HSX Forum

Movies

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm}

Posted by: Instro on May 22, 10:18 in response to Vashta Nerada's post ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. Instro May 22, 10:18





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Tank Girl (TANKG) 15000 14.18 (+1.29)          The Pack (TPACK) 75000 15.08 (+1.61)          The Pack (TPACK) 90000 15.08 (+1.61)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 276 50.21 (+0.21)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 15.41 (-0.06)          In the Summers (ITSUM) 150000 2.18 (-0.02)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 3.51 (0.00)          Huntington (HNGTN) 44136 14.94 (+0.02)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 3.51 (0.00)          Humane (HUMNE) 150000 0.52 (-0.02)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 38765 17.02 (-0.01)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 14.24 (+0.03)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.25 (-0.03)          Hard Miles (HRDML) 150000 0.94 (+0.01)          Hard Miles (HRDML) 150000 0.94 (+0.01)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 150000 25.74 (+0.03)          Now You See Me 3 (NYSM3) 55 27.51 (+0.03)          Front Room (FRTRM) 150000 2.24 (+0.02)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 3.29 (+0.03)          Force of Nature: The Dry 2 (FNTUR) 150000 0.36 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 552 25.11 (+0.77)          Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 150000 64.71 (+0.25)          Abigail (ABGAL) 1000 30.03 (+0.16)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 150000 42.97 (+0.34)          Flint (FLINT) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 83.70 (+0.25)          Anora (ANORA) 3000 4.72 (+0.47)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 24.48 (+0.06)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.11 (+0.03)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 150000 2.95 (+0.01)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 150000 6.76 (+0.03)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 0.68 (+0.01)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 150000 28.66 (+0.15)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 131.91 (+0.83)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 5.16 (+0.01)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 100 9.10 (+0.03)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.48 (+0.04)          Batgirl (BATGR) 77 3.81 (+0.05)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 150000 28.66 (+0.15)          Bum's Rush (BUMSR) 2000 0.08 (-0.01)          Death Of A Unicorne (DUNIC) 150000 20.03 (+0.08)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 79.88 (-0.25)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 25 0.44 (-0.01)          Dandelion (DNDLN) 150000 0.23 (+0.02)          Astaire (ASTAI) 3 14.54 (+0.04)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 50000 135.81 (-0.33)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 3 23.61 (0.00)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 46780 58.34 (-0.13)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.72 (+0.02)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 13 0.98 (+0.01)