it essentially even with HPOT6 for the midnight record. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:21

BOM says HPOT6 did $77.8M opening weekend. Doesn't this suggest HSX might be overshooting this one a bit? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:30

But it also opened on a Wednesday, when it grossed 58M if I remember right. Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

And also, by delist, it had made $273,848,633 - at least how I just read BOM-figures {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:36

Here's the HSX adjust data for HPOT6, if anyone finds that interesting Facto Nov 20, 08:40

you cant compare hpot6 to new moon for the simple fact that.... this isnt the summer. {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 20, 08:40

and (correct me if i'm wrong) wasn't hpot6 a wednesday opening? {nm} eyescovered Nov 20, 08:41

Yes, made approx 80 million Wedn and Thursd business, followed by approximately the same amount on the WE (Fri-Sun) {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:43

The problem with predicting this movie is that we all know it will be ridiculously front loaded. {nm} grengrad Nov 20, 08:22

Perhaps, but there'll also be a lot of repeat viewings... {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:24

Well, first movie did just 20% of OD gross in midnights. liuk Nov 20, 08:26

The figure 110 pops up - if this one plays out in a similary fashion, that is {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:28

Right. This could conceivably stay under HPOT6's opening day, have a <2.0 Friday-to-weekend multiplier like the first movie, and break even. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:26

Meaning there's barely any downside to speak of anylonger (not that that's surprising)? {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:31

Yeah, I really doubt it. That midnight number is too big for me to worry one bit about my long. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

Will this 22M be added to TWLI2's total weekend gross? {nm} karspov Nov 20, 08:45

Absolutely - it's part of Friday's take {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:48





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Omaha (OMAHA) 1496 0.14 (0.00)          Omaha (OMAHA) 1404 0.14 (0.00)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 50.81 (-0.40)          Wasteman (WASTE) 800 0.05 (0.00)          Wasteman (WASTE) 800 0.05 (0.00)          Panda Plan 2: The Magical Tribe (PPLA2) 298 0.29 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.65 (+0.14)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.65 (+0.14)          Panda Plan 2: The Magical Tribe (PPLA2) 1202 0.29 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 66132 21.94 (-0.12)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 111111 117.35 (+0.69)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 392 0.44 (0.00)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 1908 0.44 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 149998 22.37 (+0.55)          Please (PLESE) 149996 22.37 (+0.55)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 69 39.14 (-0.10)          Amrum (AMRUM) 497 0.14 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 18 7.13 (+0.11)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 149998 17.65 (+0.14)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 119.91 (-0.41)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 111111 98.61 (+0.18)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 149996 17.65 (+0.14)          Amrum (AMRUM) 903 0.14 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 206.07 (-0.10)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 24 17.65 (+0.14)          Heads or Tails (HDOTL) 1182 0.06 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 4 2.93 (+0.01)          Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 25000 125.20 (-0.33)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 4 2.93 (+0.01)          Lewis Tan (LTAN) 25000 123.99 (+0.33)          Ludi Lin (LLIN) 25000 117.81 (+0.66)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.45 (+0.41)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 109.95 (-0.33)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 200 7.81 (-0.03)          Karl Urban (KURBA) 25000 106.76 (-0.33)          Heads or Tails (HDOTL) 1882 0.06 (0.00)          Tadanobu Asano (TASAN) 25000 89.29 (+0.25)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 53.99 (-0.16)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 165 13.75 (-0.06)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.45 (+0.41)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.45 (+0.41)          Rosemarie DeWitt (RDEWI) 25000 46.12 (+0.16)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.84 (+0.63)          Hong Chau (HCHAU) 25000 33.15 (0.00)          October (OCTOB) 150000 5.84 (-0.03)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.84 (+0.63)          Sonequa Martin-Green (SMGRE) 25000 23.08 (+0.12)          Steve Zahn (SZAHN) 25000 15.76 (+0.10)          Hamlet (HAMET) 322 0.55 (-0.01)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 10 1.99 (-0.02)