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Playing & Trading Strategy

I have noticed something over the years

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on May 29, 18:25 in response to MitchC's post When To Sell Current Movies..

Movies coming up which have a lot of buzz tend to top out a couple weeks before opening, if the buzz builds too much. If buzz continues to build, it could continue to climb right up to halt. But, Flash is right, it's only fake money and adjusts are the most fun part of the game. Also, go with the trend, unless your gut is really urging you to go against it. Remember, it is all formulaic, so make sure you are estimating the opening weekend before you trade. i.e., I think SANDR will do better than others, and it's priced now for a $41.5MM opening weekend.

Another example is JURA4. The recent tracking says $100MM opening, and it's severely underpriced even now based on that estimate.





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Jason Segel (JSEGE) 25000 22.00 (0.00)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 6.21 (+0.66)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 83.72 (+8.72)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 27000 8.65 (-0.02)          Fjord (FJORD) 94098 1.83 (-0.02)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 8.10 (-0.10)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 4000 8.65 (-0.02)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 5000 44.99 (-0.36)          The Weight (THEWT) 25336 5.97 (-0.07)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 29.43 (-0.48)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 5000 46.68 (-0.91)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 2586 25.87 (-0.43)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 150000 3.80 (-0.06)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 2608 25.87 (-0.43)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2000 102.51 (-1.39)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2000 102.51 (-1.39)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 48007 40.08 (+0.04)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.46 (-0.05)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 150000 10.96 (+0.26)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 150000 10.96 (+0.26)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 7.21 (-0.21)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 7.21 (-0.21)          Jason Segel (JSEGE) 25000 22.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 21 42.95 (-0.85)          Benicio Del Toro - One Battle af (A6RBDT) 25000 2.08 (-0.06)          Benicio Del Toro - One Battle af (A6RBDT) 25000 2.08 (-0.06)          Benicio Del Toro - One Battle af (A6RBDT) 25000 2.08 (-0.06)          TimothĂ©e Chalamet - Marty Supre (A6ATCH) 25000 12.27 (-0.94)          Michael B. Jordan - Sinners - Ac (A6AMBJ) 25000 6.79 (+2.68)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 26046 42.95 (-0.85)          Michael B. Jordan - Sinners - Ac (A6AMBJ) 25000 6.79 (+2.68)          Sing 3 (SING3) 21000 54.39 (-0.27)          Baton (BATON) 150000 5.66 (-0.34)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 322 42.95 (-0.85)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 7.15 (+1.02)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.39 (+0.16)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.39 (+0.16)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 6.21 (+0.66)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 6.21 (+0.66)          Helldivers (HELDV) 50000 83.72 (+8.72)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 237.04 (+1.99)          Amy Madigan - Weapons - Sup Actr (A6SAMA) 25000 8.78 (+1.97)          Baz Luhrmann (BLUHR) 25000 71.99 (+0.25)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 7.15 (+1.02)          Helldivers (HELDV) 118 83.72 (+8.72)          Delroy Lindo - Sinners - Sup Act (A6RDLI) 25000 1.90 (-0.14)          Michael B. Jordan - Sinners - Ac (A6AMBJ) 25000 6.79 (+2.68)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 6 173.89 (-2.50)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 25000 173.89 (-2.50)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 15000 147.29 (-0.69)