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Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni.

Posted by: Facto on May 22, 09:04 in response to Borat's post That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it...

I thought it could be somewhat of a short, but never saw a potential downside *that* big for it..

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





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California Schemin' (CASHM) 150000 1.47 (+0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 149000 98.17 (-2.22)          Tuner (TUNER) 19338 5.88 (-0.02)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.45)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.11)          Silent Friend (SLNTF) 31000 0.60 (-0.01)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.63 (+0.06)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.58 (-0.14)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.94 (+0.89)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 4420 95.84 (+0.65)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 31000 0.79 (0.00)          Normal (NORML) 8100 17.43 (-0.15)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.19 (+0.19)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.19 (+0.19)          Poetic License (PLICN) 4160 7.77 (-0.05)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.29 (+1.29)          Alpha (ALPH1) 31000 1.93 (+0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.29 (+1.29)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 155 9.99 (-0.04)          Assassination (ASSNT) 5 7.83 (+0.03)          Bedford Park (BEDFP) 150000 1.36 (+0.03)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150 14.85 (+1.71)          Tuner (TUNER) 90120 5.88 (-0.02)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 496.26 (-0.49)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 75.86 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10000 496.26 (-0.49)          Poetic License (PLICN) 70009 7.77 (-0.05)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 500 1.64 (-0.11)          Normal (NORML) 9089 17.43 (-0.15)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.97 (-0.09)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 20.18 (+0.55)          Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 25000 58.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 120000 13.04 (-0.06)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 50000 218.74 (+8.56)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Poetic License (PLICN) 31459 7.77 (-0.05)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 50000 12.83 (-0.01)          Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 25000 12.85 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)