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Yeah I'm thinking around there as well

Posted by: MattW on Aug 06, 17:17 in response to second gary's post SUPE2 Saturday was -38% below Friday, and Sunday a...

Best case:  65+38+30 = 133

Worst case: 65+33.5+23.5 = 122

Hopefully it hits 127 so I don't suffer on Monday from the derivative

Either way it looks like the T-mobile promotion for Friday was a pretty big deal. 

RTH via BOT suggests SUICD Saturday "mid 30s maybe." second gary Aug 06, 16:30

If that holds, what, $120-125M OW? {nm} ~JPV~ Aug 06, 16:40

SUPE2 Saturday was -38% below Friday, and Sunday a further -33%. If SUICD has a 35M Saturday, and it follows SUPE2, then. . . second gary Aug 06, 16:47

Yeah I'm thinking around there as well MattW Aug 06, 17:17

I wonder if T-mobile / Walmart-style promotions only show up when a tentpole film is sensed, by insiders, to be in deep trouble? second gary Aug 06, 17:25

Yes--specifically, deals where they give away free movie tickets in hopes SOMEONE SOMEWHERE will like it, and get paying customer(s) by WOM. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Aug 06, 20:31

I question the reliability of an unsourced forum post, but the most recent comment in that thread for Saturday is "Looking at 67-70 atm" {nm} hilarycondon Aug 06, 17:54

Rth is a verified insider with access to numbers. I don't know the person who posted the other take. {nm} RogerMore Aug 06, 18:00

The other post is by a dc fanboy with no inside info who was predicting over 200 going into the weekend. I've been watching that thread {nm} MattW Aug 06, 18:03

Thanks (200 pages with gif avatars is too much for me to follow) {nm} RogerMore Aug 06, 18:24

I have yet to believe any DC Comics film can deliver $200M+ after "Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice" screwed the goodwill pooch. ARR-ARR!! {nm} chosenone2oo5 Aug 06, 20:32

The post you are quoting is from 'Excel" ... you need to do more research... RazorHawk Aug 06, 18:16

So if this has, my take is that the comic book fans loved it, but no one else showed up {nm} tealfan Aug 06, 18:02

*so if this holds {nm} tealfan Aug 06, 18:03

The reviews are definitely damning, but that high of a drop from Friday to Saturday feels unlikely. hilarycondon Aug 06, 18:10

Why does it feel unlikely? True Friday is 44.6. WOM can definitely affect the Saturday after the opening Friday. {nm} Jay_Beezy Aug 06, 18:16

Agree with Jay - many of us said 6x multiplier plus free tickets...that's right in line with our expectations... {nm} TwoMisfits Aug 06, 18:26

Also, a misleading part of marketing. *SPOILERS* Jay_Beezy Aug 06, 19:18

I feel bad for Sinister Six {nm} RazorHawk Aug 06, 18:18

Just back and the theater was packed {nm} tradermark Aug 06, 18:07

Well, one would still need a lot of packed theatres to have a 35M Saturday. :) {nm} second gary Aug 06, 18:22

What second gary said. On a different note - What did you think of the movie? {nm} shadowking Aug 06, 18:25

My anecdotal comic book shop conversation tonight... TwoMisfits Aug 06, 21:05





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California Schemin' (CASHM) 150000 1.47 (+0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 149000 98.17 (-2.22)          Tuner (TUNER) 19338 5.88 (-0.02)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.45)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.11)          Silent Friend (SLNTF) 31000 0.60 (-0.01)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.63 (+0.06)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.58 (-0.14)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.94 (+0.89)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 4420 95.84 (+0.65)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 31000 0.79 (0.00)          Normal (NORML) 8100 17.43 (-0.15)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.19 (+0.19)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.19 (+0.19)          Poetic License (PLICN) 4160 7.77 (-0.05)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.29 (+1.29)          Alpha (ALPH1) 31000 1.93 (+0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.29 (+1.29)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 155 9.99 (-0.04)          Assassination (ASSNT) 5 7.83 (+0.03)          Bedford Park (BEDFP) 150000 1.36 (+0.03)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150 14.85 (+1.71)          Tuner (TUNER) 90120 5.88 (-0.02)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 496.26 (-0.49)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10000 496.26 (-0.49)          Poetic License (PLICN) 70009 7.77 (-0.05)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 500 1.64 (-0.11)          Normal (NORML) 9089 17.43 (-0.15)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.97 (-0.09)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 20.18 (+0.55)          Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 25000 58.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 120000 13.04 (-0.06)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 50000 218.74 (+8.56)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Poetic License (PLICN) 31459 7.77 (-0.05)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 50000 12.83 (-0.01)          Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 25000 12.85 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)