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Movies

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 04, 11:06 in response to Antibody's post Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 1 75.77 (+4.69)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 149879 75.77 (+4.69)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 20000 1.05 (-0.14)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.77 (+4.69)          Naughty (NAUTY) 29532 36.24 (+1.68)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 900 71.55 (+0.36)          Coward (COWRD) 149878 1.31 (+0.15)          Atonement (ATONM) 149879 1.86 (-0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 8000 75.77 (+4.69)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 149879 1.57 (+0.07)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 5000 235.62 (-2.55)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.77 (+4.69)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 426.85 (+6.63)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 1 1.82 (+0.21)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 149880 1.82 (+0.21)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.77 (+4.69)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 25000 59.99 (+0.02)          Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 5000 8.81 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1000 262.00 (-0.73)          Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 4999 8.81 (0.00)          Destin Daniel Cretton (DDCRE) 24879 104.87 (+1.14)          Vicky Krieps (VKRIE) 5000 1.43 (0.00)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 75.77 (+4.69)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 11 154.11 (-1.00)          Taylor Russell (TARUS) 10000 9.65 (0.00)          Mob Girl (MOBGR) 127537 0.07 (-0.01)          Marisa Tomei (MTOME) 25 151.18 (-0.49)          Eric Bana (EBANA) 10000 16.69 (0.00)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25 51.14 (+0.33)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 122999 426.85 (+6.63)          Sally Hawkins (SHAWK) 5000 50.60 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 54.96 (+1.11)          Eddie Murphy (EMURP) 25000 92.09 (+0.75)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 149868 4.16 (+0.01)          Jon Erwin (ERWIN) 6000 27.34 (0.00)          Eddie Murphy (EMURP) 25000 92.09 (+0.75)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 1 4.16 (+0.01)          Renee Zellweger (RZELL) 9000 16.91 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 121 610.90 (+20.84)          Beau Knapp (BKNAP) 6 20.97 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 126.21 (-0.53)          Beau Knapp (BKNAP) 4000 20.97 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 4000 54.96 (+1.11)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 100000 75.77 (+4.69)          Til Schweiger (TSCHW) 6 16.89 (0.00)          Til Schweiger (TSCHW) 8000 16.89 (0.00)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 5000 58.41 (0.00)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 4 58.41 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 54.96 (+1.11)