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Whisper Numbers: Finding Dory set for big reward

Walt Disney looks to have another record-setting, number one film this weekend with Pixar’s Finding Dory [NEMO2], the long awaited sequel to 2003’s Finding Nemo. Ellen DeGeneres is back to voice the crwod-favorite, amnesiac blue tang. The scen-stealing sidekick from the first film takes the leading role in the PG-rated sequel. Pixar films pretty much sell themselves, and Finding Nemo is Pixar’s second most beloved series behind only Toy Story.  Like previous Pixar sequels, Finding Dory looks to enjoy a healthy bump from Finding Nemo’s $70.3 million opening 13 years ago. Advance ticket sales are outpacing Minions, which opened to $115.7 million last year, so Finding Dory is certain to surpass Toy Story 3’s $110.3 million as Pixar’s biggest debut. The all-time opening weekend record of $121.6 million for an animated film set by Shrek the Third in 2007 is also likely to fall. Opening in 4305 theaters as the widest Pixar release ever, Finding Dory may reach $124 million.

Two of the hardest working actors in Hollywood finally team up in Central Intelligence [CINTL]. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] has been providing the muscle in recent action films, while Kevin Hart [KHART] has found success in buddy comedies. Naturally, Warner Bros. has brought them together for a PG-13 rated action comedy. The trailers have received tremendous response, especially the ‘Fat Robbie’ bit. Reporting in 3508 theaters, Central Intelligence could uncover $38 million.

The Conjuring 2 [CNJU2] was immune to the sequel curse that afflicted others thus far this summer. Horror films usually fall off the cliff on the second weekend, but strong word of mouth should keep The Conjuring 2’s drop-off at a little more than 50% to around $19 million.

The sequel curse did befall Now You See Me 2 [NYSM2]. The magic-based thriller may lose 50% in its second act to $11 million.

Warcraft [WARCF] connected only with fanboys, who frontloaded the fantasy epic. Warcraft looks to tumble 60% to $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NEMO2, CINTL, TROCK, KHART, CNJU2, NYSM2, WARCF

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 16, 2016 @ 04:03 PM 2477 views

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The Partner (PRTNR) 37500 44.66 (-0.03)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 433 17.30 (+0.10)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.31 (+0.72)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4000 93.15 (-0.16)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.78 (+0.70)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 37500 43.75 (+0.02)          Wildwood (WILDW) 104831 30.78 (+0.70)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 22.82 (+0.64)          Tangled (TANGL) 4000 129.99 (+0.12)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 21.00 (+1.18)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 34.71 (-0.41)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 825 278.64 (+0.27)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 20000 59.76 (-0.12)          Channing Tatum (CTATU) 25000 60.38 (+0.50)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 25000 129.35 (+0.66)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 4000 112.20 (-0.05)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 109.90 (+0.66)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 40.94 (+0.50)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 60.42 (-0.51)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 25000 75.87 (+0.75)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 100000 2.71 (0.00)          Adam McKay (AMCKA) 25000 66.26 (+0.75)          Baz Luhrmann (BLUHR) 25000 76.83 (+0.75)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 60000 17.70 (-0.02)          Chris Columbus (CCOLU) 25000 84.43 (+0.75)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 1 3.64 (0.00)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 90000 5.42 (-0.03)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 14.11 (-0.17)          Obey (OBEY) 90000 21.36 (-0.04)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.70 (+0.10)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 1.97 (-0.07)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 162 73.47 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 45169 30.78 (+0.70)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 52500 125.47 (-0.56)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.50 (+1.34)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 59.56 (-0.11)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.70 (+0.10)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 14.11 (-0.17)          Obey (OBEY) 38183 21.36 (-0.04)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.31 (+0.72)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 1.97 (-0.07)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.32 (+0.07)          Brad Bird (BBIRD) 25000 168.86 (-0.50)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 149999 15.17 (-0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 169.42 (-0.55)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.78 (+0.70)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.56 (+0.91)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 25.88 (-0.23)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.78 (+0.70)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 278.64 (+0.27)