HSX Forum


Tagging [FFUR5], [PROM], [DEADN], [HDWN2]. {nm}

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a del_SJW_accountant_4_Jesus) on Apr 27, 00:26 in response to secretstalker's post MTC: FFUR5 78 (whoa!), PROM 10, Hoodwinked 8, Dylan Dog 3


MTC: FFUR5 78 (whoa!), PROM 10, Hoodwinked 8, Dylan Dog 3 {nm} secretstalker Apr 25, 10:42

what do you mean 'whoa'? You think it's a HIGH estimate ??? {nm} SequelsFund Apr 25, 10:44

he definitely is surprised :) .... however i think Fast Five has commedable amount of buzz for a ripping opening... {nm} b4bad Apr 25, 11:29

If this number is realistic, then several of the attached star bonds don't really reflect it yet (whereas a few more or less do). {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:41

That depends. If this number is realistic, nothing says the movie has any legs. {nm} ty97 Apr 25, 11:44

Very true {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:50

According to the formula that means Fast 5 should open well above 78 mil right? {nm} BionicMoron Apr 25, 10:46

That's the "rule" and 78 is well above 60. {nm} secretstalker Apr 25, 10:54

let me rephrase the question; Do YOU think it's a high estimate. ( I think it is. Ridicolously high ! ) {nm} SequelsFund Apr 25, 11:16

Why? Can you break it down in numbers, and support your notion with comparisons, referance to weekend potential in general, etc? {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:24

(just curious - cause if one feels as strongly about a figure, there must be some rational reason somewhere - and then it should be possible Facto Apr 25, 11:26

I posted some numbers below your previous post asking about theaters counts facto {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:28

Thanks - I see it now {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:38

I think I can explain my reasoning on this vindiesel/carhitmovie. But let´s do these things in a certain order ) Secret may answer first {nm} SequelsFund Apr 25, 11:35

Why does SS need to offer his opinion before you give a reasoning on why you think it's 'ridiculously high'. {nm} Antibody Apr 25, 11:44

because - woooow... this FF5 thread could be the biggest ever in recent hsx-history - but still; because.... SequelsFund Apr 25, 12:08

SS is not obligated to offer an 'opinion'. But you volunteered your opinion and we're curious to your reasoning. {nm} Antibody Apr 25, 12:15

??? SequelsFund Apr 25, 12:23

The discussion is movies and you say you said you can explain your reasoning re FFUR5. {nm} Antibody Apr 25, 12:34

offcourse I can. But at what point do I have to ? I prefer to wait for SS-answer, as I stated before. I feel you are pressuring me to... SequelsFund Apr 25, 12:53

So 74 million is doable, but 78 million is high. Gotcha. :) {nm} Antibody Apr 25, 13:04

No you don't. 74 is way too high. But that's my humble opininon. What's yours ? :-) {nm} SequelsFund Apr 25, 13:20

no way in hell it does that. just my opinion, though {nm} ndmaster Apr 25, 10:52

I saw the trailer in a movie theatre on Saturday - it does look quite good. If people are hungry for a blockbuster popcorn flick right about Facto Apr 25, 11:00

I think the trailers look awesome {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:13

I was hoping for plus 75 for FFUR5. I love my, I love my, I love my MTC {nm} MTC your my hero Apr 25, 10:52

78? Thanks MTC, I needed a good laugh! {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 10:55

it has been out opening the last one in every territory so unless the bo malaise is unique to US... {nm} notfabio Apr 25, 11:03

We'll see. I'll believe it when I see it. I'll happily eat my crow if I'm wrong, but.. eyescovered Apr 25, 11:08

WoW really?? Is that because of the movie or how the market has been? {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:14

BO has been down and it's not summer. I don't think TROCK is that much of a draw. Having original cast helps, though. {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:18

BO has been down because the movie selection year-to-date has sucked. That changes this weekend. {nm} BionicMoron Apr 25, 11:20

I can't see anything breaking out until maybe PIRT4. I know FFUR4 did 70m in April of 2009, but it was the only new movie and there wasn't eyescovered Apr 25, 11:30

