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Whisper Numbers: Finding Dory set for big reward

Walt Disney looks to have another record-setting, number one film this weekend with Pixar’s Finding Dory [NEMO2], the long awaited sequel to 2003’s Finding Nemo. Ellen DeGeneres is back to voice the crwod-favorite, amnesiac blue tang. The scen-stealing sidekick from the first film takes the leading role in the PG-rated sequel. Pixar films pretty much sell themselves, and Finding Nemo is Pixar’s second most beloved series behind only Toy Story.  Like previous Pixar sequels, Finding Dory looks to enjoy a healthy bump from Finding Nemo’s $70.3 million opening 13 years ago. Advance ticket sales are outpacing Minions, which opened to $115.7 million last year, so Finding Dory is certain to surpass Toy Story 3’s $110.3 million as Pixar’s biggest debut. The all-time opening weekend record of $121.6 million for an animated film set by Shrek the Third in 2007 is also likely to fall. Opening in 4305 theaters as the widest Pixar release ever, Finding Dory may reach $124 million.

Two of the hardest working actors in Hollywood finally team up in Central Intelligence [CINTL]. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] has been providing the muscle in recent action films, while Kevin Hart [KHART] has found success in buddy comedies. Naturally, Warner Bros. has brought them together for a PG-13 rated action comedy. The trailers have received tremendous response, especially the ‘Fat Robbie’ bit. Reporting in 3508 theaters, Central Intelligence could uncover $38 million.

The Conjuring 2 [CNJU2] was immune to the sequel curse that afflicted others thus far this summer. Horror films usually fall off the cliff on the second weekend, but strong word of mouth should keep The Conjuring 2’s drop-off at a little more than 50% to around $19 million.

The sequel curse did befall Now You See Me 2 [NYSM2]. The magic-based thriller may lose 50% in its second act to $11 million.

Warcraft [WARCF] connected only with fanboys, who frontloaded the fantasy epic. Warcraft looks to tumble 60% to $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NEMO2, CINTL, TROCK, KHART, CNJU2, NYSM2, WARCF

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 16, 2016 @ 04:03 PM 1860 views

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Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 66 148.25 (0.00)         Danielle Macdonald (DMACD) 100 1.09 (+0.02)         Constance Wu (CWU) 200 76.98 (+0.25)         A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 100 7.78 (+0.12)         Without Blood (WOBLD) 100 19.70 (+0.10)         Thor: Love and Thunder H$135 Cal (THOR4.CA) 5000 5.47 (+0.04)         The Critic aka Kill the Light (KLTLT) 3 3.63 (-0.69)         Jean-Claude Van Damme (JCVAN) 25000 75.14 (+0.50)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 2 46.37 (+2.17)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 25000 18.71 (-1.29)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 25000 18.71 (-1.29)         Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank (BLAZS) 25000 22.28 (-0.01)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 25000 18.71 (-1.29)         Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 100000 24.94 (+1.63)         Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 150000 24.94 (+1.63)         Are You There God? It’s Me, Ma (AYTGM) 150000 24.50 (+1.68)         Are You There God? It’s Me, Ma (AYTGM) 100000 24.50 (+1.68)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 15000 436.23 (-0.07)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 150000 18.71 (-1.29)         Blue Beetle (BLUBT) 291 68.05 (-0.10)         Nope (NOPE) 15000 149.31 (-0.07)         Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (MSWSO) 150000 10.70 (+0.80)         Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (MSWSO) 150000 10.70 (+0.80)         Minions: The Rise of Gru - Openi (MNIO2.OW) 100000 75.56 (+0.50)         Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (MSWSO) 25000 10.70 (+0.80)         Thor: Love and Thunder H$135 Cal (THOR4.CA) 1000 5.47 (+0.04)         The Gray Man (GRYMN) 100 0.03 (0.00)         Mission: Impossible - Dead Recko (MISS7) 100 180.07 (+0.88)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 150000 18.71 (-1.29)         Barbie (BARBI) 100 82.46 (+0.26)         Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris (MHGTP) 1000 2.00 (+0.01)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 2000 190.52 (-0.22)         The Wonderful Story of Henry Sug (WSOHS) 50000 0.45 (-0.01)         Rian Johnson (RJOHN) 100 86.42 (0.00)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 87.73 (-1.19)         The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 100 37.67 (0.00)         Beast (BEAS1) 50000 27.47 (-0.13)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 87.73 (-1.19)         The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 100 61.84 (-0.02)         FOX: Monarch (MONARC) 100 11.75 (0.00)         Minions: The Rise of Gru H$80 Ca (MNIO2.CA) 100 2.07 (-0.04)         Elvis (ELVIS) 54539 87.73 (-1.19)         The Invitation aka The Bride (TBRID) 150000 29.19 (+0.07)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 100 130.06 (+0.33)         The Aliens Are Stealing Our Weed (AASOW) 149999 4.71 (+0.09)         The Aliens Are Stealing Our Weed (AASOW) 150000 4.71 (+0.09)         Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 90 125.79 (-0.33)         Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 25000 98.55 (+0.50)         Last Seen Alive (LSALV) 149999 0.43 (+0.05)         Last Seen Alive (LSALV) 150000 0.43 (+0.05)