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Playing & Trading Strategy

I have noticed something over the years

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on May 29, 18:25 in response to MitchC's post When To Sell Current Movies..

Movies coming up which have a lot of buzz tend to top out a couple weeks before opening, if the buzz builds too much. If buzz continues to build, it could continue to climb right up to halt. But, Flash is right, it's only fake money and adjusts are the most fun part of the game. Also, go with the trend, unless your gut is really urging you to go against it. Remember, it is all formulaic, so make sure you are estimating the opening weekend before you trade. i.e., I think SANDR will do better than others, and it's priced now for a $41.5MM opening weekend.

Another example is JURA4. The recent tracking says $100MM opening, and it's severely underpriced even now based on that estimate.





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Buy Max    Sell All    Short Max    Cover All    Radar

Ben Foster (BFOST) 4057 2.32 (0.00)          Mandy Moore (MMOOR) 25000 66.84 (+0.59)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 70000 47.63 (-0.20)          Clifton Collins Jr. (CCOLL) 3024 2.32 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 1.70 (-0.14)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 1.70 (-0.14)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 37.24 (+1.75)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.61 (-0.10)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 80.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.61 (-0.10)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 37.24 (+1.75)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 62.51 (+1.22)          Gus Van Sant (GVSAN) 310 2.32 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 50000 13.16 (+0.22)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 1 36.23 (+22.23)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 50000 13.16 (+0.22)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          Clifton Collins Jr. (CCOLL) 1024 2.32 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 36.23 (+22.23)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          Tony (TONY) 150000 20.40 (-0.03)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 1 43.22 (+11.73)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 157 2.32 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 59.62 (-1.60)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 999 189.06 (+0.50)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 999 189.06 (+0.50)          Joseph Kosinski (JKOSI) 999 133.93 (+0.33)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 43.22 (+11.73)          Gus Van Sant (GVSAN) 90 2.32 (0.00)          Joseph Kosinski (JKOSI) 999 133.93 (+0.33)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 43.22 (+11.73)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 22.24 (+2.24)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 117.94 (-1.81)          Rupert Everett (REVER) 1067 2.27 (+0.02)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 5993 45.81 (+0.16)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 1 31.04 (+2.32)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 31.04 (+2.32)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 1740 6.86 (+0.38)          Rupert Everett (REVER) 133 2.27 (+0.02)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 31.04 (+2.32)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 80.00 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 29998 5.35 (0.00)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Isabelle Huppert (IHUPP) 118 2.22 (0.00)