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Movies

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 04, 11:06 in response to Antibody's post Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 15000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 15000 25.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 15000 2.00 (0.00)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 32.21 (-0.50)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 91.45 (+2.79)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 32.21 (-0.50)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 88888 65.55 (+0.42)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 153.82 (-0.32)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 149999 8.15 (+0.27)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1000 65.55 (+0.42)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 23.61 (-0.06)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Artist in Residence (ARTIR) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.23 (-0.20)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.23 (-0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 100 174.85 (-0.83)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 1 42.27 (-0.33)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.32 (-0.02)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.32 (-0.02)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 25000 47.60 (-0.50)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 25000 47.60 (-0.50)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)