SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Wreck-It Ralph gets its game on.

Hollywood starts the holiday movie season with three new wide releases even with the eastern seaboard reeling from the devastation of hurricane Sandy. The weekend box office will definitely suffer a negative effect, though how much remains to be seen. Disney leads off with the CG animated Wreck-It Ralph [RALPH] featuring John C. Reilly [JCREI] as a video game villain who wants to be the hero for a change. Although the film doesn’t carry the Pixar brand, Wreck-It Ralph has been called the Toy Story of video games for incorporating many well-known video game characters. The PG-rated film has been generating fantastic buzz from gamers young and old. Wreck-It Ralph should attract a broad audience from parents who grew up with Atari in the ‘80s to older teenagers playing the latest 'Call of Duty' to children of all ages. Starting in 3752 theaters, Wreck-It Ralph could score $45 million in its debut.

Denzel Washington [DWASH] teams up with director Robert Zemeckis [RZEME] for the R-rated drama Flight [FLIGH]. After a string of action thrillers, Washington takes a serious turn playing an alcoholic pilot who is heralded as a hero for landing a distressed plane. Meanwhile, Zemeckis returns to live action for the first time since 2000’s Cast Away. While Paramount plays up the special effects in its marketing, the film is actually about a man dealing with his alcoholism.  Flight will need good reviews to bring out its older adult target audience. Washington has consistently opened his movies in the mid-$20 million range. However, with a theater count of just 1900, Flight is unlikely to reach that height and remained more grounded at $18 million.

RZA [RZA] indulges his martial arts fantasy as The Man With Iron Fists [TMWIF], a martial arts fantasy the former rapper also wrote and directed. Russell Crowe [RCROW] and Lucy Liu [LLIU] co-star in support roles, but they don’t pack much box office draw.  The R-rated film looks to attract primarily to an older male audience. Universal has not been screening the film in advance, never a good sign for their confidence in the film’s quality. Breaking into 1868 theaters, The Man With Iron Fists may punch out $8.5 million.

The ambitious sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] failed to connect with moviegoers. The sophmore holdover could tumble more than 50% to around $4 million.

!--[if gte mso 9] Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 ![endif]--

!--[if gte mso 9] ![endif]--!--[if gte mso 10] ![endif]--

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RALPH, JCREI, DWASH, RZEME, FLIGH, RZA, TMWIF, RCROW, LLIU, CLATL

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 1, 2012 @ 03:59 PM 6633 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 59 37.01 (+0.03)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 16720 0.70 (-0.01)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 4 17.57 (+0.02)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 592 24.99 (-0.13)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 51.22 (+4.53)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 424.45 (+4.23)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 38.74 (+0.05)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 161.03 (+0.21)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 78.85 (+0.33)          Green Hornet and Kato (GHKTO) 1450 7.05 (-0.05)          Green Hornet and Kato (GHKTO) 1450 7.05 (-0.05)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 114.65 (+0.53)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 500 60.05 (+0.08)          Broadsword (BROSW) 3 43.87 (-0.05)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 3 90.74 (+0.10)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 1000 22.05 (+1.33)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 71.70 (+0.51)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 14.71 (+0.03)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 199 5.94 (+0.01)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 16.41 (-0.24)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 56.80 (+0.51)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 45.78 (+0.99)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 10100 1.11 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 2500 236.59 (-1.58)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 3 61.20 (-0.05)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 95.21 (-0.06)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 6 13.41 (+0.08)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 236.59 (-1.58)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 64.33 (-0.49)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 76.85 (+0.88)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 274.51 (-0.11)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 146.78 (+1.05)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 37.79 (+0.96)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 22.05 (+1.33)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 4 26.19 (+0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.65 (+4.57)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 51.22 (+4.53)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 59.99 (+1.66)          Grendel (GREND) 4 10.39 (-0.02)          Fleur (FLEUR) 4 7.16 (-0.02)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 10000 186.52 (+0.47)          El Muerto (MUERT) 6 3.05 (-0.01)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 116.51 (-0.66)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 9 28.65 (-0.25)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 8000 0.08 (+0.01)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 25000 97.35 (+1.00)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 25000 97.35 (+1.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 15 79.29 (+1.11)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 93.85 (-1.00)