HSX Forum

Movies

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Apr 04, 06:59 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Juliette Lewis (JLEWI) 1 17.03 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1 127.25 (-0.01)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1 127.25 (-0.01)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 1 17.86 (-0.06)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 1 17.86 (-0.06)          The Moment (MOMNT) 3 10.70 (-0.32)          The Moment (MOMNT) 3 10.70 (-0.32)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 3 9.47 (0.00)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 3 9.47 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 59.86 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 59.86 (0.00)          One of Them Days 2 (1OTD2) 1 16.58 (0.00)          One of Them Days 2 (1OTD2) 1 16.58 (0.00)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 2.94 (0.00)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 2.94 (0.00)          Young Washington (YWASH) 3 30.14 (0.00)          Young Washington (YWASH) 3 30.14 (0.00)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 3 3.69 (+0.08)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 3 3.69 (+0.08)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 3 5.61 (+0.37)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 3 5.61 (+0.37)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 3 13.77 (+0.47)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 3 13.77 (+0.47)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 2 4.49 (+0.65)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 2 4.49 (+0.65)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 3 13.91 (+0.69)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 3 13.91 (+0.69)          Peaked (PEAKD) 1 8.44 (+0.34)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.44 (+0.34)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1 43.18 (+1.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1 43.18 (+1.03)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 19 301.60 (0.00)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 2 27.68 (+0.73)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.68 (+0.73)          Blade (BLAD1) 149999 39.24 (-0.10)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 26.25 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 158.28 (0.00)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.88 (-0.01)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.18 (+1.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.18 (+1.03)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.68 (-0.10)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.44 (+0.34)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.44 (+0.34)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 100000 43.18 (+1.03)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.44 (+0.34)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 1000 10.66 (+0.11)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 36.85 (-0.53)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 36.85 (-0.53)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 50000 43.18 (+1.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 100000 43.18 (+1.03)