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I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Apr 04, 06:59 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Saw X - Opening Weekend (SAW10.OW) 100000 13.08 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 26.38 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 26.38 (0.00)          Untitled Wes Anderson Espionage (UWAEP) 150000 20.58 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Believer H$30 Put (TEXOR.PU) 24000 2.71 (0.00)          Avengers: The Kang Dynasty (AVNG5) 40110 321.41 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Believer - Opening (TEXOR.OW) 3100 31.45 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Believer H$30 Call (TEXOR.CA) 25000 2.94 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Believer H$30 Put (TEXOR.PU) 25000 2.71 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Believer H$30 Put (TEXOR.PU) 1000 2.71 (0.00)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 1000 6.69 (0.00)          Untitled Wes Anderson Espionage (UWAEP) 10000 20.58 (0.00)          Dumb Money (DUMBM) 1000 22.79 (0.00)          The Creator (TRULV) 10000 72.39 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1000 26.38 (0.00)          Wish (WISH) 531 131.22 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 50000 14.15 (0.00)          Wish (WISH) 130 131.22 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 140.15 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 140.15 (0.00)          Austin Butler (ABUTL) 25000 72.22 (0.00)          Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 25000 160.49 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 140.15 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 140.15 (0.00)          Kelly Reilly (KREIL) 20452 6.17 (0.00)          Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 24915 139.55 (0.00)          Austin Butler (ABUTL) 25000 72.22 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: The Ballad of (HGAM5) 51 176.30 (0.00)          Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 25000 160.49 (0.00)          The Unknown Country (UNKNC) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          The Unknown Country (UNKNC) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          The Unknown Country (UNKNC) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          The Unknown Country (UNKNC) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          The Creator (TRULV) 50000 72.39 (0.00)          Saw X (SAW10) 5000 34.63 (0.00)          Stealth (STELT) 149999 5.08 (0.00)          It Lives Inside (ITLIV) 1 7.19 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 149999 14.15 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 149999 26.38 (0.00)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 149999 9.57 (0.00)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 149999 38.88 (0.00)          It Lives Inside (ITLIV) 150000 7.19 (0.00)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 75000 93.57 (0.00)          Silent Night (SLNIT) 150000 8.01 (0.00)          Wolfs aka Wolves (WOLFS) 545 29.22 (0.00)