HSX Forum

Movies

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm}

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on May 22, 08:43 in response to Vashta Nerada's post ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 200 7.83 (0.00)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 103 248.48 (-0.16)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.24 (-0.23)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.68 (-0.29)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.50 (+0.55)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.04 (+0.65)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.04 (+0.65)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 139.86 (+0.44)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.26 (+0.85)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.26 (+0.85)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.76 (+0.97)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 149999 8.24 (+0.08)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.76 (+0.97)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 8.24 (+0.08)          Wicker (WCKER) 149999 6.65 (+0.15)          Primetime (PRMTM) 2500 28.97 (-0.03)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 6.65 (+0.15)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 150000 26.65 (+0.10)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.04 (+0.65)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.04 (+0.65)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.24 (-0.23)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 5931 5.17 (+0.17)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 15000 24.18 (-0.02)          Fing! (FING) 150000 3.86 (+0.02)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 15000 11.99 (-0.30)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.68 (-0.29)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 16.24 (-0.04)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 11.83 (-0.06)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 13.25 (+0.06)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 43.51 (+0.20)          The Debut (DEBUT) 5000 7.52 (-0.23)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.26 (+0.85)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 1000 3.32 (0.00)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.26 (+0.85)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.76 (+0.97)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 1000 5.43 (-0.36)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 5.61 (-0.01)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.68 (+0.30)          Deeper (DEPER) 150000 31.39 (-0.10)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.17 (+0.17)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.76 (+0.97)          One Night Only (ONTON) 5000 23.68 (+0.30)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 13.84 (+0.04)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 42.12 (-0.20)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.46 (0.00)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 9.42 (+0.05)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.46 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 615.10 (-1.75)          Cooper Hoffman (CHOFF) 2000 13.58 (+0.06)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 14.24 (+0.08)