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Whisper Numbers: Finding Dory set for big reward

Walt Disney looks to have another record-setting, number one film this weekend with Pixar’s Finding Dory [NEMO2], the long awaited sequel to 2003’s Finding Nemo. Ellen DeGeneres is back to voice the crwod-favorite, amnesiac blue tang. The scen-stealing sidekick from the first film takes the leading role in the PG-rated sequel. Pixar films pretty much sell themselves, and Finding Nemo is Pixar’s second most beloved series behind only Toy Story.  Like previous Pixar sequels, Finding Dory looks to enjoy a healthy bump from Finding Nemo’s $70.3 million opening 13 years ago. Advance ticket sales are outpacing Minions, which opened to $115.7 million last year, so Finding Dory is certain to surpass Toy Story 3’s $110.3 million as Pixar’s biggest debut. The all-time opening weekend record of $121.6 million for an animated film set by Shrek the Third in 2007 is also likely to fall. Opening in 4305 theaters as the widest Pixar release ever, Finding Dory may reach $124 million.

Two of the hardest working actors in Hollywood finally team up in Central Intelligence [CINTL]. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] has been providing the muscle in recent action films, while Kevin Hart [KHART] has found success in buddy comedies. Naturally, Warner Bros. has brought them together for a PG-13 rated action comedy. The trailers have received tremendous response, especially the ‘Fat Robbie’ bit. Reporting in 3508 theaters, Central Intelligence could uncover $38 million.

The Conjuring 2 [CNJU2] was immune to the sequel curse that afflicted others thus far this summer. Horror films usually fall off the cliff on the second weekend, but strong word of mouth should keep The Conjuring 2’s drop-off at a little more than 50% to around $19 million.

The sequel curse did befall Now You See Me 2 [NYSM2]. The magic-based thriller may lose 50% in its second act to $11 million.

Warcraft [WARCF] connected only with fanboys, who frontloaded the fantasy epic. Warcraft looks to tumble 60% to $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NEMO2, CINTL, TROCK, KHART, CNJU2, NYSM2, WARCF

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 16, 2016 @ 04:03 PM 2350 views

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Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 9379 13.81 (+0.38)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100000 265.06 (+1.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 117774 418.06 (+2.21)          Please (PLESE) 49999 21.82 (-0.26)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 49.17 (-2.97)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 3635 307.27 (-1.04)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.04 (-0.26)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 61000 18.64 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 80241 307.27 (-1.04)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 8 418.06 (+2.21)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 89000 7.44 (+0.13)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 10000 79.54 (+2.79)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 89000 7.31 (+0.07)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 59000 307.27 (-1.04)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 39.66 (+0.10)          The Invite (TINVT) 99000 19.96 (-0.09)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 54.56 (+0.15)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 25.71 (+0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 89000 8.32 (+0.03)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 119000 9.39 (+0.08)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 58.51 (-1.20)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 44.11 (-0.95)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 129.75 (-3.54)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 127.07 (+0.26)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 52.47 (-0.52)          Young Washington (YWASH) 30000 30.25 (+0.89)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 20000 67.19 (+0.18)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 89000 5.91 (+0.03)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 81064 418.06 (+2.21)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.26 (-0.21)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.43 (+0.98)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 22 5.94 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 17 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 21 6.69 (+0.11)          Control (COTRL) 14 6.01 (+0.45)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 62.18 (-1.29)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 230.52 (-0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 138.73 (-4.07)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.69 (+0.11)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 13.81 (+0.38)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.01 (+0.45)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.94 (0.00)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 55.04 (-1.16)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 12.24 (+0.49)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 122.52 (+1.86)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 230.52 (-0.66)