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Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni.

Posted by: Facto on May 22, 09:04 in response to Borat's post That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it...

I thought it could be somewhat of a short, but never saw a potential downside *that* big for it..

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Protector (PRTEC) 10000 1.89 (+0.18)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.47 (-0.53)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.45 (-2.91)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 6 33.05 (+0.06)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 5 162.72 (+0.61)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 5 24.94 (+0.08)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5 105.25 (+0.35)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 10 69.44 (+0.49)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 8 259.43 (-1.33)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 32000 15.49 (+0.33)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5 80.05 (-0.05)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.29 (-0.22)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 36000 15.49 (+0.33)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 18 158.48 (-2.38)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 8 136.78 (-0.67)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.11 (-0.39)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 70000 18.31 (-1.92)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 15 112.51 (+1.12)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 5 222.06 (-0.48)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.54 (-1.73)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 52000 4.23 (+0.38)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 5 180.17 (+0.17)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 5 229.59 (+0.19)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 8 199.80 (+1.21)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 5 155.72 (-0.11)          Buds (BUDS) 65 31.06 (-0.14)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 8 49.57 (+0.16)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 5 227.06 (+0.11)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 5 146.57 (+0.11)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 15 120.84 (+1.42)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 28000 2.95 (+0.07)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5 251.92 (-0.90)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 8 199.80 (+1.21)          Untitled K-Pop Movie (KPOPM) 8 32.42 (-0.13)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 5 88.66 (+0.25)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 60 36.30 (-0.03)          Werwulf (WERWU) 5 65.65 (-0.24)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 5 36.65 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 5 221.81 (-0.15)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 10 149.84 (+1.56)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.36 (-0.32)