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You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 22, 09:23 in response to Vashta Nerada's post IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals...

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





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CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 14.38 (-0.22)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 29.92 (-0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 182.63 (-0.79)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 182.63 (-0.79)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 18.23 (-0.17)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 4.97 (-0.33)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Every Note Played (EVNTP) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Every Note Played (EVNTP) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Liana Liberato (LLIBE) 25000 37.92 (0.00)          Liana Liberato (LLIBE) 25000 37.92 (0.00)          Addison Rae (ARAE) 25000 31.17 (+0.12)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 14.38 (-0.22)          Lili Reinhart (LREIN) 6 35.20 (0.00)          Lili Reinhart (LREIN) 6 35.20 (0.00)          Myha'la Herrold (MHERR) 25000 11.05 (-0.20)          Myha'la Herrold (MHERR) 25000 11.05 (-0.20)          Tom Felton (TFELT) 24994 5.86 (-0.04)          Merlin (MERLN) 1000 0.05 (+0.02)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 149140 139.85 (+1.68)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 149150 139.85 (+1.68)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 18000 33.47 (-0.13)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 20026 1.85 (-0.15)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 2 38.09 (-0.11)          CBS: CIA (CIACBS) 7500 9.47 (+0.01)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 55.15 (+1.58)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 55.15 (+1.58)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 20 139.85 (+1.68)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 8.89 (+0.06)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 105.11 (+0.98)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 105.11 (+0.98)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 3 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 3 2.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 149997 1.85 (-0.15)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 10000 20.65 (+0.65)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 45565 23.39 (-0.01)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 47.17 (+0.04)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.47 (-2.92)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 33.56 (-0.09)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 30.65 (-0.16)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 30.26 (-0.02)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 8.88 (+0.02)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 150000 32.72 (-0.14)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 150000 33.47 (-0.13)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 5.75 (+0.01)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 150000 36.18 (-0.20)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 39.45 (-0.03)