HSX Forum

Movies

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 04, 10:59 in response to soopersaiyan319's post After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Migration $100M Blockbuster Warr (MIGRT.BW) 25000 11.73 (+0.07)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 35.68 (+0.08)          Drive-Away Dolls (DRVAW) 4996 12.27 (+0.84)          Drive-Away Dolls (DRVAW) 1996 12.27 (+0.84)          Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 25000 51.41 (-1.16)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 67.81 (-3.29)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 30000 47.41 (-1.06)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 67.81 (-3.29)          Clue (CLUE) 149999 14.29 (+0.09)          Untitled Guy Ritchie Film (UGRIT) 60000 27.49 (+0.71)          Bob Marley: One Love (MARLE) 150000 75.16 (-1.09)          Dune: Part Two H$70 Call (DUNE2.CA) 1200 5.86 (+0.03)          Dune: Part Two H$70 Put (DUNE2.PU) 3200 1.15 (+0.06)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 67.81 (-3.29)          Bob Marley: One Love (MARLE) 100 75.16 (-1.09)          Dune: Part Two - Opening Weekend (DUNE2.OW) 3600 76.85 (-0.67)          Demon Slayer: To the Hashira Tra (DSTHT.CA) 3800 1.24 (-0.02)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 67.81 (-3.29)          Demon Slayer: To the Hashira Tra (DSTHT.CA) 3200 1.24 (-0.02)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 67.81 (-3.29)          Demon Slayer: To the Hashira Tra (DSTHT.PU) 7800 2.52 (-0.08)          Drive-Away Dolls (DRVAW) 150000 12.27 (+0.84)          Demon Slayer: To the Hashira Tra (DSTHT.PU) 3200 2.52 (-0.08)          Drive-Away Dolls (DRVAW) 150000 12.27 (+0.84)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 14.29 (+0.09)          Demon Slayer: To the Hashira Tra (DSTHT.OW) 20000 8.96 (-0.10)          Dune: Part Two - Opening Weekend (DUNE2.OW) 100000 76.85 (-0.67)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 14.29 (+0.09)          Kung Fu Panda 4 (PAND4) 250 116.74 (-0.12)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 15000 144.52 (+0.79)          Dune: Part Two H$70 Call (DUNE2.CA) 25000 5.86 (+0.03)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 10000 21.20 (+0.04)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 115 119.98 (0.00)          Luc Besson (LBESS) 24994 43.45 (-0.16)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 1000 21.38 (-0.16)          Cleaner (CENER) 89000 19.15 (-0.59)          Cleaner (CENER) 1200 19.15 (-0.59)          Goat (GOAT1) 10000 20.79 (-1.23)          Dune: Part Two - Opening Weekend (DUNE2.OW) 5000 76.85 (-0.67)          Madame Web (MDWEB) 600 53.15 (-0.53)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 9.84 (+0.05)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 2000 11.92 (-0.40)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 24.07 (-0.06)          Better Man (BETRM) 1200 28.39 (-0.24)          Better Man (BETRM) 1000 28.39 (-0.24)          Challengers (CHALN) 10000 30.25 (-0.19)          Weapons (WEPNS) 7000 22.44 (-0.36)          Dune: Part Two - Opening Weekend (DUNE2.OW) 15000 76.85 (-0.67)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 4000 96.00 (-0.16)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 20000 4.60 (0.00)