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Whisper Numbers: Mama looks tough to beat

The Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend brings 3 new wide openers. The supernatural horror Mama [MAMA] stars Jessica Chastain [JCHAS] and Nikolaj Coster-Waldau [NCOST] as a couple who take in her young nieces after they spent five years living in the woods. The Universal film is produced by Guillermo del Toro which should attract his male fanbases, while the PG-13 rating should appeal to women and teeangers that are into ghostly tales. Playing 2647 theaters, Mama may scare up $20 million over the 4-day weekend.

Chastain is also the Oscar-nominated star of Zero Dark Thirty [ZDTHR], which should exhibit a strong hold in its second weekend of wide release. The thriller about the hunt for Bin Laden could track down another $18 million through Monday.

Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] and Russell Crowe [RCROW] tangle in the political corruption thriller Broken City [BRKCT]. Fox is promoting the R-rated film heavily, but the reviews needed to draw in the target adult audience have been average. Last year, Wahlberg’s Contraband bagged $28.4 million over the long weekend. However, competition is more fierce this year from Zero Dark Thirty to Django Unchained, and the film’s premise won’t appeal to Wahlberg’s younger fans. Showing in 2620 theaters, Broken City may tally $15 million over the long weekend.

Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] is back in his first lead role since leaving political office in The Last Stand [LSTND].  Lionsgate knows how to sell R-rated actioners to male moviegoers and the film has earned surprisingly great reviews, thanks in part to Korean-import director Kim Jee-Woon. But as with Broken City, the marketplace is crowded with action fares.  Securing 2913 locations, The Last Stand could muster $12.6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MAMA, JCHAS, NCOST, ZDTHR, MWAHL, RCROW, BRKCT, ASCHW, LSTND

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 17, 2013 @ 03:03 PM 3392 views

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Zatanna (ZATAN) 4000 5.42 (+0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 3402 498.06 (-0.16)          Karoshi (KAROS) 2000 13.92 (+0.01)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 75000 104.59 (+0.91)          Karoshi (KAROS) 2000 13.92 (+0.01)          The Wizard of Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 5.59 (+0.02)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 5000 1.95 (+0.01)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 5000 24.41 (+0.06)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 4000 8.52 (+0.01)          Jude Law (JLAW) 25000 18.68 (+0.10)          Bratz (BRAT2) 2000 15.49 (+0.01)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 5000 234.30 (-0.04)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 2000 15.19 (+0.02)          Primetime (PRMTM) 2000 15.49 (+0.02)          Metal Men (METAL) 4000 8.02 (+0.02)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 5000 68.18 (+0.04)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 2000 24.14 (+0.02)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 2000 11.41 (+0.02)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 27.70 (+1.13)          The Backrooms (BACRM) 2000 18.36 (+0.02)          Airman (AIRMA) 2000 20.91 (+0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 3047 498.06 (-0.16)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 2000 23.09 (+0.04)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 20.01 (+0.08)          Phantom Son (PHSON) 5000 9.57 (-0.05)          Archangel (ARCNG) 2000 16.94 (+0.04)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 8023 162.62 (+0.23)          The Young People (TYPEP) 2000 17.04 (+0.05)          Shiver (SHVER) 100000 63.81 (+6.41)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 56001 18.00 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 5000 92.72 (-0.43)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 1.64 (-0.09)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.85 (-0.52)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.40 (-0.51)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.59 (-0.13)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 20000 81.52 (+0.90)          Sender (SENDR) 10000 8.85 (-0.88)          The Shrinking of Treehorn (TSOTH) 129990 1.01 (-0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3039 362.55 (+0.22)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 2000 6.14 (-0.01)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 2000 9.95 (-0.01)          Runner (RUNNR) 2000 7.78 (-0.01)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.78 (+1.57)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 5000 155.86 (-0.23)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 48320 18.00 (0.00)          The Purge 6 (PURG6) 2000 5.60 (-0.01)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 2000 7.59 (-0.01)          One Night Only (ONTON) 1000 24.57 (-0.02)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (-0.02)