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Movies

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works...

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on Apr 04, 06:42 in response to horlicks' post They have done a good job of ripping off my work and...

when some movies aren't even showing up on Twitter like "How Did I get Married"? How are they predicting movies not mentioned on Twitter until they open? (at which point, having 98% accuracy is kinda moot... make a prediction before Friday!)

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 2.25 (-0.15)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 7.57 (-0.23)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.83 (+0.22)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 150000 16.94 (-0.31)          Tony (TONY) 150000 16.94 (-0.31)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 835 75.80 (+4.72)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 150000 9.03 (-0.08)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 149999 9.03 (-0.08)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.80 (+4.72)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 125000 0.06 (-0.45)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 671 554.10 (+3.46)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 0.06 (-0.45)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 123.72 (+1.84)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 123.72 (+1.84)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 19184 19.39 (+2.19)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 3.96 (-0.15)          Naughty (NAUTY) 1000 36.35 (+1.79)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 149999 87.30 (-2.38)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 2.13 (-0.27)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 74.43 (+0.50)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 150000 0.66 (+0.04)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 100.81 (+1.00)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 22.33 (+0.28)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 75.80 (+4.72)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 150000 14.98 (-0.08)          Hourman (HRMAN) 150000 8.68 (-0.08)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 0.06 (-0.45)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 75000 1.18 (-0.04)          Yura Borisov (YBORI) 25000 10.97 (-0.19)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 13.97 (+0.85)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 13.97 (+0.85)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 100000 52.05 (+5.36)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 5 75.80 (+4.72)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.80 (+4.72)          Molly Parker (MOPAR) 8 1.07 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 12000 24.37 (-0.17)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 2.13 (-0.27)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.80 (+4.72)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 24.43 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 3967 76.92 (+0.95)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 8472 139.42 (+0.07)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 4 262.00 (-0.73)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.60 (+0.30)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 150000 1.58 (+0.08)