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Yes I would say so. This movie cost $250 million and yet it might not beat an X-Men movie from 12 years ago.

Posted by: parthm_ on May 25, 10:56 in response to CSStrowbridge's post That's at worse. It's likely top 3. Is that still a low...

The Star Wars brand and 12 years of inflation can't top X-Men? That's bad no matter how you try to spin it. 

This movie should've shattered the record, which is only $140m, and that was set 11 years ago by PotC3. It was tracking for $170m at one point. With such a terrible foreign gross looking likely, this movie likely needs at least $350m domestic to break even, if not more (estimating a 55/45 DOM/OS split). The top 5 Memorial Day openers have an average multiplier of 2.15 from the 4-day OW. To get to $350m DOM, that requires a 4-day opening of $162m. The leggiest of those 5 (Indy 4) had a multiplier of 2.5. Solo would need to open at $140m with those legs to get to $350m. Again, this is just to potentially reach breakeven. 

So yes, top 3 Memorial Day opener is still a low bar. This is bad. 

D: Deadline sources (not Disney) are estimating $13m-$15m for Solo previews tomcat90 May 24, 18:25

JL made 13M in previews, only went on to earn 93.8M for OW... called it. Soycott is on. The fans are speaking.... {nm} Baron_Darcon2017 May 24, 19:01

Can someone please ban this ****? {nm} MiyazakiFan May 24, 19:38

+1 {nm} Fechin May 24, 20:34

He’s not wrong, this is looking like a colossal disappointment. {nm} skunkrunner May 24, 20:40

How? It looks like it will open with more than $100 million domestically. CSStrowbridge May 25, 03:46

"Top 10 Memorial Day Opener" is a really low bar for success given that it's a major tentpole film. {nm} parthm_ May 25, 08:27

That's at worse. It's likely top 3. Is that still a low bar? {nm} CSStrowbridge May 25, 08:38

Yes I would say so. This movie cost $250 million and yet it might not beat an X-Men movie from 12 years ago. parthm_ May 25, 10:56

Looks like #7 Memorial Day and BOM says Soylo cost $300 before P & A... It might not even break 400M globally! Losing over 200M for Disney. Baron_Darcon2017 May 28, 00:37

How would you define colossal disappointment? {nm} numbersix_99 May 25, 05:16

<150 poor <140 bad <125 colossal <110 franchise killing {nm} skunkrunner May 25, 07:02

This is all sorts of wrong. {nm} CSStrowbridge May 25, 08:25

Solo's 4-day making less than Rogue One's 3-day is poor and bad. {nm} Antibody May 25, 08:37

It's going to make a profit, even after being almost entire reshoot. It's a success. {nm} CSStrowbridge May 25, 08:42

I don't know. $250M production plus another $100M+ in marketing. {nm} Antibody May 25, 08:47

Studios don’t make movies to barely clear a profit, they have an expected rate of return. {nm} RogerMore May 25, 12:33

In whose terms, though. Yours or disney's? Because as long as it makes over $800m worldwide it's a profitable film {nm} numbersix_99 May 25, 08:44

It's looking like under $400M for domestic. Double that for WW is $800M.. {nm} Antibody May 25, 08:52

I 2nd this! {nm} JDolphin May 24, 20:43

Ban for truth? The previous film is having a big negative effect on the current film {nm} Fitch3k May 24, 20:48

No, banned for being a Nazi. CSStrowbridge May 25, 03:42

...and you just exemplified why many of us reject Solo Pepe_Nolan May 26, 11:05

Seriously making fun of hipsters makes someone a Nazi? Soy the new metro sexual slang word {nm} Fitch3k May 28, 02:43

Couldn't care less about whether he is right or wrong. No reason to give a platform to someone is regularly racist and uses inflammatory MiyazakiFan May 25, 07:30

this. {nm} CSBD May 25, 08:01

Exactly. CSStrowbridge May 25, 08:29

People who won't support divisive ideology propagandized in escapist fare are incels. Got it. Logically consistent. Pepe_Nolan May 26, 12:28

It's new slang which you have no right to censor. You have worse problems to deal with if you can't handle Fitch3k May 28, 02:45

+3 STONYRN May 24, 21:06

I agree. It's pointless, causes unnecessary drama, and does zero to benefit this (or ANY) community. He's constantly toxic for the sake of BSmurf May 24, 23:44

