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Perhaps, but there'll also be a lot of repeat viewings... {nm}

Posted by: Facto on Nov 20, 08:24 in response to grengrad's post The problem with predicting this movie is that we all...

Just heard on the radio that [TWLI2] did $22M at midnight! What does this mean to you? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:19

That would make it essentially even with HPOT6 for the midnight record. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:21

BOM says HPOT6 did $77.8M opening weekend. Doesn't this suggest HSX might be overshooting this one a bit? {nm} CP7x77 Nov 20, 08:30

But it also opened on a Wednesday, when it grossed 58M if I remember right. Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

And also, by delist, it had made $273,848,633 - at least how I just read BOM-figures {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:36

Here's the HSX adjust data for HPOT6, if anyone finds that interesting Facto Nov 20, 08:40

you cant compare hpot6 to new moon for the simple fact that.... this isnt the summer. {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 20, 08:40

and (correct me if i'm wrong) wasn't hpot6 a wednesday opening? {nm} eyescovered Nov 20, 08:41

Yes, made approx 80 million Wedn and Thursd business, followed by approximately the same amount on the WE (Fri-Sun) {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:43

The problem with predicting this movie is that we all know it will be ridiculously front loaded. {nm} grengrad Nov 20, 08:22

Perhaps, but there'll also be a lot of repeat viewings... Facto Nov 20, 08:24

Well, first movie did just 20% of OD gross in midnights. {nm} liuk Nov 20, 08:26

The figure 110 pops up - if this one plays out in a similary fashion, that is {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:28

Right. This could conceivably stay under HPOT6's opening day, have a <2.0 Friday-to-weekend multiplier like the first movie, and break even. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:26

Meaning there's barely any downside to speak of anylonger (not that that's surprising)? {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:31

Yeah, I really doubt it. That midnight number is too big for me to worry one bit about my long. {nm} Jelly Nov 20, 08:32

Will this 22M be added to TWLI2's total weekend gross? {nm} karspov Nov 20, 08:45

Absolutely - it's part of Friday's take {nm} Facto Nov 20, 08:48





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Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.18 (-0.30)          The Drama (TDRAM) 400 34.57 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 86278 78.81 (+1.01)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 25000 4.91 (-0.39)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.45 (+0.30)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 25000 5.83 (-0.49)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.18 (-0.30)          Varanasi (VARAN) 25000 10.47 (-0.89)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 104717 212.55 (+2.37)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 20000 18.01 (+0.76)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 2 21.07 (+1.07)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 20000 21.07 (+1.07)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 20000 14.40 (+1.26)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 2 1.61 (+0.04)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 18.01 (+0.76)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 18.01 (+0.76)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 6827 2.90 (-0.03)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.07 (+1.07)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 13.49 (+0.61)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 250 21.07 (+1.07)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 5.83 (-0.49)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 5.83 (-0.49)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 4.91 (-0.39)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 4.91 (-0.39)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.93 (+0.71)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.66 (-0.06)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10000 212.55 (+2.37)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.47 (-0.89)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.47 (-0.89)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.40 (+1.26)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 55000 140.16 (+0.67)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.40 (+1.26)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 7000 9.37 (-0.07)          Creed IV (CREE4) 6000 30.48 (-0.07)          Barbarella (BARBA) 6000 25.82 (-0.07)          Jackass 5 (JCKA6) 5000 51.22 (+0.05)          Gatto (GATTO) 23000 119.38 (+0.27)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 40000 10.74 (+0.51)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 40000 14.40 (+1.26)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 5000 44.21 (-0.05)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 6000 37.25 (+0.07)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 100 56.15 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 16000 189.70 (-0.22)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 20000 21.07 (+1.07)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 62000 18.01 (+0.76)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 20000 14.40 (+1.26)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 110.96 (+0.45)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 8000 95.10 (-0.09)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 25000 5.83 (-0.49)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 2 1.61 (+0.04)