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I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Apr 04, 06:59 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 0.79 (+0.08)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.31 (+2.31)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 303.86 (-3.41)          Alexander Skarsgard (ASKAR) 25000 9.97 (-0.50)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 40000 16.48 (-0.54)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 8.02 (+0.33)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 148.32 (+1.85)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 13.96 (+0.21)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.42 (+0.43)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 32442 242.83 (-0.73)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.33 (+0.13)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 12.96 (+0.71)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.33 (+0.13)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.21 (0.00)          Tatiana Maslany (TMASL) 25000 11.43 (-0.20)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 15.89 (+0.21)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.48 (+0.15)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 150000 11.46 (-0.05)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.95 (+0.03)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.42 (+0.42)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.48 (+0.15)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.80 (+0.04)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 23.41 (+0.23)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.48 (+0.15)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 14.33 (+0.08)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 22.39 (+0.10)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.95 (+0.89)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 44656 40.95 (+0.89)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 303.86 (-3.41)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 117.99 (+1.03)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 88.44 (-0.34)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.33 (+0.13)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 117.29 (-0.66)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.42 (+0.42)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 7000 148.32 (+1.85)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 11.95 (0.00)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 81054 24.69 (+0.11)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 18422 303.86 (-3.41)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 5.50 (+0.58)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.42 (+0.42)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 264.89 (-0.17)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 20000 301.53 (-1.21)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.48 (+0.15)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100 148.32 (+1.85)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.33 (+0.13)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 3000 59.65 (-0.27)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.42 (+0.42)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 2000 10.42 (+0.42)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 3000 93.71 (+0.18)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 264.89 (-0.17)