But you are basing all this on pure instinct/gut.. ? Can you break it down in numbers, please? Facto Apr 25, 11:31

What numbers do you want? Just because a seuqel comes out and MTC goes ga-ga over it, doesn't make it true. Just look at IRNM2. {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:37

What was MTC on IRNM2? IRNM2 opened at $128M, higher than IRMN at $102M. {nm} Antibody Apr 25, 11:41

I have MTC at 150 for IRNM2 {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:42

By that measure, MTC is conservative with this sequel... {nm} Catzan Apr 25, 11:46

I found it now, too - posted by notfabio on May 3, 2010 Facto Apr 25, 11:50

Searching and haven't found it yet - found the MTC for the weekend after.. {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:47

Woah.. What competition is this movie gonna have?? Dylan Dogg? Hoodwinked?? {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:33

There wasn't a kids movie like RIO this time last year. Only down 31% from opening weekend, that will take away some biz from FFUR5 {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:36

I doubt it overlaps much. Urban audiences go for Rio over OW Fast 5? Don't see it. Blockbuster auds already saw Rio, mostly, I'd think. Facto Apr 25, 11:40

and we are looking at a PG-13 flick and a G rated movie {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:42

We'll see! Either way I hope it makes me some H$! {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:43

Thats the important thing {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:44

Monsters Vs. Aliens competed against the last FFUR. I think that one is relevant. My opinion on #4 is that they really did a good job in Catzan Apr 25, 11:45

Everyone here is making good points! eyescovered Apr 25, 11:48

Call it a gut instinct then. That's about all I can say! {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:49

lol...who needs a gut when halt is on Saturdays usually. ;-) {nm} Catzan Apr 25, 11:53

And not just Saturdays but saturday evening..... well for reg stock {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:54

EXACTLY! I hope it either bombs or breaks out b/c I will be right there making profits! {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:55

I think last years F&F could have down well more than almost 71 mil if not for Monsters Vs Aliens. Dorfman Apr 25, 11:49

this, I think (hope) {nm} Facto Apr 25, 12:06

And looking back at this time last year, there were a LOT of shorts... {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:23

May I suggest that you go back two years, and calculate what you would've lost if you went short on Fast 4? Facto Apr 25, 11:29

Don't have records that far back. What did it halt at? {nm} eyescovered Apr 25, 11:31

Less than 130, it seems - adjusted to 195 {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:36

I think that may be a lil high for dylan dogg IMO. Thats 3000 per theatre. {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 10:59

LMFAO @ 78. Way off. {nm} stevenj1127 Apr 25, 11:00

Fast and Furious 2 years ago took (almost) everyone here on HSX by surprise. Do you remember? {nm} Facto Apr 25, 11:01

Why is that so way off? BO was saying 70mil and that was before the weekend showing what a breakout Fast 5 is having overseas. {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:01

I can imagine that there's some "cognitive dissonance" in effect, here(?) Facto Apr 25, 11:09

Last week Antibody posted that Fast5 could get 3500+ Dorfman Apr 25, 11:20

My 2011 Easter though for you... maybe don't put all your eggs in one basket {nm} JMT-NL Apr 25, 11:27

lol oh i don't {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:28

I put all my Easter eggs in the same burlap sack. They were fine. {nm} BionicMoron Apr 25, 11:54

While it's high, I too am confused why everyone is laughing. 70 for the last one + the addition of The Rock + like last time, no competition dsbman Apr 25, 11:08

Also, IMAX, which will inflate prices even more. {nm} dsbman Apr 25, 11:09

The Rocks popularity has been on the rise with his return to doing promos at WWE. I'm sure he's gonna bring in quite a few fans too. {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:09

Yeah, I don't get it. It may or may not be a bit high, but in no way is it laughably so. {nm} BionicMoron Apr 25, 11:21

Much to Thor's chagrin, this is also the first 'Summer Movie' ("April" be damned) ty97 Apr 25, 11:21

Looking at last years F&F movie numbers and theater counts its definitely doable {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:23

Even if you take 2 FAST 2 FURIOUS' number and account for inflation + an IMAX bump, you're looking at around $68m minimum. In no way is 78 dsbman Apr 25, 11:32

