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I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Apr 04, 06:59 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 1000 173.23 (-0.12)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 100 248.89 (+0.50)          Snow White (SNWHT) 3000 184.81 (+0.17)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 10 229.84 (+0.87)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 2 81.48 (-0.16)          Lady Gaga (LGAGA) 500 85.00 (+0.25)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 4 391.98 (+1.77)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 1000 54.03 (+0.16)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 100 54.50 (+2.23)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 150 67.08 (+0.50)          Clue (CLUE) 149998 18.38 (+2.41)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 89 104.74 (-0.67)          Clue (CLUE) 149996 18.38 (+2.41)          Ryan Reynolds (RREYN) 500 110.30 (0.00)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 149998 53.51 (+1.90)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.24 (-0.15)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.83 (+0.08)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 149999 53.51 (+1.90)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 3.95 (+0.43)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.83 (+0.08)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 500 132.62 (+0.33)          Down Under Cover (DWNUC) 39000 0.67 (+0.01)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 44.21 (-1.13)          Will Ferrell (WFERR) 200 113.29 (+0.66)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 44.21 (-1.13)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 2000 54.50 (+2.23)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 5000 54.50 (+2.23)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 2200 23.56 (-0.07)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.50 (+2.23)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 1000 80.10 (-1.03)          Tarot (HRSCP) 10000 27.53 (+0.45)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 26.33 (-1.69)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.35 (-0.45)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 26.33 (-1.69)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 25000 4.37 (-0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tarot (HRSCP) 34000 27.53 (+0.45)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 78492 124.04 (-2.40)          Madden (MADEN) 35233 25.00 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.04 (-2.40)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.04 (-2.40)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 12.78 (+0.07)          Madden (MADEN) 40024 25.00 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 92939 25.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 3.95 (+0.43)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.24 (-0.15)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 137595 124.04 (-2.40)