HSX Forum

Movies

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 04, 10:59 in response to soopersaiyan319's post After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 8000 0.07 (+0.02)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 30000 2.28 (-0.19)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.15 (-0.85)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 8000 0.07 (+0.01)          Asphalt City (BLKFL) 485 1.32 (+0.03)          Civil War H$20 Call (CVLWR.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.62)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Pryor (PRYOR) 8000 0.07 (0.00)          Civil War - Opening Weekend (CVLWR.OW) 100000 20.65 (+0.65)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.07 (+0.07)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 9 44.41 (+1.76)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.53 (+0.10)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 4012 2.28 (-0.19)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.68 (+0.07)          J.J. Abrams (JABRA) 1000 159.54 (-0.02)          Ian McShane (IMCSH) 25000 113.94 (+0.68)          Vicious (VICUS) 29999 19.35 (+0.37)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 90686 44.41 (+1.76)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 4000 131.35 (+0.44)          Vicious (VICUS) 49999 19.35 (+0.37)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 50000 114.31 (-2.21)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 90686 44.41 (+1.76)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 71.35 (-1.00)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 7988 2.28 (-0.19)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 13.27 (-0.08)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Awkwafina (AWKWA) 2745 128.70 (-0.36)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 32764 157.27 (-0.11)          Sleeping Dogs (SDOGS) 519 1.61 (-0.02)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 13.27 (-0.08)          Sleeping Dogs (SDOGS) 3991 1.61 (-0.02)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 60800 2.28 (-0.19)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 2000 2.28 (-0.19)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 150000 31.32 (-0.13)          Elizabeth (ELIZB) 8000 0.01 (-0.01)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 2000 6.50 (+0.12)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 150000 17.85 (+0.02)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Across The River And Into The Tr (ATRIT) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 10025 6.69 (-0.04)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 5200 17.85 (+0.02)          When We Pray (WPRAY) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 3.51 (+0.02)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 3.51 (+0.02)          Bryan Cranston (BCRAN) 25000 54.19 (+0.66)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.73 (+0.06)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.73 (+0.06)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 26.13 (+0.18)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 9975 6.69 (-0.04)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 26.13 (+0.18)