HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I have noticed something over the years

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on May 29, 18:25 in response to MitchC's post When To Sell Current Movies..

Movies coming up which have a lot of buzz tend to top out a couple weeks before opening, if the buzz builds too much. If buzz continues to build, it could continue to climb right up to halt. But, Flash is right, it's only fake money and adjusts are the most fun part of the game. Also, go with the trend, unless your gut is really urging you to go against it. Remember, it is all formulaic, so make sure you are estimating the opening weekend before you trade. i.e., I think SANDR will do better than others, and it's priced now for a $41.5MM opening weekend.

Another example is JURA4. The recent tracking says $100MM opening, and it's severely underpriced even now based on that estimate.





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Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.03 (+0.36)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.03 (+0.36)          Fleur (FLEUR) 149998 7.45 (+0.07)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1 8.79 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1 8.79 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 5000 8.95 (-0.10)          Gambino (GMBNO) 15000 8.95 (-0.10)          Sing 3 (SING3) 2 49.85 (-0.15)          Sing 3 (SING3) 2 49.85 (-0.15)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 20000 118.35 (-0.32)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.58 (+0.15)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 8.95 (-0.10)          Gambino (GMBNO) 1 8.95 (-0.10)          Gambino (GMBNO) 70000 8.95 (-0.10)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.58 (+0.15)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 149986 5.56 (-0.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.78 (+0.22)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 149978 3.80 (-0.03)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 30000 43.59 (+0.14)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149978 4.80 (-0.03)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.78 (+0.22)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 16.96 (+0.29)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 45000 43.59 (+0.14)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 16.96 (+0.29)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.27 (+0.33)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 150000 7.61 (+0.15)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.27 (+0.33)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 50000 9.78 (+0.22)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 12.35 (+0.42)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 12.35 (+0.42)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 150000 7.61 (+0.15)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.48 (+0.30)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 149997 7.61 (+0.15)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 100000 10.28 (+0.28)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 149997 6.96 (+0.12)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 8.95 (-0.10)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 149998 4.58 (+0.15)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.48 (+0.30)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 70000 12.35 (+0.42)          It Ends (ITNDS) 149998 5.41 (+0.10)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 8.95 (-0.10)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 149997 16.03 (+0.36)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 90000 12.35 (+0.42)          Hokum (HOKUM) 149997 12.80 (+0.12)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 22 6.96 (+0.12)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 6.96 (+0.12)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 149998 16.96 (+0.29)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.27 (+0.33)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.03 (+0.36)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 149998 8.27 (+0.33)