How about speaking in English? You are en elf......uncontrollably...i think.....the bcott is on....boarde has spoken...toldya!! {nm} goodvibe61 May 25, 00:33

using XMEN7 79.8/8.2 = 9.73 x 13-15 = 126-146 4-day. Antibody May 24, 19:28

I meant XMEn6 {nm} Antibody May 24, 19:30

Ep7 had a 3-day:Preview multi of 4.35; Ep8 was 4.89; R1 was 5.35. I have a hard time seeing Solo get up to Xmen's level, 8.0 MattW May 24, 20:11

Avg it 4.86 x 15=72.9 that'd be devastating... There is a push to support Deadpool 2 as to stick it to Disney.... if Baron_Darcon2017 May 24, 20:31

fake news {nm} Fechin May 24, 20:35

Solo has a Sunday within a holiday weekend. {nm} Antibody May 24, 20:36

Those numbers are highly doubtful XMEN6 is the best comparison. {nm} Randy May 24, 20:50

Memorial Day vs. Christmas Holiday release. You can't compare the two. CSStrowbridge May 25, 03:45

Pirates did more than 11x its previews for the 3-day, seems like a poor comparison for star wars IMO {nm} MattW May 25, 07:27

X-Men: Apocalypse did 8x over 3 days. ... CSStrowbridge May 25, 08:31

Ouch.. That is surprising {nm} VictorY May 24, 19:31

Whatever the **** happens at the box office this weekend I really enjoyed this movie. A solid addition to the franchise. {nm} Wellespring May 24, 20:23

It was fantastic!!! {nm} Fechin May 24, 20:35

The film is good, i've really enjoyed it, but i will be glad if it tanks at least in the OW. Kathleen Kennedy needs to be out soon. {nm} Filmstardust May 24, 20:56

Because.... ? {nm} BSmurf May 24, 22:35

She's a successful woman... CSStrowbridge May 25, 03:47

Because she hates the fan base, because she turn the franchise into a SJW agenda, and because she sucks at managing. She sucks {nm} Filmstardust May 25, 07:22

I don't care if she's a man, a woman, gay, trans, or a robot, she's terrible at her job. She received the biggest franchise in history and.. Filmstardust May 25, 07:25

except she didnt. 3 films $4.4B ww, which is hey look $1B more than the prequel trilogy did ww adjusted! {nm} islndr May 25, 08:26

To islndr : Except i don't care. the had a F1 Ferrari and crashed it. TFA and RO did great, once people saw what she was doing, it start to Filmstardust May 26, 17:52


Toy sales down 80%....Toys selling for 3 cents!!!!! SW on clearance all over... Video games underselling by hundreds of millions... {nm} Baron_Darcon2017 May 25, 09:31

Links? No game ever has sold hundreds of millions of copies. You are a liar. Period. A liar. {nm} BSmurf May 25, 10:54

heh. deceptive and fraudulent posts are bannable under the tos. :) {nm} islndr May 25, 11:14

A pethora of links for your perusal... Baron_Darcon2017 May 25, 17:32

Thank you for providing the links showing that you are a liar. Makes it easy. Not a single one demonstrates that any game has sold 100s of m BSmurf May 26, 00:05

Your blind here's the link again! I never said the game sold hundreds of millions of copies. It undersold by hundreds of millions of $$$$ Baron_Darcon2017 May 26, 20:28

BattlefrontII undersold by 7 million copies.. 7million x59.99=$419Million lost revenue..some editions were $100+ some $2 {nm} Baron_Darcon2017 May 25, 17:38

What is SJW {nm} goodvibe61 May 25, 08:53

social justice warrior. mostly used by insecure white men when diversity in entertainment is thrust upon them. {nm} CSBD May 25, 09:00

Go make your own diversity franchise, don't use the biggest franchise in history to show how progressive you are. {nm} Filmstardust May 26, 17:48

SJW are hypocrits who are anti-male, anti-white, anti-family, anti-law and order, communist, anti-free speech, fascist, anti-meritocracy, Baron_Darcon2017 May 28, 00:20

I had a blast watching it. Starts a little slow but once it kicks in it's just non-stop. Visuals were fantastic -- loved the look of the pic {nm} MiyazakiFan May 25, 07:32

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