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Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on Apr 04, 06:40 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm} RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 2000 9.37 (-0.02)          Troy Kotsur (TKOTS) 25000 8.39 (-0.52)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 5000 153.03 (+0.01)          Natalie Portman (NPORT) 25000 100.31 (+0.90)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 1000 13.85 (-0.02)          Finding Emily aka CC: Emily (CCEML) 150000 2.71 (-0.02)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 2000 8.32 (-0.02)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1000 15.42 (-0.02)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 2000 7.56 (-0.02)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 1000 10.87 (-0.02)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 298 8.51 (+0.01)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Ric Roman Waugh (RRWAU) 25000 26.97 (+0.18)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 1000 23.73 (-0.02)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 1490 240.27 (+0.50)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 1000 23.23 (-0.02)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 1000 20.16 (-0.02)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 150000 19.19 (-0.18)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 150000 19.19 (-0.18)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 2000 7.44 (-0.02)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 59.66 (+1.40)          The Authority (AUTHO) 1000 15.56 (-0.02)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 2000 9.03 (-0.02)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 5000 243.00 (+0.67)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1000 36.92 (-0.03)          Sunflower (SFLWR) 2000 5.05 (-0.03)          The Purge 6 (PURG6) 2000 5.57 (-0.03)          One Night Only (ONTON) 1000 24.50 (-0.03)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 5000 155.78 (+0.23)          Metal Men (METAL) 2000 7.99 (-0.03)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 1000 13.85 (-0.03)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 1000 18.83 (-0.04)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 1047 9.13 (-0.12)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 59.66 (+1.40)          Jane (JANE1) 1000 12.26 (-0.04)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 5000 177.97 (+0.36)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 1000 14.78 (-0.04)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          Archangel (ARCNG) 1000 16.89 (-0.06)          Ink (INK) 1000 14.95 (-0.06)          Buds (BUDS) 1000 29.81 (-0.06)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 1047 9.13 (-0.12)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 28001 79.29 (-0.10)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 16.51 (+0.19)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5000 73.16 (+0.08)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1000 32.19 (-0.10)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 100000 227.88 (-1.16)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 1000 25.36 (-0.10)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 25000 126.91 (-0.02)