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A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated.

Posted by: Facto on May 22, 09:12 in response to second gary's post The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and...

My brain was severely absolved in alcohol last night - big spring/early summer party.

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





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JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 99888 8.39 (+0.18)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 765 12.92 (+0.02)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.02 (+1.31)          Eternity (ETERN) 149999 11.31 (+0.18)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 150000 4.33 (+0.48)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 10000 24.92 (+0.77)          Eternity (ETERN) 103983 11.31 (+0.18)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 70000 5.02 (+1.31)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 40000 5.02 (+1.31)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 21.00 (+0.69)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 6 39.80 (+0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 140.05 (-0.67)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 10000 5.26 (-0.02)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 155 6.62 (+0.01)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 40000 22.12 (+0.67)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 18000 22.12 (+0.67)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 140 14.53 (+0.01)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 4 24.95 (-0.04)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 114078 359.22 (-1.02)          Jane (JANE1) 80 14.31 (+0.85)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 50000 162.56 (+0.45)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.53 (-0.22)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 4 41.25 (+0.05)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 76.79 (-2.94)          Acorns (ACRNS) 5 109.26 (+0.33)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 104809 21.00 (+0.69)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 120000 76.79 (-2.94)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 127600 359.22 (-1.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 85000 76.79 (-2.94)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 50 19.33 (-0.02)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 1.58 (-0.09)          Perfect (PFECT) 550 0.19 (-0.01)          She Dances (SDANC) 149999 1.58 (-0.09)          David (DAVID) 3000 76.32 (-0.36)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 362 39.80 (+0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 19 257.88 (-1.62)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 3000 459.19 (-1.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10 257.88 (-1.62)          Mark Hamill (MHAMI) 25000 59.85 (+0.33)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 10 5.47 (-0.05)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 60000 5.71 (-0.67)          George Lopez (GLOPE) 25000 16.19 (+0.10)          The Wager (WAGER) 126 18.16 (-0.04)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 5 16.56 (-0.02)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 33.74 (0.00)