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Yeah, but who are more guesstimating-y than ERC's aspiring prophet... Almost always misses wide off the mark, from what I've seen ;-) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on Jul 11, 10:32 in response to secretstalker's post Saying INCPT in the 80 million range and SORAP 36 million...

ERC Box Office is up... DESME is $60.1... PRED3 is $25... TWLI3 down 52%, BENDR down 60%, TOYS3 at 340 mil   secretstalker on Jul 11, 08:03

Saying INCPT in the 80 million range and SORAP 36 million weekend and 55 million 5-day   secretstalker on Jul 11, 08:06

Yeah, but who are more guesstimating-y than ERC's aspiring prophet... Almost always misses wide off the mark, from what I've seen ;-) {nm}   Facto on Jul 11, 10:32

1/2 and not the good one. {nm}   hawkfanatic2 on Jul 11, 08:15

SORAP will be Lucky   Karthick24 on Jul 11, 08:28

They will be sorely disappointed with the SORAP guess...$36m over 5 days is far more reasonable. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on Jul 11, 08:29

[TKAAR] averaged something like $75k per site, which is ASTOUNDING, better than CYRUS even. {nm}   secretstalker on Jul 11, 08:30

I don't think we've seen a PTA like that in more than two sites since BROKEBACK. {nm}   dsbman on Jul 11, 11:21

"Precious" and "Up in the Air" both put up bigger averages last year in 18 and 15 theaters, respectively. {nm}   shadowking on Jul 11, 11:34

Ahh yes, guess my mind wanted to sensationalize. {nm}   dsbman on Jul 11, 11:58

It's still damn impressive, probably around #10 all-time in 5+ theaters.   shadowking on Jul 11, 12:03

Kids Are All Right is Oscar bait. {nm}   secretstalker on Jul 11, 12:07

It's not late fall though, which is the much more typical time of year for Oscar bait to break out. {nm}   shadowking on Jul 11, 12:11

If that number holds, TOYS3 is ARB by about $13. {nm}   helmetz on Jul 11, 08:59

2/2 with an estimated 3,126,500 positive adjust {nm}   laujer on Jul 11, 10:27





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Sesame Street (SESAM) 100000 43.09 (+4.35)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 99999 43.09 (+4.35)         Fight Night (FTNIT) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 99999 43.09 (+4.35)         Portal (PORTL) 9922 1.80 (+0.05)         The Prodigy (PRDGY) 50000 22.71 (-0.57)         Glass (GLASS) 100000 115.39 (-6.76)         CBS: FAM (FAMCBS) 20000 9.38 (-0.10)         John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellu (WICK3) 100000 111.33 (+3.20)         N9: Vice - Original (N9OVIC) 1 10.35 (-0.13)         N9: Vice - Original (N9OVIC) 20000 10.35 (-0.13)         Glass (GLASS) 100000 115.39 (-6.76)         N9: The Death of Stalin - Adapte (N9EDOS) 1000 6.47 (+0.04)         N9: The Death of Stalin - Adapte (N9EDOS) 20000 6.47 (+0.04)         N9: Margot Robbie - Mary Queen o (N9SMRO) 20000 4.17 (-0.22)         N9: Vice - Picture (N9PVIC) 20000 7.40 (+0.20)         N9: First Reformed - Picture (N9PFRF) 20000 3.64 (-0.03)         The New Mutants (NMUTN) 100000 33.31 (-14.48)         Glass (GLASS) 100000 115.39 (-6.76)         The New Mutants (NMUTN) 100000 33.31 (-14.48)         N9: First Man - Adapted (N9EFRS) 4000 3.74 (-0.09)         N9: First Man - Adapted (N9EFRS) 4000 3.74 (-0.09)         N9: Roma - Picture (N9PROM) 20000 10.61 (+0.16)         N9: Crazy Rich Asians - Adapted (N9ECRA) 4000 5.75 (-0.24)         N9: Crazy Rich Asians - Adapted (N9ECRA) 4000 5.75 (-0.24)         N9: Crazy Rich Asians - Adapted (N9ECRA) 4000 5.75 (-0.24)         N9: Boy Erased - Adapted (N9EBER) 1000 3.11 (-0.05)         N9: Stan & Ollie - Original (N9OSAO) 20000 3.91 (-0.05)         N9: BlacKkKlansman - Adapted (N9EBKM) 1 9.41 (-0.19)         N9: BlacKkKlansman - Adapted (N9EBKM) 20000 9.41 (-0.19)         N9: Black Panther - Adapted (N9EBPN) 1 9.96 (+0.15)         N9: Black Panther - Adapted (N9EBPN) 8000 9.96 (+0.15)         N9: Beautiful Boy - Adapted (N9EBTF) 4000 4.40 (-0.22)         N9: Beautiful Boy - Adapted (N9EBTF) 4000 4.40 (-0.22)         Fight Night (FTNIT) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         N9: A Star Is Born - Adapted (N9EASB) 1 10.18 (-0.23)         N9: A Star Is Born - Adapted (N9EASB) 20000 10.18 (-0.23)         Alita: Battle Angel (ALITA) 15000 71.71 (+4.00)         Fight Night (FTNIT) 50000 20.00 (0.00)         N9: BlacKkKlansman - Picture (N9PBKM) 1 8.25 (+0.17)         Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 99000 28.06 (+1.03)         The Prodigy (PRDGY) 49999 22.71 (-0.57)         N9: Paul Schrader - First Reform (N9DPSC) 20000 3.32 (-0.11)         Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 99997 28.06 (+1.03)         Alita: Battle Angel (ALITA) 99999 71.71 (+4.00)         N9: Ethan Hawke - First Reformed (N9AEHA) 1 5.61 (-0.28)         N9: Leave No Trace - Picture (N9PLNT) 20000 3.31 (0.00)         Glass (GLASS) 100000 115.39 (-6.76)         N9: Bradley Cooper - A Star Is B (N9ABCO) 19999 11.74 (-0.19)         Glass (GLASS) 100000 115.39 (-6.76)