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Here are the result of a few runs:

Posted by: elchan2012 on Feb 26, 08:09 in response to RogerMore's post Some initial thoughts...

MTC,LAT, EW:

Average Error/Without Theatre Count: 25.5956

Average Error/With Theatre Count: 25.1266

They are not good forecasters.

All but RS:

Average Error/Without Theatre Count: 18.7889

Average Error/With Theatre Count: 18.2020

Slight improvement over including RS, but essentially the same.

Here are the results containing my regression model's predictions on BO, using HSXSanity Data from pre-release forecasts. elchan2012 Feb 25, 23:08

Wow. What happens when smart dudes get together and share #s is awesome. Thanks elchan and Mr Moore! {nm} Willroast Feb 26, 00:09

WOWZER - A Tip O' The Hat. Thanks for all of your Contributions. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 26, 04:03

Some initial thoughts... RogerMore Feb 26, 04:34

Actually, the extrapolated RS data is not all that accurate. Mean error rate for RS is 0.45 for, compared to ,,, elchan2012 Feb 26, 07:18

Here are the result of a few runs: elchan2012 Feb 26, 08:09

Interesting. It's worth noting that an average error of 25% is still about as good as the best predictors over a season of EAP God. RogerMore Feb 26, 08:37

I was only kidding, they are all bad forecasters, but when combining their information, the regression comes up with a good fit. elchan2012 Feb 26, 08:57

Nate Silver's missing out on all the fun :) {nm} tealfan Feb 26, 08:56

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