HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I have noticed something over the years

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on May 29, 18:25 in response to MitchC's post When To Sell Current Movies..

Movies coming up which have a lot of buzz tend to top out a couple weeks before opening, if the buzz builds too much. If buzz continues to build, it could continue to climb right up to halt. But, Flash is right, it's only fake money and adjusts are the most fun part of the game. Also, go with the trend, unless your gut is really urging you to go against it. Remember, it is all formulaic, so make sure you are estimating the opening weekend before you trade. i.e., I think SANDR will do better than others, and it's priced now for a $41.5MM opening weekend.

Another example is JURA4. The recent tracking says $100MM opening, and it's severely underpriced even now based on that estimate.





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Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 6.54 (+0.40)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 26.97 (+1.29)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 50000 12.72 (+0.73)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 32.89 (-0.89)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 19999 37.75 (-0.39)          Poetic License (PLICN) 149999 6.54 (+0.40)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 149999 8.83 (+0.41)          Monitor (MONTR) 149999 12.63 (+0.63)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 11.40 (+0.90)          Mutiny H$10 Call (MUTNY.CA) 24999 2.35 (+0.02)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.70 (-0.25)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 3.96 (-0.25)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149999 6.57 (+0.72)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149999 6.93 (+0.36)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 149999 14.44 (+0.87)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 75812 187.96 (0.00)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 52729 111.48 (+0.11)          Donkey (DONKE) 12159 135.40 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 1 5.64 (-0.36)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 1000 17.30 (-0.17)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10 37.75 (-0.39)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 5.37 (+0.32)          10 Lives (10LIV) 40 1.76 (0.00)          Static Shock (STATC) 100000 2.20 (+0.01)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.64 (-0.36)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 200 3.33 (-0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 30 704.05 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 100000 21.55 (-0.02)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 15.63 (-0.05)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 130000 2.40 (+0.02)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 34.75 (+0.10)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 37.75 (-0.39)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 37.75 (-0.39)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 18.07 (-0.18)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 18.07 (-0.18)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 17.30 (-0.17)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 17.30 (-0.17)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.74 (-0.26)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.64 (-0.36)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.74 (-0.26)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.64 (-0.36)