HSX Forum

Movies

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 22, 09:14 in response to Vashta Nerada's post IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals...

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Edgar Wright (EWRIG) 1999 36.98 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.44 (+1.44)          Sophia Lillis (SLILL) 999 136.48 (0.00)          Sophia Lillis (SLILL) 999 136.48 (0.00)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 999 86.23 (+0.25)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 999 86.23 (+0.25)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 999 97.14 (0.00)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 999 97.14 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 31946 71.23 (-0.15)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1392 11.44 (+1.44)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.70 (+0.06)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.70 (+0.06)          Moana (MOAN1) 15933 236.09 (-2.57)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 75000 117.91 (+1.25)          Chloe East (CHEAS) 1999 11.33 (-0.10)          Chloe East (CHEAS) 1999 11.33 (-0.10)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 1999 53.99 (-1.16)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 999 53.99 (-1.16)          Rawson Marshall Thurber (RMTHU) 999 88.02 (0.00)          Rawson Marshall Thurber (RMTHU) 999 88.02 (0.00)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 50000 19.17 (+0.97)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 19.17 (+0.97)          Michaela Coel (MCOEL) 993 85.19 (+0.25)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 19.17 (+0.97)          Michaela Coel (MCOEL) 993 85.19 (+0.25)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 4000 305.32 (-1.95)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 55.98 (+0.30)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 55.98 (+0.30)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 8000 205.02 (-1.15)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 30000 6.22 (+0.05)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 50000 6.22 (+0.05)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 10000 49.16 (+0.10)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 23.51 (+0.33)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 23.51 (+0.33)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 39999 17.16 (+0.14)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.44 (+1.44)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 20000 53.62 (-2.62)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 15000 53.62 (-2.62)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 15000 53.62 (-2.62)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.44 (+1.44)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 10000 53.62 (-2.62)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 25000 53.62 (-2.62)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 25000 53.62 (-2.62)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.44 (+1.44)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 25000 11.44 (+1.44)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 128.49 (-1.26)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.44 (+1.44)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.81 (-0.09)