SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Mama looks tough to beat

The Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend brings 3 new wide openers. The supernatural horror Mama [MAMA] stars Jessica Chastain [JCHAS] and Nikolaj Coster-Waldau [NCOST] as a couple who take in her young nieces after they spent five years living in the woods. The Universal film is produced by Guillermo del Toro which should attract his male fanbases, while the PG-13 rating should appeal to women and teeangers that are into ghostly tales. Playing 2647 theaters, Mama may scare up $20 million over the 4-day weekend.

Chastain is also the Oscar-nominated star of Zero Dark Thirty [ZDTHR], which should exhibit a strong hold in its second weekend of wide release. The thriller about the hunt for Bin Laden could track down another $18 million through Monday.

Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] and Russell Crowe [RCROW] tangle in the political corruption thriller Broken City [BRKCT]. Fox is promoting the R-rated film heavily, but the reviews needed to draw in the target adult audience have been average. Last year, Wahlberg’s Contraband bagged $28.4 million over the long weekend. However, competition is more fierce this year from Zero Dark Thirty to Django Unchained, and the film’s premise won’t appeal to Wahlberg’s younger fans. Showing in 2620 theaters, Broken City may tally $15 million over the long weekend.

Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] is back in his first lead role since leaving political office in The Last Stand [LSTND].  Lionsgate knows how to sell R-rated actioners to male moviegoers and the film has earned surprisingly great reviews, thanks in part to Korean-import director Kim Jee-Woon. But as with Broken City, the marketplace is crowded with action fares.  Securing 2913 locations, The Last Stand could muster $12.6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MAMA, JCHAS, NCOST, ZDTHR, MWAHL, RCROW, BRKCT, ASCHW, LSTND

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 17, 2013 @ 03:03 PM 3495 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 58.51 (-1.20)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 44.11 (-0.95)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 129.75 (-3.54)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 127.07 (+0.26)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 52.47 (-0.52)          Young Washington (YWASH) 30000 30.25 (+0.89)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 20000 67.19 (+0.18)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 89000 5.91 (+0.03)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 81064 418.06 (+2.21)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.26 (-0.21)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.43 (+0.98)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 22 5.94 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 17 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 21 6.69 (+0.11)          Control (COTRL) 14 6.01 (+0.45)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 62.18 (-1.29)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 230.52 (-0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 138.73 (-4.07)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.69 (+0.11)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 13.81 (+0.38)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.01 (+0.45)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.94 (0.00)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 55.04 (-1.16)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 12.24 (+0.49)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 122.52 (+1.86)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 230.52 (-0.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 408.29 (+0.52)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.89 (-1.77)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 10000 5.20 (-0.17)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.20 (-0.17)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 243.48 (+0.29)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 23.73 (+1.35)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)