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Positivity rate is going up as people are testing who have COVID-19 and not the flu. Those who are exposed are now testing.
Back in March, family members of those who tested positive were assumed to have the virus and told to self-isolate. Tests weren't wasted on them. Now they are being tested. Many are positive.
Tests were limited those those with symptoms, and those people may have had the flu or a cold. Now, odds are if you have symptoms, you're sick.
Entire nursing homes, prisons and workplaces are testing with dozens or even thousands of people. Many of these places have massive spread. Only those with symptoms were tested in March and April. Now hundreds of cases are being found for massive spread.
It's impossible to compare the test results now to back in March and April since who was being tested is so drastically different.
Even the hospitalization rates are difficult to compare from now to March due to how bad testing was in California back in March. People with symptoms couldn't be tested and some with the flu were considered possible COVID-19 patients. The official CDC numbers and those listed on websites for Ventura varied considerably in March due to several patients who were hospitalized and couldn't be accurately tested. One of the cases was a small child who tested positive for the flu but may have also had COVID-19. He's counted as one of the hospitalizations in Ventura.
CNBC: These charts show why studios are likely to delay ‘Tenet’ and ‘Mulan’ again Jul 17, 10:55
“I don’t see theaters opening in our largest states for the rest of the year,” Michael Pachter, analyst at Wedbush Jul 17, 11:01
Agreed. I see a vaccinne this Fall also. {nm} Jul 17, 11:49
even Phase 3 trials have only meant a 50/50 shot at approval, historically {nm} Jul 17, 12:10
Even if there's a vaccine that's available by October, it'll still take months to distribute it widely. {nm} Jul 17, 12:11
There's not going to be widespread global distribution of a vaccine until next summer. {nm} Jul 17, 14:28
+1 {nm} Jul 17, 14:02
There was such as lack of tests back in March, it's unfair to compare positive tests today to the number back then. Jul 17, 13:54
Deaths already going up, have been for two weeks. {nm} Jul 17, 14:39
This is just Texas but deaths yesterday were 174. Previous high was 129. 10,632 hospitalizations statewide (new high) Jul 17, 14:53
Positivity rate is going up as people are testing who have COVID-19 and not the flu. Those who are exposed are now testing. Jul 17, 16:03
Why are you stuck on March with anecdotes? California recorded its highest deaths in July. {nm} Jul 17, 16:32
They're already testing the vaccines with people in Brazil. {nm} Jul 17, 16:44
Here too in California from my understanding, wife does some computer work for a lab. Just because they are doing some testing Jul 17, 18:20
FDA and pharma drug testing is nothing like software releases. {nm} Jul 17, 18:37