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Whisper Numbers: Three new films challenge Battle Los Angeles.

A week after the male-targeted, sci-fi actioner Battle: Los Angeles [BATLA] dominated the box office, three new male-driven vehicles enter the marketplace looking to knock off the champ. While Battle: Los Angeles missed with critics, word of mouth has been much more favorable. However, big effects-laden films are often frontloaded.  Battle: Los Angeles looks to tumble about 55% to $16 million, which could still be enough to hold off the newcomers and repeat at number one.

With students out on spring break, the animated film Rango [RANGO] should hold better than 60% to $14 million and contend for second place.

The PG-13 rated thriller Limitless [LMTLS] will test the starpower of new leading man Bradley Cooper [BCOOP]. Relativity has poured on the marketing dollars which included an ad during the Super Bowl. The premise about a wonder drug that unlocks brain power should intrigue a broad audience. Opening in 2756 theaters, Limitless could tap into $14 million.

Seth Rogen [SROGE] voices an alien who escapes Area 51 in the R-rated comedy Paul [PAUL]. While Simon Pegg [SPEGG] has starred in a couple of mega franchises since his last team-up with Nick Frost [NFROS] in 2007’s Hot Fuzz, their popularity may still be limited to the Comic-Con fanboy community featured in the film.  Paul could land $13 million from 2801 locations.

Matthew McConaughey [MMCCO] toplines the thriller The Lincoln Lawyer [LNLAW]. A strong supporting cast has been assembled for the R-rated film targeted at adult moviegoers, rather than the typical female crowd that flock to his romantic comedies. Lionsgate tried to goose advance sales with a last minute deal with Groupon.  Debuting in 2707 theaters, The Lincoln Lawyer could bill about $12 million.

Without any new competition for female moviegoers, Red Riding Hood [GWRRH] could bag $8 million in its second weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): BATLA, RANGO, LMTLS, BCOOP, SROGE, PAUL, SPEGG, NFROS, MMCCO, LNLAW, GWRRH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 17, 2011 @ 04:17 PM 6042 views

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The Young People (TYPEP) 1 19.04 (-0.02)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 50000 10.55 (+1.03)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          David (DAVID) 150000 72.22 (-1.60)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 12500 54.15 (-0.06)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.69 (-0.24)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.69 (-0.24)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 12500 41.17 (-0.41)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.71 (+0.27)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.87 (-1.29)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.87 (-1.29)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1 69.51 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.47 (-0.53)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 25000 64.94 (-0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 25000 64.94 (-0.28)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.70 (+0.32)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.70 (+0.32)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1 69.51 (0.00)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.22 (-0.06)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.22 (-0.06)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 22.68 (-0.20)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 5000 37.04 (-0.07)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Chloe (CHLO) 25000 6.20 (-0.05)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.14 (-0.02)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.14 (-0.02)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.09 (+1.28)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 1831 7.57 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.09 (+1.28)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-0.15)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 64.00 (-0.05)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-0.15)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 10000 50.71 (-0.26)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 64.94 (-0.28)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 64.94 (-0.28)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 49 281.40 (+0.25)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 5000 159.22 (+0.14)