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Whisper Numbers: Killing Them Softly targets Leftovers



Even after the biggest Thanksgiving weekend ever at the box office, the post-holiday frame is headed for a big letdown. Two new films will open in wide release but are unlikely to break into the top five held by the leftovers.  After giving up the crown for two week, James Bond could find himself back in first place. If Skyfall [JB23] holds a bit better than 50% from last weekend, then $18 million could be enough to lead the weekend box office.

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 [TWLI5] has been just as frontloaded as all its predecessors. A similar 60% drop in the weekend after Thanksgiving would bring in $17.5 million.

DreamWork Animation's The Rise of Guardians [GURDN] bombed in its debut over Thanksgiving, but the family-targeted film should hold at least 60% at around $14 million.  Fellow sophomore release Life of Pi [LIFPI] should also hold simliarly well based on favorable word of mouth and net about $13.5 million.

After experiencing a positive increase over to the holiday weekend, Lincoln [ABE] is unlikely to escape the post-Thanksgiving fate.  The biopic looks to score $13 million.

Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the R-rated crime drama Killing Them Softly [KILTS]. The Weinstein Co. originally scheduled the film to open a month ago ahead of the holiday rush season, before opting to dump it into this dead weekend.  Even with Pitt’s starpower, the film looks to get lost in a marketplace crowded with awards contenders competing for the same adult audience. Targeting 2424 theaters, Killing Them Softly may hit $10 million.

LD Entertainment counter-programs the weekend with its first wide release, The Collection [COLC2], the horror sequel to 2009’s The Collector. The original film was distributed by FreeStyle and debuted at $3.6 million from 1325 theaters. Appealing only to hardcore horror fans, The Collection may gather $3 million from 1700 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor



Tag(s): JB23, TWLI5, GURDN, LIFPI, ABE, BPITT, KILTS, COLC2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 29, 2012 @ 03:13 PM        32056 views


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Child's Play (CHLDP) 5431 31.00 (+2.48)         Based On A True Story (BTRUS) 100000 0.69 (0.00)         The Outpost (OUTPS) 100000 19.74 (+1.28)         Peppermint (PPRMN) 100000 29.54 (+0.06)         Vin Diesel (VDIES) 20000 164.28 (+0.57)         Ron's Gone Wrong (RONGW) 49999 57.51 (+3.34)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 31.00 (+2.48)         Climax (CLMAX) 22223 1.31 (+0.03)         Mile 22 H$15 Call (MIL22.CA) 3740 2.62 (-0.01)         The Outpost (OUTPS) 10000 19.74 (+1.28)         Brie Larson (BLARS) 20000 69.44 (+0.26)         Family Guy Movie (FMGUY) 15000 13.18 (+0.82)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 31.00 (+2.48)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 31.00 (+2.48)         Shaft aka Son of Shaft (SHAF2) 100000 34.69 (+0.13)         The Meg (MEG) 100000 105.76 (+1.06)         Will Arnett (WARNE) 20000 66.35 (0.00)         The Meg (MEG) 100000 105.76 (+1.06)         Pinocchio (PINOC) 100 1.73 (+0.01)         Jude Law (JLAW) 20000 48.97 (+0.26)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 25000 31.00 (+2.48)         Bernstein (BERST) 1 15.50 (-0.63)         Bernstein (BERST) 15000 15.50 (-0.63)         Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $105 (MAMI2.BW) 5500 5.99 (+0.08)         Jurassic World 3 (JURA6) 100000 280.97 (+0.21)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 31.00 (+2.48)         Destination Wedding (DSWED) 60000 3.36 (-0.04)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 100000 179.37 (+0.27)         Uglydolls (UGLYD) 100000 37.70 (+0.10)         Midway (MDWAY) 100000 47.33 (+0.20)         The Meg (MEG) 92488 105.76 (+1.06)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 90000 31.00 (+2.48)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 156.79 (+0.38)         Ron's Gone Wrong (RONGW) 10000 57.51 (+3.34)         Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 20000 87.94 (+0.20)         Climax (CLMAX) 100000 1.31 (+0.03)         Shoplifters (SHPLF) 100000 1.88 (-0.12)         Climax (CLMAX) 100000 1.31 (+0.03)         Crazy Rich Asians (CRASN) 100000 64.38 (+2.83)         Gal Gadot (GGADO) 20000 150.56 (+0.28)         Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 20000 30.46 (+0.08)         Merlin (MERLN) 10000 35.55 (-0.06)         Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 20000 50.13 (-0.13)         Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 20000 8.29 (-0.04)         Justin Theroux (JTHER) 20000 40.50 (-0.26)         The Little Mermaid (TLMRD) 100000 3.13 (+0.48)         Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 20000 42.49 (0.00)         Rami Malek (RMALE) 20000 39.43 (-0.08)         Instant Family (ISFAM) 5000 30.87 (+0.13)         Wes Bentley (WBENT) 20000 26.28 (-0.08)