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LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter

Posted by: notfabio on Apr 04, 00:17

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-ct-twitter3-2010apr03,0,5544142.story

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 5 194.96 (-0.33)          IF (IMGNF) 103262 151.91 (+0.22)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 6000 148.72 (-0.34)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 1500 194.96 (-0.33)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 500 17.86 (-0.60)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 2500 17.86 (-0.60)          Above The Below (ABELW) 15000 12.22 (+0.02)          Sing 3 (SING3) 1975 98.03 (-0.08)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.13 (-0.36)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 25000 56.18 (+0.33)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.30 (-0.70)          Civil War (CVLWR) 100 63.70 (+0.17)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 18.08 (+0.41)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 50000 19.30 (-0.70)          Vicious (VICUS) 150000 19.62 (+0.64)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 2.75 (-0.42)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.48 (+0.83)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 1 17.86 (-0.60)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 25000 23.84 (+0.12)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 150000 17.86 (-0.60)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 25000 7.99 (+0.05)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.48 (+0.83)          Alessandro Nivola (ANIVO) 25000 5.90 (+0.10)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 4.30 (+0.10)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 2.11 (+0.02)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.30 (-0.70)          Clue (CLUE) 50000 12.69 (+0.02)          Ian McShane (IMCSH) 25000 113.59 (+0.33)          Julia Roberts (JROBE) 1 59.48 (0.00)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 26.71 (+0.76)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 2.75 (-0.42)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 149999 2.75 (-0.42)          Justice Smith (JUSMI) 5000 115.31 (-0.06)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.30 (-0.70)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 9.81 (-0.74)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 149999 9.81 (-0.74)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.48 (+0.83)          Jonathan Pryce (JPRYC) 25000 8.38 (-0.10)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.48 (+0.83)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 25000 50.09 (-0.50)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.13 (-0.36)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 4.30 (+0.10)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 2.58 (+0.02)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 61.99 (+1.00)