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Couple of things to watch to see if Amazon deems it a success (and not just by vague press releases)

Posted by: notfabio on Apr 10, 14:48 in response to Qix's post Happy to revisit this with you guys down the line.


Does Jennifer Salke stay in her position thru 2024?

Does Amazon give it 45 days theatrical exclusive, or does it hit Amazon PVOD 30 days or less.

Does Amazon greenlight/acquire more Artists Equity titles this year and give them theatrical dates. Do they give more theatrical wide release dates for 2023-2024 besides obvious things like James Bond, for example something like P*SSYISLAND.

Does Amazon give real hard numbers the first weekend of release of AIR on Amazon Prime Video?  Issue press releases.  If they don't that's an ESG "dogs not barking"  If they don't Nielsen will start reporting #'s a month later.  It "should" perform better than SHOTGUN WEDDING (which did chart) depending on when it hits video.
 

NYTIMES: Amazon paid $130 million for AIR and spent another $50 million on P&A. MARIO cost $100 million. notfabio Apr 10, 13:09

GLASS ONION did around $15m? in just 600 theaters? hmmmmm {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 13:34

if there was a bidding war with other buyers i don't recall it being reported that way. god bless the writer but paying $130m for a my mate paul Apr 10, 13:56

It is usual for streamers to overpay on films. Apple also paid more than $130 million to acquire "Emancipation" {nm} Peterlee Apr 10, 14:10

i think thats apples and oranges. if you are paying backend upfront, you are not necessarily overpaying {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 14:12

it is mainly because streamers need to pay extra money to buyout the backend of stars and producers {nm} Peterlee Apr 10, 14:13

exactly, so its not comparable to AIR Moviesnob Apr 10, 14:16

If this ends up doing $80 Million Worldwide plus garners some Awards Buzz... that's probably a nice pickup for Amazon JayPrimetown Apr 10, 14:12

+1 {nm} Qix Apr 10, 14:31

I think it might generate awards buzz & should drive subs, so money well spent. {nm} Qix Apr 10, 14:08

not at $180m, thats 2019 amazon all over again {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 14:11

Just for giggles, the old 2.5x budget to recoup = 325 million WW. even if this swept Oscars hard to see it adding anywhere near that value {nm} notfabio Apr 10, 14:29

Happy to revisit this with you guys down the line. {nm} Qix Apr 10, 14:33

MEXICAN STANDOFF WHOOHOO {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 14:43

Couple of things to watch to see if Amazon deems it a success (and not just by vague press releases) notfabio Apr 10, 14:48

But it wouldn't be 2.5x to recoup as they already paid out the backend JayPrimetown Apr 10, 15:03

It does change things a little, but more likely than not it probably just recoups the 50 P&A in theatrical after exhibition takes 50% {nm} notfabio Apr 10, 15:19

i dont think they paid out backend yet (they spent $50m in marketing to release) {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 15:31

Have any sports movies (loosely defined) done anything close to that? The only ones I can think of are at most in the 100m range {nm} MattW Apr 10, 16:25

MONEYBALL is the usual comp {nm} Moviesnob Apr 10, 16:27

AIR best movie of the year so far. {nm} gogreenytd Apr 10, 14:12





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