Wrong movie. Look at Fast & Furious from 2009 not 2 fast 2 furious {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:36

Fast and Furious 2009... Dorfman Apr 25, 11:41

Read your post wrong dsbman. Thought u were saying 78 was laughable. my bad {nm} Dorfman Apr 25, 11:55

Tagging [FFUR5], [PROM], [DEADN], [HDWN2]. accountant_4_Jesus Apr 27, 00:26

Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

HBO Max and Warner Bros. to distribute The Fallout starring Jenna Ortega #TheFallout https://t.co/MXo3LVCEqH       Opening This Week: #Spiral #ThoseWhoWishMeDead #Profile #ArmyoftheDead https://t.co/KfgeB0sGGn       Lee Pace, Rachel Sennott, Chase Sui Wonders, and Conner O’Malley join Bodies, Bodies, Bodies       Edward Norton joins Knives Out 2        Opening Scene of #Spiral: From the Book of Saw https://t.co/wHxKpuw8cE       Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris lands March 4, 2022 release date        First trailer for The Protege starring Maggie Q https://t.co/LwWe5pSDeR       New trailer for The Green Knight starring Dev Patel https://t.co/FkFySaOy4w       First trailer for #Stillwater starring Matt Damon https://t.co/yIlJxgHn14       Weekend #BoxOffice Actuals: 1. #WrathofMan $8.3M https://t.co/uYetiSXZv1      
Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 5000 55.38 (0.00)         Jacob Marley (MRLEY) 6000 30.42 (0.00)         Am I Ok? (AMIOK) 25000 3.68 (-0.05)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 4000 29.98 (0.00)         Toxic Avenger (TOXAV) 3000 26.32 (+0.01)         The Lion King prequel (LION2) 5000 189.47 (-0.12)         Am I Ok? (AMIOK) 29999 3.68 (-0.05)         The Son (THSON) 20000 10.09 (-0.46)         Ema (EMA) 30000 1.70 (-0.30)         What If? (WHTIF) 30000 4.29 (-0.45)         American Dreamer (ADRMR) 100000 2.94 (-0.03)         CODA (CODA) 100000 0.97 (+0.03)         Bodies, Bodies, Bodies (BODIS) 150000 8.38 (+0.16)         Bros (BROS) 150000 21.26 (+1.00)         Untitled Bee Gees (BEEGE) 100000 28.16 (+0.05)         The Trench (TRNCH) 150000 2.13 (-0.05)         What If? (WHTIF) 100000 4.29 (-0.45)         The Son (THSON) 125000 10.09 (-0.46)         Memory (MMORY) 100000 14.02 (-0.25)         Infinite (INFIN) 100000 5.89 (+0.10)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 50000 23.51 (0.00)         Profile (PROFL) 3 6.90 (-0.11)         Profile (PROFL) 3 6.90 (-0.11)         The Son (THSON) 1 10.09 (-0.46)         The Son (THSON) 1 10.09 (-0.46)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 1 159.48 (0.00)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 1 159.48 (0.00)         Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 1 133.55 (-0.12)         Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 1 133.55 (-0.12)         Killers of the Flower Moon (KOTFM) 2 31.15 (-0.03)         Killers of the Flower Moon (KOTFM) 2 31.15 (-0.03)         Bodies, Bodies, Bodies (BODIS) 1 8.38 (+0.16)         The Green Knight (GRNKN) 3 10.65 (-0.08)         The Green Knight (GRNKN) 3 10.65 (-0.08)         The Protege aka The Asset aka An (ANA) 3 17.21 (-0.69)         The Protege aka The Asset aka An (ANA) 3 17.21 (-0.69)         Memory (MMORY) 2 14.02 (-0.25)         Memory (MMORY) 2 14.02 (-0.25)         A Quiet Place Part II (AQPL2) 150000 107.50 (+0.44)         King Richard (KRICH) 3 20.68 (+0.02)         King Richard (KRICH) 3 20.68 (+0.02)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 3 124.64 (+0.11)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 3 124.64 (+0.11)         A Quiet Place Part II (AQPL2) 150000 107.50 (+0.44)         Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 1 136.78 (+0.11)