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240m was the adjust final total after 16 weeks, 184m is the adjusted total after 4 weekends (from BOM) {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Jul 15, 15:11 in response to Fitch3k's post Here's the numbers showing you're wrong, using your...

GHST3 - $3.4m Thursday RollingThunder Jul 15, 07:47

Ha ha... definite short based on OW price. {nm} diamondman56 Jul 15, 07:52

Bummer johnnyb588 Jul 15, 10:36

To get to the studios $40M, it's now gonna need almost 12x... TwoMisfits Jul 15, 08:09

Spy SCOPR did 19.3X so it's not impossible. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 08:40

Right, it's not impossible, but it's highly, highly unlikely... TwoMisfits Jul 15, 08:50

If we're counting on the female fanbase that came out for SCOPR, then 12X is likely. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 08:53

Not your typical female comedy. {nm} tradermark Jul 15, 09:07

Right, SCOPR wasn't your typical female comedy either. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 09:10

As noted below, the average comedy is 13X this year. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 08:56

Which, if it performs as average, puts in under the hoped for $50M at $44.2M TwoMisfits Jul 15, 09:00

But above the studio's $40M. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 09:02

I will say if it's within $2M of $40M, the weekend estimate will hit $40M no matter what... TwoMisfits Jul 15, 09:05

But isn't that SOP for studios? {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 15, 09:12

I think WOM will be less kind than the critics were. I don't think it will get the multiplier it needs. {nm} RamsFan2004 Jul 15, 08:24

below ID2 and that was panned as a massive failure, it's time to acknowledge GB16 is bombing. {nm} Fitch3k Jul 15, 08:57

i wish i could find my post expressing my disbelief this could out draw ID2 {nm} tradermark Jul 15, 09:02

ERC still believes in $50M ;) Antibody Jul 15, 09:12

It's crazy how a line in the sand has been drawn for 50m, Ghostbusters 3 should easily pull 85m and 200m domestic {nm} Fitch3k Jul 15, 09:16

GHST2 adjusted for inflation opened at $63.7M, so no. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 09:18

proof that gender has nothing to do with making an awful Ghostbusters movie {nm} slipping jimmy Jul 15, 10:08

the issue was never about gender and the quality of the film. it was about people hating on the film because of gender without even seeing Moviesnob Jul 15, 10:46

some people. others just thought the trailers were meh {nm} slipping jimmy Jul 15, 10:51

agree, thats why i said "a misguided vocal minority of folks". Again theres nothing unusual about not wanting to see a film or saying Moviesnob Jul 15, 10:57

Not sexist. Just don't like McCarthy, Jones and Feig... I'm a huge fan of JLaw, Sigourney, Jolie, Milia Jovovich. etc. Baron_Darcon Jul 15, 11:26

So no what? No the industry hasn't change at all in 27 years to become front loaded? Fitch3k Jul 15, 10:30

Should Jurassic World simply have been the inflation adjusted number of JP3? I'm astounded at how much bias you are showing, Fitch3k Jul 15, 10:32

Yet IDAY2 fell massively short based on the same nostalgia, so no it's not $85M is not an easy number you pulled out. There's no bias here. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 10:39

ID2 was a continuation of a story. I don't get that sense with this. {nm} tradermark Jul 15, 11:32

JW was also a continuation of the story, using Fitch3k's example. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 13:19

Cause capable and definite mean the same? You really are being obnoxious in a way I have never seen you post before... Fitch3k Jul 15, 12:13

You said it was easy. If it was easy then every film would be doing it. I called you on your poor assumption. {nm} Antibody Jul 15, 13:13

Here's the numbers showing you're wrong, using your comparison, GB2 inflation adj -250m, it had a 3.8 multiplier, is that still the norm? No Fitch3k Jul 15, 12:17

GHST2's adjusted for inflation delist multiplier is $184.8/63.7 = 2.9 pretty close to the current avg of 2.7, so you're wrong. Antibody Jul 15, 13:09

240m was the adjust final total after 16 weeks, 184m is the adjusted total after 4 weekends (from BOM) JDolphin Jul 15, 15:11





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Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 1.92 (-0.01)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 370 63.06 (-0.25)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.01 (-0.53)          Trap House (TRAPH) 49998 22.01 (-0.53)          Trap House (TRAPH) 14999 22.01 (-0.53)          Trap House (TRAPH) 14999 22.01 (-0.53)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 35 334.42 (+0.36)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 149000 10.83 (-0.68)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 73.37 (-1.15)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 4555 122.27 (-1.75)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 9000 8.75 (-0.24)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 1000 17.01 (0.00)          Weapons (WEPNS) 14999 21.81 (-0.83)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Clue (CLUE) 14999 17.41 (-0.98)          Clue (CLUE) 14999 17.41 (-0.98)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 14999 73.37 (-1.15)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 20000 122.27 (-1.75)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 82907 122.27 (-1.75)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 30.29 (+4.37)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 30.29 (+4.37)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.78 (+1.37)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 113800 10.83 (-0.68)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.78 (+1.37)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 10.83 (-0.68)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 1 12.40 (+1.46)          Jim Sturgess (JSTUR) 25000 7.78 (+0.05)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 25000 0.24 (-0.05)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 14999 12.40 (+1.46)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 48.59 (-0.25)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 14.73 (+0.31)          Dianne Wiest (DWIES) 25000 50.84 (-0.16)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 14.73 (+0.31)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 33.56 (-0.12)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 2311 6.00 (0.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 149975 11.49 (-0.21)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 15000 132.49 (+0.28)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 10.83 (-0.68)          The Outside Room (TOSRM) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Hunters In The Dark (HNTRD) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          A Problem Of Providence (APROP) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 10.83 (-0.68)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 10000 347.77 (+0.15)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.62 (+0.30)