SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Finding Dory set for big reward

Walt Disney looks to have another record-setting, number one film this weekend with Pixar’s Finding Dory [NEMO2], the long awaited sequel to 2003’s Finding Nemo. Ellen DeGeneres is back to voice the crwod-favorite, amnesiac blue tang. The scen-stealing sidekick from the first film takes the leading role in the PG-rated sequel. Pixar films pretty much sell themselves, and Finding Nemo is Pixar’s second most beloved series behind only Toy Story.  Like previous Pixar sequels, Finding Dory looks to enjoy a healthy bump from Finding Nemo’s $70.3 million opening 13 years ago. Advance ticket sales are outpacing Minions, which opened to $115.7 million last year, so Finding Dory is certain to surpass Toy Story 3’s $110.3 million as Pixar’s biggest debut. The all-time opening weekend record of $121.6 million for an animated film set by Shrek the Third in 2007 is also likely to fall. Opening in 4305 theaters as the widest Pixar release ever, Finding Dory may reach $124 million.

Two of the hardest working actors in Hollywood finally team up in Central Intelligence [CINTL]. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] has been providing the muscle in recent action films, while Kevin Hart [KHART] has found success in buddy comedies. Naturally, Warner Bros. has brought them together for a PG-13 rated action comedy. The trailers have received tremendous response, especially the ‘Fat Robbie’ bit. Reporting in 3508 theaters, Central Intelligence could uncover $38 million.

The Conjuring 2 [CNJU2] was immune to the sequel curse that afflicted others thus far this summer. Horror films usually fall off the cliff on the second weekend, but strong word of mouth should keep The Conjuring 2’s drop-off at a little more than 50% to around $19 million.

The sequel curse did befall Now You See Me 2 [NYSM2]. The magic-based thriller may lose 50% in its second act to $11 million.

Warcraft [WARCF] connected only with fanboys, who frontloaded the fantasy epic. Warcraft looks to tumble 60% to $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NEMO2, CINTL, TROCK, KHART, CNJU2, NYSM2, WARCF

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 16, 2016 @ 04:03 PM 2232 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Babies (BBIES) 100000 12.32 (-1.33)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.82 (-0.05)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.67 (+0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.67 (-0.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 54.01 (-0.20)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149999 33.33 (+0.09)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.69 (-0.07)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 149999 152.02 (+0.44)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.64 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 77777 19.60 (+0.04)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.77 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 20071 6.09 (+1.28)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.32 (-1.33)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 500 4.08 (+0.36)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 500 10.55 (+1.03)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 6.09 (+1.28)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 500 70.39 (-0.59)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10000 54.01 (-0.20)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 24999 36.73 (+0.01)          Fellowship (FELWS) 149997 14.36 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 50000 437.87 (-1.29)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 22.94 (-0.87)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 14090 53.36 (-0.10)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 149999 6.09 (+1.28)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 19000 30.19 (+0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 25000 64.45 (-0.74)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.24 (+1.06)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 1000 15.09 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 25000 437.87 (-1.29)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 109533 71.18 (+0.44)          David (DAVID) 25000 72.22 (-1.60)