HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I have noticed something over the years

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on May 29, 18:25 in response to MitchC's post When To Sell Current Movies..

Movies coming up which have a lot of buzz tend to top out a couple weeks before opening, if the buzz builds too much. If buzz continues to build, it could continue to climb right up to halt. But, Flash is right, it's only fake money and adjusts are the most fun part of the game. Also, go with the trend, unless your gut is really urging you to go against it. Remember, it is all formulaic, so make sure you are estimating the opening weekend before you trade. i.e., I think SANDR will do better than others, and it's priced now for a $41.5MM opening weekend.

Another example is JURA4. The recent tracking says $100MM opening, and it's severely underpriced even now based on that estimate.





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Everytime (EVRTM) 30 0.16 (-0.02)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 11.58 (-0.87)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 11.85 (-0.08)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 88443 14.59 (-0.03)          Lobo (LOBO) 50000 17.59 (-0.04)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 12.63 (-0.06)          Narnia: The Magician's Neph (NARN4) 50000 43.23 (+0.09)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.08 (-0.21)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 14.76 (+0.38)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.08 (-0.21)          Monopoly (MONOP) 50000 7.70 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 32.26 (-0.16)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 32.26 (-0.16)          Pretty in Pink 2 (PINK2) 50000 0.03 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 41.72 (-0.57)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 15.57 (-0.14)          Triplets (TRPLT) 50000 0.03 (0.00)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 15.57 (-0.14)          Gears of War (GEARS) 50000 0.60 (+0.03)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.62 (+0.59)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.62 (+0.59)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 50000 0.08 (+0.01)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 50000 0.14 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 53.13 (-11.58)          Chippendales (IMCHP) 50000 0.02 (-0.01)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 50000 37.36 (-0.17)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)          Harbinger (HARBN) 50000 0.03 (0.00)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 11.58 (-0.87)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 50000 2.69 (-0.04)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 11.58 (-0.87)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 260.91 (+1.25)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 260.91 (+1.25)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 2.17 (+0.04)          Gatto (GATTO) 150000 147.53 (-1.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 68560 110.81 (+1.50)          Gatto (GATTO) 150000 147.53 (-1.00)